XD4 GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Strabag SE · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Latest close 85.50 EUR
2.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 70.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a -1.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 39 out of 100
Latest Close 85.50 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 2.2% latest completed week
4W Return -1.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 70.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a -1.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5912-week average 0.71

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.59Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.0% over four weeks, -2.5% over 12 weeks, and 4.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.2%
4W-1.0%
12W-2.5%
26W-2.0%
52W4.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.23Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-475.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.15Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-206.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 72%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength97/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Value95/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Quality90/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Momentum41/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Growth73/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework96/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
10.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
3.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
17.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
41.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
6.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
32.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
11.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
53.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.

1 positive · 6 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.0%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-6.2%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week+2.2%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202685.50 EUR2.2%86.61 EUR55.42 EUR-1.23-3.151.9KOff
31 Jul 202683.70 EUR0.6%86.38 EUR55.04 EUR-1.12-2.712.6KOff
24 Jul 202683.20 EUR-2.7%86.19 EUR54.67 EUR-0.87-1.271.2KOff
17 Jul 202685.50 EUR-1.0%86.00 EUR54.31 EUR-0.612.642.5KOn
10 Jul 202686.40 EUR-5.5%85.71 EUR53.94 EUR-0.212.964.5KOn
3 Jul 202691.40 EUR2.5%85.37 EUR53.55 EUR-0.086.0649On
26 Jun 202689.20 EUR0.8%84.88 EUR53.13 EUR-0.198.4256On
19 Jun 202688.50 EUR-1.6%84.38 EUR52.72 EUR-0.156.519.3KOn
12 Jun 202689.93 EUR0.5%83.79 EUR52.33 EUR-0.2310.09443On
5 Jun 202689.44 EUR-2.9%83.12 EUR51.92 EUR-0.309.2731On
29 May 202692.16 EUR7.0%82.23 EUR51.51 EUR-0.2611.382.2KOn
22 May 202686.15 EUR-1.8%81.35 EUR51.09 EUR-0.345.408.6KOn
15 May 202687.70 EUR-3.2%80.78 EUR50.70 EUR-0.3711.622.3KOn
8 May 202690.61 EUR4.1%80.19 EUR50.31 EUR-0.3013.813.2KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context