- The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
1826
HKG
Week ended 02 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
FDB Holdings Limited · Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Latest close
0.62 HKD
3.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 200.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.3%, after a 110.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
53
out of 100
Latest Close
0.62 HKD
2 Oct 2026
1W Return
3.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
110.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
396.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
55.8%
29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.25% based on similar historical setup states.
- 6 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 110.2%.
Indicator stack
48/78
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 40.25%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 200.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.3%, after a 110.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7412-week average 0.38
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.74Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers66 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 6 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 110.2% over four weeks, 396.0% over 12 weeks, and 749.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak5 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change17.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership292.30Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change125.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility21.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
31 Jul
28 Aug
2 Oct
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+61.0%Week of 11 Sep.
Worst week-17.7%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+3.3%Week of 2 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains11
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses1
Sharp losses9
Recent vol21.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol21.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew17.8% / -7.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorHK Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.0%
Trend breadth29.0%
Trend29.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS43.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryHK Engineering & Construction
4-week rank3 / 100
Group average5.8%
Trend breadth41.0%
Trend41.0%active weekly trend signals
MD62.0%positive activity pressure
RS65.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape48/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 48/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis57/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.74; 6 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.25%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.25% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 0.62 HKD | 3.3% | 0.2064 HKD | 0.0952 HKD | 1.48 | 292.30 | 12.2M | On |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 0.60 HKD | 2.6% | 0.1917 HKD | 0.0916 HKD | 1.50 | 298.23 | 14.1M | On |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 0.585 HKD | 23.2% | 0.1777 HKD | 0.0882 HKD | 1.49 | 312.59 | 42.6M | On |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 0.475 HKD | 61.0% | 0.1642 HKD | 0.0849 HKD | 1.40 | 259.62 | 49.9M | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 0.295 HKD | 3.5% | 0.1543 HKD | 0.0823 HKD | 1.26 | 129.60 | 14.8M | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 0.285 HKD | 56.6% | 0.1505 HKD | 0.0809 HKD | 1.13 | 129.94 | 7.7M | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 0.182 HKD | -7.6% | 0.1475 HKD | 0.0796 HKD | 0.70 | 49.24 | 4.5M | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.197 HKD | 21.6% | 0.1478 HKD | 0.0789 HKD | 0.27 | 70.16 | 2.1M | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.162 HKD | 28.6% | 0.1467 HKD | 0.0781 HKD | -0.17 | 39.27 | 3.6M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.126 HKD | 6.8% | 0.1478 HKD | 0.0776 HKD | -0.42 | 8.96 | 540.0K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.118 HKD | 8.3% | 0.1467 HKD | 0.0773 HKD | -0.55 | 6.58 | 360.0K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.109 HKD | -12.8% | 0.1461 HKD | 0.077 HKD | -0.64 | 1.06 | 220.0K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.125 HKD | 17.9% | 0.1447 HKD | 0.0768 HKD | -0.71 | 18.91 | 3.6M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.106 HKD | -5.4% | 0.1429 HKD | 0.0765 HKD | -0.94 | 5.55 | 1.3M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.