- The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
MACY34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Macy's, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores
Latest close
125.8 BRL
-0.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.0%, after a 9.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
60
out of 100
Latest Close
125.8 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
9.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
37.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
57.7%
30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.2x
vs 13-week average
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 9.0%.
Indicator stack
46/55
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.53%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
56/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.0%, after a 9.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7612-week average 0.42
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.76Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 9.0% over four weeks, 37.5% over 12 weeks, and 97.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.47Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-50.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership14.31Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change225.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
4 positive · 4 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.8%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-13.9%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-0.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains9
Flat weeks1
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol7.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.5% / -4.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank23 / 100
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth23.0%
Trend23.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS29.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Department Stores
4-week rank2 / 7
Group average0.3%
Trend breadth28.6%
Trend28.6%active weekly trend signals
MD42.9%positive activity pressure
RS28.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape55/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 55/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis61/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.76; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.53%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.53% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
There's No Denying Macy's Is a Great Buy Now, but This Stock Could Be an Even Better Buy Over the Next 10 Years Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 125.8 BRL | -0.0% | 108.7 BRL | 88.29 BRL | 0.47 | 14.31 | 94 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 125.8 BRL | 6.0% | 108.7 BRL | 87.94 BRL | 0.49 | 11.68 | 3 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 118.7 BRL | -4.3% | 108.6 BRL | 87.60 BRL | 0.64 | 8.40 | 10 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 124.0 BRL | 7.4% | 108.7 BRL | 87.29 BRL | 0.84 | 13.99 | 188 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 115.4 BRL | -13.9% | 108.9 BRL | 86.95 BRL | 0.95 | 4.40 | 190 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 134.0 BRL | 0.0% | 109.4 BRL | 86.65 BRL | 0.99 | 24.27 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 134.0 BRL | 4.7% | 109.1 BRL | 86.25 BRL | 0.90 | 26.12 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 128.1 BRL | 11.2% | 108.6 BRL | 85.84 BRL | 0.82 | 25.16 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 115.2 BRL | 1.2% | 107.8 BRL | 85.44 BRL | 0.63 | 12.01 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 113.8 BRL | 1.7% | 107.6 BRL | 85.15 BRL | 0.22 | 12.90 | 44 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 111.8 BRL | 9.3% | 107.4 BRL | 84.87 BRL | -0.11 | 8.58 | 2.6K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 102.4 BRL | 11.8% | 107.1 BRL | 84.60 BRL | -0.54 | -1.49 | 2.4K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 91.54 BRL | -5.7% | 107.0 BRL | 84.36 BRL | -0.83 | -12.13 | 214 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 97.11 BRL | 1.3% | 107.1 BRL | 84.21 BRL | -0.93 | -10.15 | 20 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.