TR4 GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Tractor Supply Company · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Latest close 29.20 EUR
10.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 16.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.3%, after a 10.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 22 out of 100
Latest Close 29.20 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 10.3% latest completed week
4W Return 10.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -22.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 34.6% 18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 16.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.3%, after a 10.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.0x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0312-week average 0.01

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.3% over four weeks, -22.9% over 12 weeks, and -31.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W10.3%
4W10.3%
12W-22.9%
26W-35.9%
52W-31.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.35Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change66.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-32.05Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change14.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength19/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Value39/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Quality59/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 42; rank 1 is best.
Momentum9/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Growth39/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework47/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
36.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
9.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
12.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
4.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
0.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
16.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

1 positive · 18 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-41.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher7 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-28.7%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+10.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains3
Flat weeks4
Modest losses11
Sharp losses4
Recent vol9.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202629.20 EUR10.3%35.29 EUR41.06 EUR-0.35-32.0530Off
31 Jul 202626.48 EUR4.1%35.73 EUR41.14 EUR-0.59-37.221.2KOff
24 Jul 202625.43 EUR-6.3%36.27 EUR41.23 EUR-0.80-38.99318Off
17 Jul 202627.15 EUR2.5%36.84 EUR41.33 EUR-0.90-34.72456Off
10 Jul 202626.49 EUR-5.3%37.38 EUR41.43 EUR-1.04-37.39646Off
3 Jul 202627.98 EUR1.5%37.96 EUR41.52 EUR-1.15-36.200Off
26 Jun 202627.57 EUR4.6%38.56 EUR41.60 EUR-1.19-34.8286Off
19 Jun 202626.37 EUR-2.1%39.18 EUR41.69 EUR-1.18-38.890Off
12 Jun 202626.95 EUR4.3%39.82 EUR41.79 EUR-1.12-37.210Off
5 Jun 202625.84 EUR-2.3%40.48 EUR41.88 EUR-1.11-40.54491Off
29 May 202626.46 EUR-2.0%41.14 EUR41.98 EUR-1.12-40.411.7KOff
22 May 202626.99 EUR-28.7%41.79 EUR42.07 EUR-1.20-39.173.4KOff
15 May 202637.86 EUR0.0%42.40 EUR42.17 EUR-1.27-12.020Off
8 May 202637.86 EUR0.0%42.68 EUR42.19 EUR-1.27-13.610Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context