- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
SEM
LIS
Week ended 09 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Semapa - Sociedade de Investimento e Gestão, SGPS, S.A. · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products
Latest close
19.14 EUR
-1.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a -7.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
45
out of 100
Latest Close
19.14 EUR
9 Oct 2026
1W Return
-1.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
63.5%
33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -7.1%.
Indicator stack
35/48
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a -7.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
9 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2012-week average 0.37
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.20Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -7.1% over four weeks, -5.5% over 12 weeks, and 2.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.37Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change63.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.70Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-44.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
4 Sep
9 Oct
Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.5%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-6.3%Week of 2 Oct.
Latest week-1.5%Week of 9 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains9
Flat weeks1
Modest losses12
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorPT Basic Materials
4-week rank4 / 5
Group average-6.7%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryPT Paper & Paper Products
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-7.7%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape45/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis12/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.20; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 19.14 EUR | -1.5% | 21.30 EUR | 16.70 EUR | -0.37 | -11.70 | 128.3K | Off |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 19.44 EUR | -6.3% | 21.37 EUR | 16.66 EUR | -0.38 | -11.91 | 119.7K | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 20.75 EUR | -0.2% | 21.46 EUR | 16.61 EUR | -0.52 | -8.92 | 112.0K | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 20.80 EUR | 1.0% | 21.56 EUR | 16.56 EUR | -0.82 | -7.26 | 75.1K | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 20.60 EUR | -1.2% | 21.68 EUR | 16.50 EUR | -1.00 | -8.09 | 57.7K | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 20.85 EUR | 0.7% | 21.77 EUR | 16.45 EUR | -1.24 | -5.73 | 18.1K | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 20.70 EUR | 0.0% | 21.82 EUR | 16.39 EUR | -1.35 | -6.89 | 25.0K | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 20.70 EUR | 2.0% | 21.88 EUR | 16.34 EUR | -1.38 | -6.20 | 25.3K | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 20.30 EUR | 1.2% | 21.92 EUR | 16.29 EUR | -1.46 | -7.05 | 8.0K | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 20.05 EUR | -0.2% | 21.98 EUR | 16.23 EUR | -1.46 | -7.54 | 10.1K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 20.10 EUR | 0.7% | 22.03 EUR | 16.18 EUR | -1.45 | -6.77 | 27.9K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 19.96 EUR | -1.4% | 22.07 EUR | 16.13 EUR | -1.43 | -8.48 | 27.5K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 20.25 EUR | -1.9% | 22.14 EUR | 16.08 EUR | -1.35 | -5.65 | 9.0K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 20.65 EUR | -0.7% | 22.15 EUR | 16.03 EUR | -1.16 | -4.28 | 13.3K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.