- The trend backdrop is active with a 36-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
TPX
LSE
Week ended 02 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
TPXimpact Holdings plc · Technology · Information Technology Services
Latest close
0.8475 GBP
-13.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 37.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -13.5%, after a 3.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
70
out of 100
Latest Close
0.8475 GBP
2 Oct 2026
1W Return
-13.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
3.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
26.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
69.2%
36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.3x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.72% based on similar historical setup states.
- 19 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-13.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 3.4%.
Indicator stack
83/69
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.72%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 37.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -13.5%, after a 3.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.3x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 1.0012-week average 0.99
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure1.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1919 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 19 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 3.4% over four weeks, 26.5% over 12 weeks, and 391.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 36 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak36 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.97Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change15.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership88.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-12.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 02 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 72%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength18/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Value29/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality30/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Momentum29/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Growth29/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 1.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 102.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 31.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 0.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 7.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 0.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 1.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 324.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 4.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
31 Jul
28 Aug
2 Oct
Weeks higher19 of 265 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.1%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-13.5%Week of 2 Oct.
Latest week-13.5%Week of 2 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains13
Modest gains6
Flat weeks2
Modest losses2
Sharp losses3
Recent vol6.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/15Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.6% / -5.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Technology
4-week rank47 / 100
Group average5.5%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD60.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Information Technology Services
4-week rank3 / 11
Group average-2.0%
Trend breadth45.5%
Trend45.5%active weekly trend signals
MD63.6%positive activity pressure
RS45.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape69/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis83/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 1.00; 19 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.72%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.72% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors25/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 14 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 0.8475 GBP | -13.5% | 0.6147 GBP | 0.3697 GBP | 0.97 | 88.83 | 2.5M | On |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 0.98 GBP | 4.3% | 0.5988 GBP | 0.3667 GBP | 1.07 | 119.78 | 1.8M | On |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 0.94 GBP | 0.5% | 0.5798 GBP | 0.363 GBP | 1.01 | 118.90 | 1.3M | On |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 0.935 GBP | 14.0% | 0.5602 GBP | 0.3596 GBP | 0.98 | 125.39 | 1.7M | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 0.82 GBP | -4.7% | 0.5398 GBP | 0.3562 GBP | 0.84 | 101.25 | 1.3M | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 0.86 GBP | 6.8% | 0.5212 GBP | 0.3535 GBP | 0.78 | 117.60 | 128.9K | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 0.805 GBP | 10.3% | 0.5002 GBP | 0.3504 GBP | 0.80 | 110.62 | 382.4K | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.73 GBP | 5.0% | 0.4802 GBP | 0.3476 GBP | 0.86 | 98.06 | 99.6K | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.695 GBP | -0.7% | 0.4627 GBP | 0.3454 GBP | 1.05 | 91.06 | 151.8K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.70 GBP | 1.1% | 0.4464 GBP | 0.3433 GBP | 1.22 | 97.87 | 77.5K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.6925 GBP | 1.8% | 0.4302 GBP | 0.3412 GBP | 1.32 | 103.18 | 61.6K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.68 GBP | 1.5% | 0.4141 GBP | 0.3392 GBP | 1.37 | 107.27 | 72.7K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.67 GBP | -5.0% | 0.3988 GBP | 0.3374 GBP | 1.38 | 111.44 | 101.3K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.705 GBP | 0.7% | 0.3839 GBP | 0.3352 GBP | 1.40 | 123.90 | 82.9K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.