- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
TKC
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS · Communication Services · Telecom Services
Latest close
5.38 USD
-3.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 6.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.2%, after a -7.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 59/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 10d.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
5.38 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-3.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-19.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
36.5%
19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-3.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -7.9%.
Indicator stack
20/22
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Volatility
59/100 conviction; expected move 34.0%.
News sentiment
52/100
47 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
10d
Next report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 6.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.2%, after a -7.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1512-week average 0.35
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -7.9% over four weeks, -19.0% over 12 weeks, and -1.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.93Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-139.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.35Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-54.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 93%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength90/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Value100/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Quality72/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Momentum29/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Growth1/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 0.3x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 1.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 71.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 27.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 19.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 45.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 4.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -2.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -40.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 7.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
TKC shows volatility options pressure with a 59/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 34.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction59/100
Expected move34.0%
Put/call volume
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 47 relevant articles.
7 positive · 37 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings10dNext report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move34.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.1%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-9.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-3.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses15
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Communication Services
4-week rank85 / 100
Group average-0.4%
Trend breadth44.0%
Trend44.0%active weekly trend signals
MD45.0%positive activity pressure
RS32.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Telecom Services
4-week rank42 / 55
Group average-2.5%
Trend breadth30.9%
Trend30.9%active weekly trend signals
MD21.8%positive activity pressure
RS25.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis15/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Factors73/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 67; Small Cap Core rank 3 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options47/100TKC shows volatility options pressure with a 59/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 34.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 34.0% Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 47 relevant articles.
Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS (TKC) Risk Assessment: Volatility, Financial Risk & Investment Risk Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings10dNext report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5.38 USD | -3.2% | 6.16 USD | 5.84 USD | -0.93 | -17.35 | 24.9M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5.56 USD | -2.8% | 6.17 USD | 5.83 USD | -0.81 | -13.97 | 11.9M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5.72 USD | -0.3% | 6.17 USD | 5.82 USD | -0.63 | -12.27 | 7.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5.74 USD | -1.7% | 6.17 USD | 5.81 USD | -0.44 | -13.60 | 10.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5.84 USD | -3.0% | 6.18 USD | 5.80 USD | -0.39 | -11.21 | 14.2M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 6.02 USD | -1.5% | 6.17 USD | 5.78 USD | -0.49 | -6.91 | 10.6M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 6.11 USD | 2.2% | 6.16 USD | 5.77 USD | -0.74 | -7.94 | 7.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 5.98 USD | 3.6% | 6.14 USD | 5.75 USD | -0.84 | -9.31 | 8.0M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 5.77 USD | 0.9% | 6.12 USD | 5.73 USD | -0.92 | -12.28 | 15.4M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 5.72 USD | -1.9% | 6.12 USD | 5.72 USD | -0.81 | -15.68 | 3.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 5.83 USD | -3.6% | 6.12 USD | 5.71 USD | -0.66 | -13.27 | 7.1M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 6.05 USD | -8.9% | 6.13 USD | 5.69 USD | -0.60 | -9.76 | 4.5M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 6.64 USD | 4.6% | 6.11 USD | 5.68 USD | -0.42 | -1.20 | 4.4M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 6.35 USD | -0.2% | 6.09 USD | 5.66 USD | -0.29 | -3.56 | 4.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.