4207 TWO Week ended 09 Oct 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Taiwan Fructose Co., Ltd. ยท Consumer Defensive ยท Confectioners

Latest close 19.45 TWD
0.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 59.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a -1.5% four-week move.

Setup score 55 out of 100
Latest Close 19.45 TWD 9 Oct 2026
1W Return 0.3% latest completed week
4W Return -1.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 94.2% 49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 22-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 8 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 ยท Price action

Where price isโ€”and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 59.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a -1.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 ยท Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Sep 2 Oct 9 Oct
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6912-week average 0.90

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.69Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers88 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 8 reversal markers.

03 ยท Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistentโ€”and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.5% over four weeks, -0.8% over 12 weeks, and 9.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 22 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.3%
4W-1.5%
12W-0.8%
26W8.1%
52W9.9%
Active trend streak22 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.86Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-270.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.73Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-15.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 ยท Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying forโ€”and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 ยท Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment-

No current sentiment snapshot is stored.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 ยท Catalysts and risk

What can move the sharesโ€”and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.5%Week of 14 Aug.
Worst week-3.7%Week of 11 Sep.
Latest week+0.3%Week of 9 Oct.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses14
Sharp losses0
Recent vol2.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.9% / -1.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 ยท Sector and peer context

Is this stock leadingโ€”or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 ยท Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
9 Oct 202619.45 TWD0.3%19.30 TWD16.11 TWD-0.86-23.73716.7KOn
2 Oct 202619.40 TWD-0.8%19.27 TWD16.08 TWD-0.78-23.37355.1KOn
25 Sep 202619.55 TWD0.8%19.26 TWD16.04 TWD-0.42-22.87245.1KOn
18 Sep 202619.40 TWD-1.8%19.23 TWD16.01 TWD-0.02-22.85463.5KOn
11 Sep 202619.75 TWD-3.7%19.20 TWD15.97 TWD0.50-20.49559.0KOn
4 Sep 202620.50 TWD-0.2%19.13 TWD15.94 TWD0.93-18.8955.1KOn
28 Aug 202620.55 TWD-1.2%19.03 TWD15.91 TWD0.94-19.0689.6KOn
21 Aug 202620.80 TWD-0.7%18.92 TWD15.87 TWD0.91-16.8661.2KOn
14 Aug 202620.95 TWD5.5%18.81 TWD15.82 TWD0.77-17.92173.1KOn
7 Aug 202619.85 TWD1.0%18.69 TWD15.78 TWD0.59-19.9330.0KOn
31 Jul 202619.65 TWD-0.8%18.60 TWD15.75 TWD0.67-19.2342.3KOn
24 Jul 202619.80 TWD1.0%18.53 TWD15.71 TWD0.83-20.1129.2KOn
17 Jul 202619.60 TWD-1.3%18.48 TWD15.67 TWD0.76-19.58132.0KOn
10 Jul 202619.85 TWD-0.7%18.43 TWD15.63 TWD0.81-23.881.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context