4207 TWO Week ended 14 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Taiwan Fructose Co., Ltd. · Consumer Defensive · Confectioners

Latest close 20.95 TWD
5.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.5%, after a 6.9% four-week move. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 63 out of 100
Latest Close 20.95 TWD 14 Aug 2026
1W Return 5.5% latest completed week
4W Return 6.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 6.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 94.2% 49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.68% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.5%, after a 6.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9612-week average 0.79

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.96Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.9% over four weeks, 6.9% over 12 weeks, and 37.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.5%
4W6.9%
12W6.9%
26W18.0%
52W37.7%
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.91Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change9.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change8.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment-

No current sentiment snapshot is stored.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.5%Week of 14 Aug.
Worst week-2.5%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+5.5%Week of 14 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses0
Recent vol2.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -1.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryTW Confectioners
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average6.3%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
14 Aug 202620.95 TWD5.5%18.81 TWD15.82 TWD0.91-17.921.8MOn
7 Aug 202619.85 TWD1.0%18.69 TWD15.78 TWD0.69-19.93218.2KOn
31 Jul 202619.65 TWD-0.8%18.60 TWD15.75 TWD0.77-19.23393.4KOn
24 Jul 202619.80 TWD1.0%18.53 TWD15.71 TWD0.92-20.11499.0KOn
17 Jul 202619.60 TWD-1.3%18.48 TWD15.67 TWD0.83-19.58996.2KOn
10 Jul 202619.85 TWD-0.7%18.43 TWD15.63 TWD0.81-23.881.1MOn
3 Jul 202620.00 TWD3.6%18.38 TWD15.58 TWD0.74-26.231.0MOn
26 Jun 202619.30 TWD-1.3%18.32 TWD15.54 TWD0.60-25.86631.7KOn
19 Jun 202619.55 TWD-0.8%18.28 TWD15.50 TWD0.68-28.51563.7KOn
12 Jun 202619.70 TWD0.8%18.24 TWD15.45 TWD0.71-24.84831.2KOn
5 Jun 202619.55 TWD0.3%18.16 TWD15.40 TWD0.64-27.481.2MOn
29 May 202619.50 TWD-0.5%18.08 TWD15.35 TWD0.32-27.771.4MOn
22 May 202619.60 TWD4.0%18.01 TWD15.30 TWD-0.15-23.851.6MOn
15 May 202618.85 TWD5.3%17.94 TWD15.25 TWD-0.59-25.371.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context