200429 SHZ Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd. · Industrials · Infrastructure Operations

Latest close 9.84 HKD
-0.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a 2.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 82 out of 100
Latest Close 9.84 HKD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.4% latest completed week
4W Return 2.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 178-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a 2.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9912-week average 0.99

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.7% over four weeks, 8.5% over 12 weeks, and 12.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 178 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.4%
4W2.7%
12W8.5%
26W13.0%
52W12.8%
Active trend streak178 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change52.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership7.18Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change510.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+2.5%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-3.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-0.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains0
Modest gains18
Flat weeks1
Modest losses7
Sharp losses0
Recent vol1.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.3% / -1.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20269.84 HKD-0.4%9.17 HKD7.26 HKD1.437.183.6MOn
31 Jul 20269.88 HKD0.9%9.13 HKD7.23 HKD1.3313.063.6MOn
24 Jul 20269.79 HKD0.6%9.09 HKD7.20 HKD1.0210.242.9MOn
17 Jul 20269.73 HKD1.6%9.05 HKD7.17 HKD0.809.802.8MOn
10 Jul 20269.58 HKD1.2%9.02 HKD7.14 HKD0.94-1.753.0MOn
3 Jul 20269.47 HKD0.7%8.99 HKD7.11 HKD1.06-6.79245.6KOn
26 Jun 20269.40 HKD-3.9%8.96 HKD7.08 HKD1.34-9.071.6MOn
19 Jun 20269.78 HKD1.9%8.93 HKD7.05 HKD1.61-7.473.4MOn
12 Jun 20269.60 HKD0.6%8.89 HKD7.02 HKD1.49-3.24494.9KOn
5 Jun 20269.54 HKD2.3%8.86 HKD6.99 HKD1.31-6.48711.4KOn
29 May 20269.33 HKD1.4%8.83 HKD6.96 HKD1.16-10.483.7MOn
22 May 20269.20 HKD1.4%8.80 HKD6.93 HKD0.93-12.273.1MOn
15 May 20269.07 HKD-0.4%8.76 HKD6.90 HKD0.73-13.693.2MOn
8 May 20269.11 HKD0.8%8.74 HKD6.87 HKD0.64-13.711.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context