CRST LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Crest Nicholson Holdings plc · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Latest close 0.65 GBP
6.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -32.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.0%, after a -1.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 27 out of 100
Latest Close 0.65 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 6.0% latest completed week
4W Return -1.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 3.8% 2 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -32.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.0%, after a -1.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0612-week average 0.04

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.4% over four weeks, -5.2% over 12 weeks, and -63.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.0%
4W-1.4%
12W-5.2%
26W-56.7%
52W-63.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year2
Trend breadth3.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change143.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-50.25Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change3.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Oct 2025 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 57%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength69/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Value63/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Quality65/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
Momentum65/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
Growth65/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework60/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
13.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-1.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
2.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-1.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.

8 positive · 9 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-64.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.0%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-45.8%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+6.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses9
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.4% / -7.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20260.65 GBP6.0%0.97 GBP1.62 GBP0.13-50.258.9MOff
31 Jul 20260.62 GBP-1.6%0.99 GBP1.62 GBP0.01-53.936.5MOff
24 Jul 20260.63 GBP-4.7%1.02 GBP1.63 GBP-0.09-53.6114.0MOff
17 Jul 20260.66 GBP-0.8%1.05 GBP1.64 GBP-0.10-51.7416.7MOff
10 Jul 20260.66 GBP-7.4%1.07 GBP1.65 GBP-0.29-51.9011.6MOff
3 Jul 20260.72 GBP-3.9%1.09 GBP1.65 GBP-0.53-49.971.3MOff
26 Jun 20260.74 GBP4.8%1.11 GBP1.66 GBP-0.81-48.101.7MOff
19 Jun 20260.71 GBP1.3%1.13 GBP1.67 GBP-1.01-50.782.5MOff
12 Jun 20260.70 GBP3.7%1.15 GBP1.67 GBP-1.11-52.794.8MOff
5 Jun 20260.68 GBP-5.4%1.18 GBP1.68 GBP-1.17-54.8814.0MOff
29 May 20260.72 GBP0.1%1.21 GBP1.69 GBP-1.16-53.2725.7MOff
22 May 20260.71 GBP3.6%1.24 GBP1.70 GBP-1.19-54.3917.1MOff
15 May 20260.69 GBP-5.7%1.28 GBP1.71 GBP-1.14-55.5811.8MOff
8 May 20260.73 GBP7.6%1.31 GBP1.72 GBP-0.89-53.8816.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context