260 completed weekly observations ยท 25 Sep 2026

TOR ยท Equity ยท technical research

RCI-B Technicals

Rogers Communications Inc.

Communication Services ยท Telecom Services

Aligned downwardPrice-technical state

Week ending25 September 2026
-8.1%
Open
49.31
High
49.35
Low
44.88
Close
45.19 CAD
Open chart Market Dynamics Report โ†—
Research for RCI-B
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Price structureAligned downwardcompleted-week alignment
Momentum41.1Negative
Risk pressure5.9%Elevated
Trend quality12.3Range-led
Range position13%location inside observed range
Adaptive set6 viewsselected for the current tape

01 ยท Market Dynamics

Price and underlying support

Weekly close ยท published Market Dynamics
Improving Market Dynamics is challenging the downward price structure

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation. Price structure remains downward.

Preparing Market Dynamics chart Checking the chart library, completed-week data and display size.
Weekly close Supportive Market Dynamics Cautious Market Dynamics Accumulation zone Distribution zone Positioning recovery Reversal warning Reversal danger
Current tape relationship
Sustained positive support

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.

Price location
Between zones

Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.

Latest positioning marker
13 Jun 2025

The green dot marks a confirmed recovery where institutional positioning is most plausible.

Market Dynamics confirmation
Supported

The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation.

Chart contextPrice is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.

InterpretationThis is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.

Reading the zones and markers

The line shows completed weekly price. Market Dynamics describes the underlying support. Green marks a recovery through the accumulation zone; amber and red identify reversal warnings and danger. Price can stay in the distribution zone while advancing. Read the zones, markers and Market Dynamics together; they do not identify individual trades or prove who is participating.

02 ยท Technical indicators

The price move needs stronger confirmation.

6 selected views ยท 156 observations

Price is below both trend references. Trend strength remains modest, making the recent range worth watching. Market Dynamics is not fully confirming the price structure; compare both readings before treating the move as broadly supported.

Fast trend reference 48.73 CADClose -7.3%Slow trend reference 49.17 CADClose -8.1%Selection adapts to the setup and available history.

Structure

Price and trend

Price45.19

Aligned downward. Price anchors every interpretation against the same completed observations.

Watch Watch whether price holds its trend references or begins to cross back through them.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.

Close
45.19
Fast trend
48.73
Slow trend
49.17
Upper envelope
54.19
Lower envelope
44.43

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Structure

Position in the recent range

Range position12.83%

Pressing the lower range. Range location is especially useful when a trend is not yet firmly established.

Watch Look for acceptance outside the range or a return toward its middle, supported by momentum.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.

Range position
12.83
From high
-17.39
From low
3.20

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Momentum

Momentum

Momentum41.09

Negative pressure. Momentum helps test whether the latest price direction has follow-through.

Watch Watch for pressure to turn with price. A stretched reading alone does not establish a reversal.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Two independent momentum views show whether pressure is broadening, fading or stretched.

Momentum
41.09
Rotation
4.88
Rotation signal
37.45

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Risk

Range and volatility

Range pressure5.89%

Elevated movement. Recent variability puts the size of price moves and reference gaps in context.

Watch Watch whether a range expansion gains directional follow-through or quickly reverses.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.

Range pressure
5.89
Envelope width
19.80

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Leadership

Relative strength

Relative strength-16.56

Lagging the benchmark. Benchmark context tests whether the move is company leadership or broader market participation.

Watch Watch whether relative strength confirms the absolute trend or continues to disagree.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Relative performance is separated from absolute price direction to reveal leadership and lagging pressure.

Relative strength
-16.56

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Risk

Drawdown and recovery

Drawdown-29.65%

Recovery still incomplete. Distance below the observed high separates recovery from an established new high.

Watch A recovery can improve while price remains below its former high. Track both parts of the path.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.

Drawdown
-29.65
Recovery
1.70

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

More indicators3 additional views from the same history

Structure

Trend strength and direction

Trend strength12.28

Range-led movement. Trend strength helps decide how much weight to put on momentum extremes.

Watch Strength measures persistence, not direction. Compare positive and negative control before interpreting it.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.

Trend strength
12.28
Positive direction
28.78
Negative direction
30.49

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Participation

Volume participation

Activity / norm237.90

Above normal activity. Activity tests the participation behind price; it does not identify who is buying or selling.

Watch Look for sustained participation in the direction of price, rather than a single busy observation.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.

Activity versus norm
237.90
Cumulative balance
95.42

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Momentum

Momentum change

Impulse expansion-0.15

Negative impulse, easing. Acceleration can reveal a change before the broader price structure fully responds.

Watch A return through the neutral line deserves attention when trend and participation also change.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.

Impulse
-0.3525
Signal
-0.202
Expansion
-0.1505

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

03 ยท Scenarios

Conditions to monitor

Possible developments ยท no assigned probabilities
Continuation

The decline retains control

Price remains below its trend references, downward momentum persists and relative strength fails to repair. Check whether Market Dynamics continues to support that direction.

