- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.14% based on similar historical setup states.
MCD
BUE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
McDonald's Corporation · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Latest close
18,100 ARS
1.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 34.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 0.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
54
out of 100
Latest Close
18,100 ARS
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
5.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
61.5%
32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.8%.
Indicator stack
34/71
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 59.14%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
10 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 34.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 0.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2212-week average 0.23
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.22Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.8% over four weeks, 5.7% over 12 weeks, and 6.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.39Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change171.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.68Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change30.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.
1 positive · 7 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.0%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-6.8%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.3% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAR Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank19 / 34
Group average2.9%
Trend breadth44.1%
Trend44.1%active weekly trend signals
MD76.5%positive activity pressure
RS17.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAR Restaurants
4-week rank2 / 4
Group average-1.1%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS25.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape52/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 52/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis18/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.22; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.14%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.14% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.
What Are Wall Street Analysts' Target Price for McDonald's Stock? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 18,100 ARS | 1.8% | 18,615 ARS | 15,395 ARS | 0.39 | -16.68 | 687.4K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 17,780 ARS | 0.9% | 18,666 ARS | 15,325 ARS | 0.13 | -23.56 | 377.0K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 17,630 ARS | 0.2% | 18,723 ARS | 15,256 ARS | 0.02 | -24.48 | 237.8K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 17,590 ARS | -2.0% | 18,802 ARS | 15,186 ARS | -0.26 | -23.08 | 242.4K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 17,950 ARS | -3.4% | 18,897 ARS | 15,116 ARS | -0.54 | -23.88 | 104.9K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 18,580 ARS | 7.0% | 18,965 ARS | 15,043 ARS | -0.83 | -19.67 | 11.4K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 17,360 ARS | -3.0% | 18,998 ARS | 14,965 ARS | -1.19 | -23.52 | 36.5K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 17,890 ARS | 0.5% | 19,077 ARS | 14,894 ARS | -1.17 | -25.53 | 12.0K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 17,800 ARS | 1.1% | 19,128 ARS | 14,820 ARS | -1.10 | -27.56 | 73.3K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 17,610 ARS | 1.7% | 19,164 ARS | 14,746 ARS | -1.02 | -22.46 | 70.5K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 17,320 ARS | -1.1% | 19,192 ARS | 14,671 ARS | -0.90 | -25.97 | 286.7K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 17,510 ARS | 2.2% | 19,239 ARS | 14,598 ARS | -0.83 | -17.05 | 609.2K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 17,130 ARS | 0.4% | 19,320 ARS | 14,524 ARS | -0.79 | -14.78 | 353.4K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 17,060 ARS | -6.8% | 19,412 ARS | 14,453 ARS | -0.71 | -17.09 | 311.9K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.