Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
MIL ยท Equity ยท Italy
IF
Banca IFIS S.p.A.
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional
Banca IFIS S.p.A. provides financial services and solutions for enterprises. The company provides saving and current accounts, time deposits, and insurance; factoring, advisory and equity investment, structured finance, leasing, and medium/long term loans for industrial investments; salary-backed loan technology rental services; financial advisory/M&A; and factoring import/export, import/export loans, and other foreign banking services. It also engages in the purchase and management of non-performing loan portfolios. Banca IFIS S.p.A. was founded in 1983 โฆ
Last updated
28 Aug 2026
Exchange
Borsa Italiana ยท MIL
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Banks - Regional
Currency
EUR
Market capitalisation
911,308,676
Fair value reference
18.07
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 56.65%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-28, IF fell 29.48%, moving from 21.34 to 15.05. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -36.45 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.71 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.65% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
28 Aug 2026
Latest Close
15.05
12-Week Change
-29.48%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.65%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
+
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Weekly Trend
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-08-28
Price is testing the lower adaptive boundary
Lower-envelope pressure is established. The important distinction is whether price repairs back inside the envelope or continues lower with confirming evidence.
Use the envelope for price location and Market Dynamics to see whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Supportive Market DynamicsCautious Market DynamicsNeutral line
APE and support read
Market Dynamics confirms lower-envelope pressure
Underlying support is cautious while price is on the lower side of APE. Repair would require price and Market Dynamics to improve together.
Current reading
-0.71
Four-week change
+0.40
Current path
Strengthening
Confirmation checks
What supports or challenges the current read
A band touch is context, not a conclusion. These independent checks show whether the completed-week move has broader support.
Envelope pathCautious21% of the envelope
Price location and the direction of the adaptive centre are read together.
Trend LineCautiousBelow and falling
Checks whether completed-week price and the primary trend are moving in the same direction.
Market DynamicsMixed-0.71 ยท +0.40 over 4 weeks
Tests whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Relative strengthMixed-36.4 ยท +2.8 over 4 weeks
Shows whether the listing is strengthening or weakening against its stored comparison benchmark.
ParticipationMixed0.65ร recent volume
Checks whether the current move is attracting more participation than recent completed weeks.
Completed-week analysis
How to interpret this envelope now
Price position
Testing the lower envelope
The latest close sits at 21% of the current lower-to-upper envelope span and has held this state for 6 completed weeks.
Envelope width
Envelope width is expanded
Current width ranks at the 95th percentile of the recent completed-week history. Compression can precede expansion but does not determine direction.
Evidence agreement
Broad confirmation
70% of the available trend, support, relative-strength and participation checks agree with or do not contradict the current envelope pressure.
What to watch next
Persistence, repair or rejection
Watch completed closes around the adaptive centre (18.74), upper boundary (23.24) and lower boundary (12.93).
Recent completed events
What changed around the envelope
Lower repair
Price moved back inside the envelope after a lower break.
Compression release
The envelope began expanding after an unusually compressed period.
Lower-envelope break
Price closed beneath the adaptive lower boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationRange-bound structure with indecisive week
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence. Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Full context ยท Mixed confirmation
Current structureRange-bound structure
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
Trend relationshipBelow a falling trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 12.21 ยท Resistance 15.21
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-0.66%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterIndecisive week
The open and close finished close together, showing limited control by either side.
Where the week closedUpper part of the range
The close finished at 70% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityMixed confirmation
Recent price structure and the longer trend relationship are not fully aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is mixed confirmation.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history50% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-42.6%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+271.5%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical0.3ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
3 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
9 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
25 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
32 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
41 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateBelow accepted value
52-week position
20.2%
Low to high
Accepted price
20.58
Latest versus accepted: -26.86%
Fitted direction
Falling
-0.71% per week
Range pressure
34/100
Lower pressure
Range condition
Contracting
0.60ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support14.19
From price
-5.7%
Evidence
35/100
Touches
1
Support14.84
From price
-1.4%
Evidence
77/100
Touches
3
Resistance15.45
From price
2.6%
Evidence
47/100
Touches
2
Resistance20.49
From price
36.1%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
4
Resistance21.90
From price
45.5%
Evidence
83/100
Touches
4
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionBelow accepted value
Price is at 20.2% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionFalling
The fitted centre line is moving -0.71% per week.
Range pressureLower pressure
The current pressure reading is 34/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level14.84
Support is 1.4% from the latest close with 77/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money support is weak
The current completed-week evidence is not providing dependable confirmation for price.
