- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
HOOT4
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Hotéis Othon S.A. · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging
Latest close
6.51 BRL
-2.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 58.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.3%, after a -6.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
39
out of 100
Latest Close
6.51 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-6.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-7.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
96.2%
50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.97% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -6.7%.
Indicator stack
53/20
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.97%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 58.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.3%, after a -6.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7412-week average 0.86
12-week confirmation
Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.74Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -6.7% over four weeks, -7.8% over 12 weeks, and 69.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-38.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.38Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-59.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher7 of 2618 weeks finished lower.
Best week+31.3%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-16.9%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week-2.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains5
Flat weeks1
Modest losses14
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.4% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth23.0%
Trend23.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS29.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Lodging
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-6.3%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape42/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 42/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis62/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.74; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.97%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.97% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 6.51 BRL | -2.3% | 6.96 BRL | 3.85 BRL | -1.50 | 4.38 | 5.5K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 6.66 BRL | -4.9% | 6.95 BRL | 3.82 BRL | -1.31 | 4.02 | 24.5K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 7.00 BRL | 0.7% | 6.93 BRL | 3.79 BRL | -1.17 | 12.38 | 9.7K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 6.95 BRL | -0.4% | 6.90 BRL | 3.76 BRL | -1.18 | 12.47 | 35.7K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 6.98 BRL | -1.3% | 6.86 BRL | 3.73 BRL | -1.08 | 10.93 | 2.1K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 7.07 BRL | -0.4% | 6.83 BRL | 3.71 BRL | -1.00 | 15.26 | 0 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 7.10 BRL | -1.9% | 6.80 BRL | 3.68 BRL | -1.00 | 17.22 | 100 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 7.24 BRL | -0.1% | 6.78 BRL | 3.65 BRL | -0.87 | 23.71 | 100 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 7.25 BRL | 3.6% | 6.74 BRL | 3.61 BRL | -0.79 | 23.10 | 800 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 7.00 BRL | -2.2% | 6.67 BRL | 3.59 BRL | -0.77 | 21.37 | 0 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 7.16 BRL | 1.7% | 6.60 BRL | 3.55 BRL | -0.67 | 21.71 | 41.5K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 7.04 BRL | -0.3% | 6.53 BRL | 3.52 BRL | -0.74 | 19.01 | 36.1K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 7.06 BRL | 1.4% | 6.46 BRL | 3.49 BRL | -0.79 | 19.47 | 18.0K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 6.96 BRL | -1.3% | 6.36 BRL | 3.45 BRL | -0.82 | 14.24 | 26.3K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.