- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
SUGP
NASDAQ
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
SU Group Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares · Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Latest close
2.08 USD
-8.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -88.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.4%, after a -32.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
17
out of 100
Latest Close
2.08 USD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-8.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-32.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-88.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 51 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-8.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -32.6%.
Indicator stack
0/28
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 27.10%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
56/100
12 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -88.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.4%, after a -32.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0012-week average 0.00
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -32.6% over four weeks, -88.6% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.35Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change25.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 73%
Model confidence 68%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength40/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Value45/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Quality43/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Momentum45/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Growth45/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -148.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 16.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -9.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -7.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -20.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
5 positive · 5 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-96.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility18.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher4 of 2622 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.5%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-70.3%Week of 29 May.
Latest week-8.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses14
Recent vol18.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol16.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split15/35Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew12.9% / -9.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth53.0%
Trend53.0%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Security & Protection Services
4-week rank20 / 21
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth23.8%
Trend23.8%active weekly trend signals
MD42.9%positive activity pressure
RS28.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape20/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 20/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis18/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.00; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 27.10%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 27.10% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors42/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 51 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
SU Group Holdings (NASDAQ:SUGP) trades volume 20 times Class A shares after Hong Kong deal Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2.08 USD | -8.4% | 17.34 USD | 23.27 USD | -1.35 | - | 6.9M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 2.27 USD | -5.6% | 18.28 USD | 23.70 USD | -1.51 | - | 4.6M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2.40 USD | -6.0% | 19.15 USD | 24.13 USD | -1.69 | - | 3.7M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2.56 USD | -17.1% | 20.19 USD | 24.59 USD | -1.79 | - | 2.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.08 USD | -25.2% | 21.12 USD | 25.05 USD | -1.81 | - | 88.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.12 USD | -3.4% | 22.17 USD | 25.53 USD | -2.01 | - | 1.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.27 USD | -16.3% | 22.97 USD | 26.01 USD | -2.16 | - | 27.3M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5.10 USD | 8.5% | 23.83 USD | 26.50 USD | -2.50 | - | 263.1M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.70 USD | -5.6% | 24.68 USD | 27.00 USD | -2.92 | - | 11.2M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.98 USD | -2.4% | 25.53 USD | 27.53 USD | -3.19 | - | 67.7M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 5.10 USD | -70.3% | 26.27 USD | 28.08 USD | -3.44 | - | 3.5M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 17.18 USD | -6.1% | 27.15 USD | 28.66 USD | -3.51 | - | 2.6M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 18.30 USD | -15.3% | 27.91 USD | 28.95 USD | -3.54 | - | 195.6K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 21.61 USD | -0.2% | 28.73 USD | 29.23 USD | -3.51 | - | 20.0K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.