ALMU NASDAQ Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Aeluma, Inc · Technology · Semiconductors

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Latest close 18.30 USD
13.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 37.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.0%, after a 4.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 53/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 26d.

Setup score 27 out of 100
Latest Close 18.30 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 13.0% latest completed week
4W Return 4.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -26.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 44.2% 23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 13.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 4.0%. Indicator stack 24/0 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 53/100 conviction; expected move 16.5%. News sentiment 49/100 15 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 26d Next report is scheduled for 08 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 37.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.0%, after a 4.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4312-week average 0.51

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.43Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.0% over four weeks, -26.4% over 12 weeks, and -11.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W13.0%
4W4.0%
12W-26.4%
26W21.5%
52W-11.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.96Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1707.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.61Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change45.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 77%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength3/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Value16/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Quality13/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Momentum12/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Growth85/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
64.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-0.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
41.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-121.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-23.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-139.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
43.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-7.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-7.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
6.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

ALMU shows volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.05, expected move of 16.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction53/100
Expected move16.5%
Put/call volume0.05
Pressure96
Speculation13
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.

1 positive · 13 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings26dNext report is scheduled for 08 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move16.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-42.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+49.8%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-19.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week+13.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses12
Recent vol9.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol14.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew14.0% / -9.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape26/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis55/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 5/12.

Activity pressure 0.43; No reversal markers Factors10/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 84; Small Cap Core rank 91 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options36/100

ALMU shows volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.05, expected move of 16.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 16.5% Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.

NXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ:NXPI) Q2: Beats On Revenue But Stock Drops Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings26d

Next report is scheduled for 08 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202618.30 USD13.0%18.00 USD9.70 USD-0.96-8.612.9MOff
31 Jul 202616.20 USD14.0%18.13 USD9.61 USD-0.83-15.602.9MOff
24 Jul 202614.21 USD-2.6%18.19 USD9.53 USD-0.59-26.262.1MOff
17 Jul 202614.60 USD-17.0%18.32 USD9.46 USD-0.27-26.523.1MOff
10 Jul 202617.60 USD-6.6%18.31 USD9.39 USD0.06-15.752.1MOn
3 Jul 202618.85 USD-5.8%18.33 USD9.30 USD0.36-8.382.3MOn
26 Jun 202620.02 USD-17.2%18.24 USD9.20 USD0.58-2.183.9MOn
19 Jun 202624.19 USD-4.0%18.04 USD9.09 USD0.7013.013.0MOn
12 Jun 202625.20 USD11.6%17.66 USD8.95 USD0.8121.464.9MOn
5 Jun 202622.59 USD4.7%17.27 USD8.81 USD0.9912.117.9MOn
29 May 202621.58 USD-4.7%17.01 USD8.68 USD1.162.015.2MOn
22 May 202622.64 USD-8.9%16.83 USD8.57 USD1.3310.247.9MOn
15 May 202624.86 USD1.8%16.60 USD8.45 USD1.2122.8213.9MOn
8 May 202624.41 USD-4.6%16.33 USD8.31 USD0.8321.0510.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context