- The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
CTC
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Latest close
220.4 CAD
-2.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 30.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a 5.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100.
Setup score
50
out of 100
Latest Close
220.4 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
2.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
28.8%
15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.8x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.3%.
Indicator stack
23/96
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
49/100
30 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 30.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a 5.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1312-week average 0.11
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.13Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.3% over four weeks, 2.5% over 12 weeks, and -7.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change411.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change25.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength49/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Value74/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Quality37/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Momentum14/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Growth16/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework47/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 25.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 11.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 3.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 34.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 8.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 4.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 7.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 5.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -37.7% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -79.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.3% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 3.6% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 6.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.
7 positive · 19 neutral · 4 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.6%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-6.9%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-2.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains10
Flat weeks2
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank13 / 50
Group average0.1%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS28.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Specialty Retail
4-week rank2 / 7
Group average1.3%
Trend breadth42.9%
Trend42.9%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS28.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape47/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 47/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis27/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.13; No reversal markers Factors43/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 11; Small Cap Core rank 23 SVQF47/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 161.0 of 304 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.
CT REIT Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 220.4 CAD | -2.0% | 214.9 CAD | 227.5 CAD | 0.74 | -13.07 | 2.6K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 225.0 CAD | 3.6% | 214.4 CAD | 227.8 CAD | 0.44 | -8.99 | 3.8K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 217.2 CAD | 3.5% | 214.2 CAD | 228.1 CAD | 0.12 | -13.20 | 2.6K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 209.8 CAD | 0.2% | 214.3 CAD | 228.3 CAD | -0.06 | -16.59 | 2.3K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 209.3 CAD | -1.9% | 214.8 CAD | 228.7 CAD | -0.24 | -17.57 | 800 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 213.3 CAD | 0.0% | 215.6 CAD | 229.1 CAD | -0.27 | -16.62 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 213.3 CAD | 1.8% | 216.2 CAD | 229.3 CAD | -0.24 | -16.65 | 200 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 209.5 CAD | -0.3% | 216.9 CAD | 229.6 CAD | -0.21 | -18.83 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 210.2 CAD | 0.1% | 217.8 CAD | 230.0 CAD | 0.14 | -19.30 | 200 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 210.0 CAD | -1.9% | 218.7 CAD | 230.3 CAD | 0.41 | -18.91 | 1.7K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 214.0 CAD | -0.5% | 219.6 CAD | 230.7 CAD | 0.69 | -18.81 | 300 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 215.0 CAD | 0.0% | 220.6 CAD | 231.1 CAD | 0.88 | -18.34 | 2.0K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 215.0 CAD | -6.9% | 221.6 CAD | 231.6 CAD | 0.94 | -17.38 | 2.3K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 231.0 CAD | 5.5% | 222.5 CAD | 232.1 CAD | 0.83 | -12.38 | 1.3K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.