AWK NYSE Week ended 09 Oct 2026

Weekly Investor Report

American Water Works · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

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Latest close 128.88 USD
-1.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 39.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a -6.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 17/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 16d.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 128.88 USD 9 Oct 2026
1W Return -1.1% latest completed week
4W Return -6.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 21.2% 11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -6.4%. Indicator stack 12/33 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 17/100 conviction; expected move 3.4%. News sentiment 52/100 91 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 16d Next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 39.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a -6.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Sep 2 Oct 9 Oct
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6012-week average 0.47

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.60Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.4% over four weeks, -4.0% over 12 weeks, and -8.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.1%
4W-6.4%
12W-4.0%
26W-5.4%
52W-8.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.34Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-140.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.68Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-169.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Oct 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 98%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength9/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Value22/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Quality25/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Momentum23/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Growth18/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework24/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
22.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-2.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
47.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
36.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-19.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
6.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
4.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
5.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

AWK shows bullish options pressure with a 17/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.60, expected move of 3.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction17/100
Expected move3.4%
Put/call volume0.60
Pressure31
Speculation6
Volatility27
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 0

9 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 91 relevant articles.

17 positive · 66 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings16dNext report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.1%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-5.1%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-1.1%Week of 9 Oct.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol1.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.0% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape33/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis51/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.60; 2 reversal markers Factors18/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 63 SVQF24/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 808.0 of 1061 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options30/100

Call activity leads. Options balance does not yet confirm the saved weekly stock trend.

2026-10-09 · Use with limits · Priced move ±3.4% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 91 relevant articles.

American Water Charitable Foundation Awards $10,000 Workforce Readiness Grant to North Scott Community School District Insiders9 / 0

9 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings16d

Next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
9 Oct 2026128.88 USD-1.1%131.83 USD129.65 USD-0.34-10.689.5MOff
2 Oct 2026130.25 USD-0.5%132.16 USD129.53 USD0.03-9.179.6MOn
25 Sep 2026130.91 USD-3.7%132.37 USD129.41 USD0.46-9.238.2MOn
18 Sep 2026135.90 USD-1.3%132.51 USD129.32 USD0.76-4.9110.2MOn
11 Sep 2026137.69 USD-2.1%132.26 USD129.24 USD0.83-3.977.6MOn
4 Sep 2026140.70 USD1.7%132.09 USD129.19 USD0.97-2.9110.4MOn
28 Aug 2026138.30 USD2.1%131.49 USD129.11 USD0.93-4.8210.0MOn
21 Aug 2026135.39 USD-0.6%131.13 USD129.05 USD1.00-6.7610.6MOn
14 Aug 2026136.20 USD1.3%130.88 USD129.03 USD0.95-7.9312.2MOn
7 Aug 2026134.43 USD0.8%130.72 USD128.99 USD0.74-9.4110.8MOff
31 Jul 2026133.29 USD-0.4%130.45 USD128.97 USD0.54-7.4917.1MOff
24 Jul 2026133.78 USD-0.3%130.29 USD128.96 USD0.43-6.628.8MOff
17 Jul 2026134.23 USD3.4%130.13 USD128.98 USD0.37-7.198.2MOff
10 Jul 2026129.84 USD-5.1%129.94 USD129.01 USD0.19-12.0010.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context