AFYA NASDAQ Week ended 18 Sep 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Afya Ltd · Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

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Latest close 13.60 USD
-2.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a -5.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 29/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 50d.

Setup score 45 out of 100
Latest Close 13.60 USD 18 Sep 2026
1W Return -2.1% latest completed week
4W Return -5.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -8.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.1%. Indicator stack 16/82 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 29/100 conviction; expected move 10.8%. News sentiment 50/100 6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 50d Next report is scheduled for 11 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a -5.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3012-week average 0.30

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.30Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.1% over four weeks, -8.5% over 12 weeks, and -10.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.1%
4W-5.1%
12W-8.5%
26W-3.4%
52W-10.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.22Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change348.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-38.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 18 Sep 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength94/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Value99/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality98/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Momentum31/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Growth72/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
1.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
2.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
34.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
64.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
32.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
30.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
15.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
9.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
16.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-0.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

AFYA shows mixed options pressure with a 29/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.92, expected move of 10.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction29/100
Expected move10.8%
Put/call volume0.92
Pressure10
Speculation9
Volatility69
Trend agreement62
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.

1 positive · 4 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings50dNext report is scheduled for 11 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.7%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-11.9%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week-2.1%Week of 18 Sep.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains12
Flat weeks1
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape45/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis43/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.30; No reversal markers Factors82/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 84; Small Cap Core rank 2 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options47/100

AFYA shows mixed options pressure with a 29/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.92, expected move of 10.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 10.8% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.

Afya Limited Announces Medical Seats Increase in AFYA Cruzeiro do Sul Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50d

Next report is scheduled for 11 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
18 Sep 202613.60 USD-2.1%14.20 USD15.84 USD0.22-13.921.7MOff
11 Sep 202613.89 USD-5.4%14.20 USD15.85 USD0.40-11.791.7MOn
4 Sep 202614.68 USD0.6%14.18 USD15.85 USD0.38-7.791.5MOn
28 Aug 202614.59 USD1.8%14.19 USD15.86 USD0.04-8.41523.0KOn
21 Aug 202614.33 USD3.5%14.18 USD15.86 USD-0.09-10.07654.9KOff
14 Aug 202613.84 USD-0.4%14.17 USD15.86 USD-0.33-15.61818.2KOff
7 Aug 202613.90 USD-2.6%14.16 USD15.86 USD-0.44-14.76473.0KOff
31 Jul 202614.27 USD2.7%14.17 USD15.86 USD-0.35-8.46310.5KOn
24 Jul 202613.90 USD0.0%14.18 USD15.86 USD-0.08-10.57451.8KOn
17 Jul 202613.90 USD-3.3%14.19 USD15.87 USD0.29-12.31429.6KOn
10 Jul 202614.38 USD-5.8%14.19 USD15.88 USD0.50-13.50586.5KOn
3 Jul 202615.27 USD2.7%14.18 USD15.88 USD0.53-7.05607.0KOn
26 Jun 202614.87 USD5.7%14.14 USD15.87 USD0.40-9.37683.9KOn
19 Jun 202614.07 USD-0.2%14.13 USD15.86 USD0.26-18.77509.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context