MATH NASDAQ Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Metalpha Technology Holding Limited · Financial Services · Capital Markets

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Latest close 0.89 USD
-6.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -24.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.0%, after a -9.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 18 out of 100
Latest Close 0.89 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -6.0% latest completed week
4W Return -9.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 23.1% 12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.76% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -6.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -9.9%. Indicator stack 13/46 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 39.76% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 52/100 19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -24.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.0%, after a -9.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0212-week average 0.02

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -9.9% over four weeks, -4.0% over 12 weeks, and -69.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-6.0%
4W-9.9%
12W-4.0%
26W-35.3%
52W-69.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.08Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-70.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-60.75Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change0.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Sep 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 59%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength52/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Value51/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Quality48/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Momentum50/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Growth51/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
3.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
24.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-46.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-92.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
2.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-33.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-242.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-5.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-5.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-7.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

4 positive · 13 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-78.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.5%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-18.5%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-6.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains3
Flat weeks1
Modest losses3
Sharp losses13
Recent vol10.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.6% / -8.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape18/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 18/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis28/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.76%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.76% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors49/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 89; Buyback Yield rank 83 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd (MATH) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20260.89 USD-6.0%1.18 USD1.77 USD0.08-60.75113.7KOff
31 Jul 20260.95 USD14.4%1.23 USD1.77 USD0.11-57.16282.5KOff
24 Jul 20260.83 USD-7.8%1.27 USD1.77 USD-0.01-63.33117.7KOff
17 Jul 20260.90 USD-9.2%1.33 USD1.78 USD0.20-61.92115.6KOff
10 Jul 20260.99 USD7.8%1.38 USD1.78 USD0.26-60.84176.1KOff
3 Jul 20260.92 USD-4.4%1.43 USD1.78 USD0.38-64.0393.0KOff
26 Jun 20260.96 USD-4.9%1.50 USD1.78 USD0.50-63.08318.7KOff
19 Jun 20261.01 USD-6.5%1.56 USD1.79 USD0.51-63.71193.7KOff
12 Jun 20261.08 USD21.5%1.62 USD1.79 USD0.59-61.18689.9KOff
5 Jun 20260.89 USD-15.3%1.69 USD1.79 USD0.51-68.13703.2KOff
29 May 20261.05 USD-0.9%1.74 USD1.79 USD0.46-65.05282.4KOff
22 May 20261.06 USD14.0%1.80 USD1.79 USD0.33-64.50520.4KOff
15 May 20260.93 USD-2.2%1.87 USD1.79 USD0.16-69.06742.3KOff
8 May 20260.95 USD-10.2%1.94 USD1.79 USD0.04-68.93875.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context