AER ASX Week ended 25 Sep 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Aeeris Limited ยท Technology ยท Software - Application

Latest close 0.061 AUD
-10.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.3%, after a 1.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 37 out of 100
Latest Close 0.061 AUD 25 Sep 2026
1W Return -10.3% latest completed week
4W Return 1.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -12.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 30.8% 16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 6.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 33.62% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 ยท Price action

Where price isโ€”and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.3%, after a 1.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 ยท Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 6.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Sep
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0812-week average 0.14

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 ยท Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistentโ€”and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.7% over four weeks, -12.9% over 12 weeks, and 0.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-10.3%
4W1.7%
12W-12.9%
26W-18.7%
52W0.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change143.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.79Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change26.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 ยท Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying forโ€”and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 25 Sep 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 76% Model confidence 33%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength86/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality74/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Momentum75/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Growth76/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-17.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
100.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-29.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-16.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
29.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 ยท Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive ยท 0 neutral ยท 0 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 ยท Catalysts and risk

What can move the sharesโ€”and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-39.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher7 of 265 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-27.1%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-10.3%Week of 25 Sep.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains1
Flat weeks14
Modest losses0
Sharp losses5
Recent vol9.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split15/12Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.1% / -8.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 ยท Sector and peer context

Is this stock leadingโ€”or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 ยท Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
25 Sep 20260.061 AUD-10.3%0.0699 AUD0.0742 AUD0.41-14.79254.9KOff
18 Sep 20260.068 AUD11.5%0.0709 AUD0.0744 AUD0.03-5.7191.1KOff
11 Sep 20260.061 AUD1.7%0.0719 AUD0.0746 AUD-0.44-15.35118.3KOff
4 Sep 20260.06 AUD0.0%0.0731 AUD0.0749 AUD-0.72-19.210Off
28 Aug 20260.06 AUD0.0%0.0741 AUD0.0751 AUD-0.94-20.060Off
21 Aug 20260.06 AUD0.0%0.0753 AUD0.0754 AUD-1.11-19.979.9KOff
14 Aug 20260.06 AUD9.1%0.0762 AUD0.0756 AUD-1.16-20.7458.3KOff
7 Aug 20260.055 AUD0.0%0.0769 AUD0.076 AUD-1.28-28.870Off
31 Jul 20260.055 AUD0.0%0.0775 AUD0.0763 AUD-1.28-27.060Off
24 Jul 20260.055 AUD7.8%0.0782 AUD0.0767 AUD-1.20-25.990Off
17 Jul 20260.051 AUD0.0%0.0787 AUD0.077 AUD-1.08-32.120Off
10 Jul 20260.051 AUD-27.1%0.0794 AUD0.0775 AUD-1.11-32.670Off
3 Jul 20260.07 AUD-6.7%0.0801 AUD0.0778 AUD-1.00-8.660Off
26 Jun 20260.075 AUD11.9%0.0801 AUD0.0782 AUD-1.01-1.390Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context