- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
409A
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
ORION BREWERIES LTD · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers
Latest close
1,247 JPY
0.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.1%, after a 0.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.
Setup score
38
out of 100
Latest Close
1,247 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
6.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 46 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.5%.
Indicator stack
0/78
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
52/100
8 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.1%, after a 0.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0812-week average 0.10
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.5% over four weeks, 6.2% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change258.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
1 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-43.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.4%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-6.8%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+0.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains14
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.6% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Consumer Defensive
4-week rank- / 100
Group average3.2%
Trend breadth41.0%
Trend41.0%active weekly trend signals
MD81.0%positive activity pressure
RS15.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Beverages - Brewers
4-week rank3 / 7
Group average1.5%
Trend breadth42.9%
Trend42.9%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS14.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape34/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis15/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
Price to earnings forward of Orion Breweries, Ltd. – TSE:409A Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1,247 JPY | 0.1% | 1,258 JPY | 1,324 JPY | 0.40 | - | 750.1K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1,246 JPY | 2.9% | 1,260 JPY | 1,326 JPY | 0.34 | - | 990.5K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1,211 JPY | 0.9% | 1,261 JPY | 1,328 JPY | 0.16 | - | 376.7K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1,200 JPY | -3.3% | 1,264 JPY | 1,331 JPY | -0.03 | - | 718.1K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1,241 JPY | 1.5% | 1,266 JPY | 1,334 JPY | -0.25 | - | 511.6K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1,223 JPY | 1.1% | 1,268 JPY | 1,336 JPY | -0.51 | - | 113.5K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1,210 JPY | 1.6% | 1,271 JPY | 1,339 JPY | -0.64 | - | 168.0K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1,191 JPY | 0.1% | 1,278 JPY | 1,342 JPY | -0.65 | - | 144.4K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1,190 JPY | 4.4% | 1,287 JPY | 1,346 JPY | -0.60 | - | 162.7K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1,140 JPY | -0.4% | 1,299 JPY | 1,350 JPY | -0.56 | - | 225.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1,145 JPY | -4.7% | 1,313 JPY | 1,356 JPY | -0.49 | - | 1.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,202 JPY | 2.4% | 1,327 JPY | 1,362 JPY | -0.39 | - | 2.0M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,174 JPY | -6.8% | 1,339 JPY | 1,367 JPY | -0.37 | - | 2.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,260 JPY | -0.2% | 1,351 JPY | 1,373 JPY | -0.22 | - | 457.0K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.