- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
ADE
GER
Week ended 09 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Bitcoin Group SE · Financial Services · Asset Management
Latest close
25.68 EUR
-12.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 25.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -12.2%, after a -7.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
34
out of 100
Latest Close
25.68 EUR
9 Oct 2026
1W Return
-12.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
13.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.69% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-12.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -7.1%.
Indicator stack
0/74
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.69%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 25.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -12.2%, after a -7.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
9 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1412-week average 0.05
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -7.1% over four weeks, 13.0% over 12 weeks, and -35.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change46.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.53Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-15.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 59%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength4/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Value28/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Quality16/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Momentum10/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Growth72/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 12.8x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 188.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -2.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 70.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -26.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -31.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -0.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 7.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -278.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.4% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -12.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-38.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
4 Sep
9 Oct
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.0%Week of 21 Aug.
Worst week-14.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-12.2%Week of 9 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.2% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Financial Services
4-week rank63 / 97
Group average-4.0%
Trend breadth48.5%
Trend48.5%active weekly trend signals
MD35.1%positive activity pressure
RS47.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Asset Management
4-week rank20 / 24
Group average-1.4%
Trend breadth29.2%
Trend29.2%active weekly trend signals
MD41.7%positive activity pressure
RS29.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape30/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis21/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.14; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.69%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.69% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors13/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 55; Small Cap Core rank 81 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
Capital B Just Bought More Bitcoin Below Cost. Its Treasury Is Still €50.8 Million Underwater Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 25.68 EUR | -12.2% | 27.37 EUR | 39.55 EUR | 1.13 | -14.53 | 88.8K | Off |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 29.26 EUR | 3.5% | 27.49 EUR | 39.52 EUR | 1.17 | -4.13 | 43.1K | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 28.26 EUR | 1.4% | 27.54 EUR | 39.46 EUR | 1.06 | -8.79 | 63.3K | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 27.88 EUR | 0.9% | 27.57 EUR | 39.40 EUR | 0.91 | -10.34 | 54.7K | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 27.64 EUR | 1.5% | 27.62 EUR | 39.35 EUR | 0.77 | -12.62 | 28.1K | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 27.24 EUR | -1.6% | 27.68 EUR | 39.31 EUR | 0.22 | -16.21 | 15.8K | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 27.68 EUR | -0.2% | 27.71 EUR | 39.26 EUR | -0.22 | -17.28 | 10.0K | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 27.74 EUR | 21.0% | 27.73 EUR | 39.22 EUR | -0.65 | -16.47 | 47.2K | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 22.92 EUR | -3.0% | 27.87 EUR | 39.17 EUR | -1.13 | -32.41 | 7.7K | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 23.61 EUR | -1.2% | 28.21 EUR | 39.15 EUR | -1.18 | -30.90 | 4.2K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 23.89 EUR | 0.1% | 28.56 EUR | 39.14 EUR | -1.23 | -29.09 | 6.4K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 23.88 EUR | 5.1% | 28.87 EUR | 39.12 EUR | -1.22 | -28.46 | 3.7K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 22.72 EUR | -7.8% | 29.15 EUR | 39.10 EUR | -1.15 | -32.05 | 10.4K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 24.64 EUR | -2.1% | 29.48 EUR | 39.10 EUR | -1.01 | -27.97 | 8.4K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.