Momentum 0.10 ยท Weakening
Trend qualityWeak alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 25 completed weeks; visible confirmation is weak alignment.
Momentum pathWeak ยท Weakening
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
A turn higher in the momentum path, followed by steadier trend confirmation, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
29 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
33 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Price and Market Dynamics are confirming each other
Price changed +2.0% and Market Dynamics changed +0.40 over the latest 4 completed weeks. The price move currently has improving support beneath it.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-06-12Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
10% across the current zone span
The model estimates a 19% chance of confirming distribution within 52 completed weeks and a 69% chance of returning to the source zone first.
Current journey
Accumulation to distribution ยท Progressing
Activated
2026-07-10
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. IF is 10% across its current move from accumulation toward distribution. The journey remains open because neither the target nor a return to the source has been confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 2 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 10%
Accumulation to Distribution ยท 7 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 8%
Confirm the current distribution zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 19%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 69%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks2%
26 weeks8%
52 weeks19%
Accumulation zone
14.08 / deep 12.51
Current close
15.05
Distribution zone
23.48 / deep 25.05
Source-zone dwell
2 completed weeks
Market Dynamics -0.71Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change 0.07Change in underlying supportTrend position -22%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 1.02รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyDistribution to Accumulation ยท Confirmed accumulation
2026-03-06โ2026-07-03 ยท 18 completed weeks ยท price move -38.0%. Across this chart, 2 journeys confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 1 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Distribution to AccumulationConfirmed accumulation
2026-03-06โ2026-07-03 ยท journey 18w ยท source dwell 12w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
-38.0%
Time to confirm
18w
Reached and confirmed accumulation after 18 completed weeks. Price moved -38.0% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2024-03-29โ2025-12-19 ยท journey 91w ยท source dwell 29w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+68.8%
Time to confirm
91w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 91 completed weeks. Price moved +68.8% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readNegative pressure is historically weak and holding steady
Negative pressure is elevated relative to the completed history. The latest completed readings are broadly stable.
-16.71% ยท Historically weak ยท Holding steady
Market positionHistorically weak
Negative pressure is elevated relative to the completed history.
Pressure directionHolding steady
The latest completed readings are broadly stable.
Trend qualityUnstable
The recent path has changed direction frequently, reducing confidence in persistence.
Risks and warningsTransition risk
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
There is limited positive pressure; the reading needs improvement before it offers dependable support.
What would improve it
A sustained recovery toward balance, followed by positive pressure, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
What to watch next
The latest path is holding steady with unstable trend quality. Comparable history is limited record.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 9% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 91% of completed observations.
State persistence10 completed weeks
The current historically weak state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyLimited record
There are not yet enough comparable completed observations for a dependable historical summary.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
5 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
9 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
18 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
25 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
28 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
30 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlSellers firmly in control
Price is below the core VWAP, which is falling. 50% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
A completed close above Swing high with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area15.14
Swing high at 15.14, 0.6% above the latest close.
Weakening level14.92
A completed close below 13-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Swing high15.14
+0.61% from close
13-week VWAP14.92
-0.83% from close
High-activity anchor14.61
-2.91% from close
26-week VWAP17.89
+18.87% from close
Year VWAP19.21
+27.63% from close
52-week VWAP19.97
+32.70% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 23%Above price 77%
24%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท FTSEMIB.MIWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -58.1 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 78/100
Sector ยท Financial ServicesWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -63.8 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 83/100
Industry ยท Banks - RegionalWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -70.3 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 90/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim100% favourable
Events
4
Median 4w
+2.99%
Median 13w
+9.26%
Typical best
+13.23%
Typical worst
-1.45%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss20% favourable
Events
5
Median 4w
+3.34%
Median 13w
+11.34%
Typical best
+12.22%
Typical worst
-3.08%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states11 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
73%
Median 4w
+7.34%
Positive after 13w
27%
Median 13w
-25.79%
Best / worst 13w
+29.1% / -35.5%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak, with an early improvement
The SMI path is improving while price remains under pressure. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.08 ยท Weak
Current stateWeak ยท 0.08
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
17 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipRepairing beneath price
The SMI path is improving while price remains under pressure.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.08 ยท Weak
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 17 comparable completed observations, 70.6% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +19.6%.
Comparable observations
17
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
70.6%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+19.6%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-0.4 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
28 Aug 2026
Latest Close
15.05
12-Week Change
-29.48%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.65%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
-36.45
Market Dynamics
-0.71
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-28, IF fell 29.48%, moving from 21.34 to 15.05. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -36.45 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.71 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.65% based on similar historical setup states.
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