Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data · Independent research
JPX · Equity · Japan
5208
Arisawa Mfg. Co., Ltd.
TechnologyElectronic Components
Arisawa Mfg. Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells electronic, display, electrical insulating, display, and industrial structural materials in Japan, China, and internationally. The company offers flexible printed circuit materials, including PI, photosensitive, and other materials; copper-clad laminates; interlayer adhesive sheets; and PI composite and protection films. It also provides optical materials, such as projection screens, UV nanoimprinting products, optical retardation elements, 3D products, and film and glass lamination services. In addition, the company …
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
Tokyo Stock Exchange · JPX
Sector
Technology
Industry
Electronic Components
Currency
JPY
Market capitalisation
75,647,664,128
Fair value reference
1,497.52
Next-week expectancy
Positive · 58.58%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, 5208 rose 12.65%, moving from 2,285.00 to 2,574.00. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 6.09 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.46 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.58% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
2,574.00
12-Week Change
12.65%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.58%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationAdvancing structure with weak close
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context · Unstable
Current structureAdvancing structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 1,602.99 · Resistance 2,581.00
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The negative weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-9.97%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly low
The close finished at 16% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityUnstable
Frequent recent changes in direction reduce confidence in the current price path.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is strong negative participation, and path quality is unstable.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history88% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-10.0%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+457.7%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical5.9× typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
1 week ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
16 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateAbove accepted value
52-week position
73.2%
Low to high
Accepted price
1284.26
Latest versus accepted: 100.43%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.94% per week
Range pressure
48/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Expanding
1.98× normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure · 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support1271.70
From price
-50.6%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
4
Support1487.16
From price
-42.2%
Evidence
80/100
Touches
4
Support2321.97
From price
-9.8%
Evidence
63/100
Touches
2
Resistance2627.74
From price
2.1%
Evidence
29/100
Touches
1
Resistance2784.00
From price
8.2%
Evidence
39/100
Touches
2
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionAbove accepted value
Price is at 73.2% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.94% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 48/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level2,627.74
Resistance is 2.1% from the latest close with 29/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure · volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money evidence is mixed
Some visible evidence is supportive, but the combined picture does not yet justify a strong conclusion.
Momentum 0.81 · Holding steady
Trend qualityStrong alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 59 completed weeks; visible confirmation is strong alignment.
Momentum pathStrong · Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWatch
The latest reversal warning was 8 completed weeks ago; it is no longer immediate but remains relevant context.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
The latest reversal warning was 8 completed weeks ago; it is no longer immediate but remains relevant context.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
8 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
9 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
16 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
17 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
24 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
A completed close above Swing low with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area2,555.11
13-week VWAP at 2,555.11, 0.7% below the latest close.
Weakening level2,555.11
A completed close below 13-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
13-week VWAP2555.11
-0.73% from close
Swing low2629.99
+2.18% from close
High-activity anchor2473.05
-3.92% from close
26-week VWAP2462.27
-4.34% from close
Year VWAP2349.83
-8.71% from close
52-week VWAP2112.96
-17.91% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 88%Above price 13%
27%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark · ^N225Broadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap +0.9 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 82/100
Sector · TechnologyBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap +6.0 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 77/100
Industry · Electronic ComponentsStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +26.7 points.
Control is contested · 56/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible history—not a forecast.
Weekly reclaim57% favourable
Events
7
Median 4w
-3.19%
Median 13w
+2.30%
Typical best
+2.30%
Typical worst
-6.84%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss43% favourable
Events
7
Median 4w
+3.35%
Median 13w
+0.74%
Typical best
+7.66%
Typical worst
-3.29%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states70 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
73%
Median 4w
+3.05%
Positive after 13w
76%
Median 13w
+9.78%
Best / worst 13w
+58.4% / -13.5%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is constructive and strengthening
Price strength is accompanied by a supportive SMI state. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.75 · Constructive
Current stateConstructive · 0.75
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
11 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipConfirming price strength
Price strength is accompanied by a supportive SMI state.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.75 · Constructive
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 69 comparable completed observations, 79.7% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +5.9%.
Comparable observations
69
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
79.7%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+5.9%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+8.5 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
2,574.00
12-Week Change
12.65%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.58%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
6.09
Market Dynamics
0.46
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, 5208 rose 12.65%, moving from 2,285.00 to 2,574.00. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 6.09 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.46 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.58% based on similar historical setup states.
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