- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
HSW
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Hostelworld Group plc · Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services
Latest close
107.5 GBP
3.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.4%, after a 2.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.
Setup score
31
out of 100
Latest Close
107.5 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
13.5%
7 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.4%.
Indicator stack
7/35
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.59%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
56/100
8 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.4%, after a 2.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1112-week average 0.11
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.11Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.4% over four weeks, 0.5% over 12 weeks, and -7.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year7
Trend breadth13.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.21Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-140.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.52Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change6.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 72%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength77/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Value88/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Quality89/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Momentum10/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 18.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 8.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 79.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 13.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 11.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 13.0% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 2.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -22.6% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -26.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.9% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 3.4% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 5.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
3 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.9%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-6.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains9
Flat weeks6
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol1.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank67 / 100
Group average5.3%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD74.0%positive activity pressure
RS43.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Travel Services
4-week rank5 / 5
Group average7.5%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD60.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape25/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis28/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.11; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.59%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.59% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors67/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 18; Small Cap Core rank 36 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
Is Hostelworld (LSE:HSW) Ready for Travel's Next Big Shift? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 107.5 GBP | 3.4% | 108.2 GBP | 128.7 GBP | -0.21 | -13.52 | 497.1K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 104.0 GBP | -1.0% | 108.7 GBP | 128.9 GBP | -0.14 | -16.49 | 877.2K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 105.0 GBP | 0.0% | 109.4 GBP | 129.1 GBP | 0.03 | -15.14 | 339.1K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 105.0 GBP | 0.0% | 110.1 GBP | 129.2 GBP | 0.32 | -14.61 | 172.7K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 105.0 GBP | -2.8% | 110.6 GBP | 129.4 GBP | 0.52 | -14.40 | 649.3K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 108.0 GBP | -3.1% | 111.3 GBP | 129.6 GBP | 0.60 | -14.07 | 360.2K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 111.5 GBP | 0.0% | 111.9 GBP | 129.6 GBP | 0.58 | -10.64 | 18.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 111.5 GBP | -1.3% | 112.3 GBP | 129.7 GBP | 0.69 | -10.11 | 407.6K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 113.0 GBP | 1.8% | 112.8 GBP | 129.8 GBP | 0.61 | -10.70 | 377.4K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 111.0 GBP | 0.9% | 113.4 GBP | 129.9 GBP | 0.56 | -11.78 | 9.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 110.0 GBP | 0.9% | 113.9 GBP | 130.0 GBP | 0.58 | -13.25 | 1.6M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 109.0 GBP | 1.9% | 114.5 GBP | 130.1 GBP | 0.33 | -14.93 | 308.6K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 107.0 GBP | 0.0% | 115.2 GBP | 130.2 GBP | 0.16 | -14.72 | 844.5K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 107.0 GBP | 0.0% | 115.8 GBP | 130.3 GBP | 0.02 | -15.42 | 1.3M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.