Early repair

A rebound begins to gain support

Momentum improves and price regains the fast trend reference. A rebound alone does not establish a durable change; compare the slower reference and Market Dynamics.

Challenge the view

The downward structure is displaced

Price recovers its trend references while momentum and leadership improve. Reassess the bearish structure as completed observations confirm the repair.

Sharemaestro tape intelligence

SM gauge assessment

One assessment resolves price structure and Market Dynamics. The supporting views show the control, force, direction and confidence behind it.

100/100 evidence depth
observed participation included
Price structure has stronger support The gauges support the price-technical view

Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.

SM Consensus Gauge-67.6

Price structure has stronger support

SM Control Gauge-63.8

Seller control supports the view

SM Force Gauge-94.7

Downward commitment

SM Direction Gauge-52.7

Downward follow-through

SM Confirmation Gauge45/100

Qualified support

SM consensus path ยท Market Dynamics display window

SM Consensus Gauge against price

The bars show the direction and strength of the resolved assessment. Completed price is retained as context.

Latest -67.6
Price structure has stronger support
Supportive consensus Cautious consensus Weekly close Neutral

Control

SM Control Gauge

Shows whether buyer or seller control supports the current assessment and whether that support is strengthening or easing.

Current controlSeller control supports the viewRecent pathControl support is strengtheningLatest 12 months
Buyer controlSeller controlBalanced

Commitment

SM Force Gauge

Shows the strength of market commitment behind the current assessment.

Current forceDownward commitmentRecent pathCommitment is strengtheningLatest 12 months
Positive forceNegative forceActivity intensity

Direction and follow-through

SM Direction Gauge

Shows the directional follow-through behind the current assessment and whether it is established or still developing.

Current directionDownward follow-throughFollow-throughUnsettledLatest 12 months
Advancing directionDeclining directionFollow-through

Assessment strength

SM Confirmation Gauge

Shows how firmly the current assessment is supported. Greater assessment risk reduces the weight of the conclusion.

ConfirmationQualified supportAssessment riskContainedLatest 12 months
SM Confirmation GaugeAssessment risk

05 ยท Historical record

Evidence from previous conditions

Completed cases ยท open cases excluded from outcomes

RCI-B ยท current evidence

Current conditions

Treat the improvement as context until price establishes a clear response.

1
NowEasier this week

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.

2
Recent directionStrengthened over four weeks

The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation.

3
Price responsePrice remains downward while Market Dynamics is positive

The positive Market Dynamics reading has not yet reversed the downward price structure.

4
Previous cases25.0% moved higher

After 12 weeks across 8 cases. Average move: -5.1%.

What strengthens this viewThis is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.What would change itReassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.

Completed observations

Historical comparisons

Zone visits are counted once and followed through completed weekly closes. Open cases remain separate.

Price relationship Meaningful relationship
Same-week correlation
0.36
Direction agreed
52.2%
Completed comparisons
255
After accumulation1 distinct visit
4 weeks0.0% higher1 outcome 12 weeks100.0% higher1 outcome 26 weeks100.0% higher1 outcome

Average time before leaving the zone: 10.0 weeks.

After distribution1 distinct visit
4 weeks0.0% lower1 outcome 12 weeks100.0% lower1 outcome 26 weeks100.0% lower1 outcome

Average time before leaving the zone: 14.0 weeks.

When the two readings agreed or differed

Completed outcomes by condition

These cases compare price direction with Market Dynamics and show how large disagreements were resolved.

Price higher ยท Market Dynamics positive 60.0% were higher

Average 12-week move: 4.8% from 10 completed cases.

Price lower ยท Market Dynamics negative 55.6% were lower

Average 12-week move: 0.6% from 18 completed cases.

Price higher ยท Market Dynamics cautious Average pullback 6.4%

35.3% were lower after 12 weeks. The deepest pullback arrived after 5.6 weeks on average.

Price cautious ยท Market Dynamics positive Average recovery 4.0%

25.0% were higher after 12 weeks. The strongest recovery arrived after 4.9 weeks on average.

How to use the reading

Strategy observations from this ticker's own record

The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.

Early repair watch
Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery

In this ticker's completed record, 25.0% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -5.1% across 8 cases.

ApproachUse the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.

Review the case whenReassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.

Zone positioning
Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation

After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 10.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.

ApproachBuild the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.

Review the case whenA failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure.

Disagreement playbook
Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate

Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 4.0% across 8 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.9 weeks on average.

ApproachDefine the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.

Review the case whenThe early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds.

Historical outcomes describe this ticker's completed record. They do not make the next move certain and are not trading instructions.

Readings describe completed observations. A strong reading is not a forecast, and historical outcomes are not probabilities for the next move. The full record, related research and technical pack remain available for closer review.

Technical research pack โ†—

Evidence context