- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
2782
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Seria Co., Ltd. · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Latest close
4,160 JPY
8.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 9.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.1%, after a 14.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.
Setup score
67
out of 100
Latest Close
4,160 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
8.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
14.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
15.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
69.2%
36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
8.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 14.8%.
Indicator stack
38/85
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
58/100
7 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 9.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.1%, after a 14.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5612-week average 0.42
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.56Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 14.8% over four weeks, 15.6% over 12 weeks, and 37.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.79Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change253.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.68Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change91.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
2 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-11.0%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week+8.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Consumer Defensive
4-week rank5 / 100
Group average3.2%
Trend breadth41.0%
Trend41.0%active weekly trend signals
MD81.0%positive activity pressure
RS15.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Discount Stores
4-week rank1 / 8
Group average4.9%
Trend breadth12.5%
Trend12.5%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape60/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 60/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis22/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.56; 1 reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
Seria (TSE:2782) Stock Gains Backing From Stronger Margins And EPS Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 4,160 JPY | 8.1% | 3,791 JPY | 2,944 JPY | 0.79 | -1.68 | 3.0M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3,850 JPY | 1.2% | 3,773 JPY | 2,931 JPY | 0.45 | -7.50 | 1.5M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3,805 JPY | 2.0% | 3,759 JPY | 2,920 JPY | 0.08 | -9.18 | 1.0M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3,730 JPY | 2.9% | 3,747 JPY | 2,910 JPY | -0.18 | -10.55 | 894.6K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3,625 JPY | 1.3% | 3,742 JPY | 2,901 JPY | -0.52 | -19.01 | 1.5M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3,580 JPY | -3.6% | 3,737 JPY | 2,892 JPY | -0.79 | -21.85 | 379.6K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3,715 JPY | 1.0% | 3,721 JPY | 2,882 JPY | -0.89 | -18.86 | 196.6K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3,680 JPY | 3.5% | 3,705 JPY | 2,872 JPY | -0.93 | -22.03 | 220.5K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3,555 JPY | -4.6% | 3,689 JPY | 2,862 JPY | -0.93 | -19.14 | 215.6K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3,725 JPY | -1.8% | 3,674 JPY | 2,853 JPY | -0.81 | -16.37 | 147.2K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3,795 JPY | 3.0% | 3,653 JPY | 2,842 JPY | -0.82 | -14.79 | 1.4M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 3,685 JPY | 2.4% | 3,624 JPY | 2,831 JPY | -0.97 | -13.62 | 1.1M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 3,600 JPY | 7.1% | 3,601 JPY | 2,821 JPY | -1.03 | -13.30 | 2.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 3,360 JPY | -2.7% | 3,582 JPY | 2,813 JPY | -1.05 | -21.13 | 1.3M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.