JPX Equity Snapshot

3863 Weekly Equity Report

Nippon Paper Industries Co., Ltd.

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 1,218 JPY 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -0.2% latest completed week
4W Return -16.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Nippon Paper Industries Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of pulp and paper products in Japan, Oceania, Asia, North America, and internationally. The company offers paper products, including printing and writing, business communication, wrapping, functional specialty, and converting papers; newsprints; household paper and professional products, which comprise facial and bath tissue, paper towels, pre-moistened and industrial-use wipes, and personal-care products; health care products; paper-based materials under the SHIELDPLUS brand; and paper straws. It also provides kitchen products; kraft and dissolving pulps; cellulose nanofiber; agriculture products, such as seedlings; plywood and laminated lumber products; …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

3863 closed the latest completed week at 1,218 JPY. The 4-week return is -16.0% and the 12-week return is 1.8%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.12. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 34/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -1.5%
Volume 0.9x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 84 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 15 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 39 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 39 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 27 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
1,236 JPY
Vs Trend Line
-1.5%
Fair Value
1,107 JPY
Vs Fair Value
10.0%
52W High
1,612 JPY
52W Low
975.4 JPY
Drawdown
-24.4%
Range Position
38.1%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -0.2%
4W -16.0%
12W 1.8%
26W 10.6%
52W 18.9%

Trend read

Active Streak
16 weeks
52W Active Weeks
37
52W Active Breadth
71.2%
Sector Scope
JP Basic Materials
Sector Rank
103 of 264
Sector Percentile
61.2%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.12
4W MD Change
-107.7%
Relative Strength
-22.19
4W RS Change
-644.5%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
48.76%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
5.4M
13W Average
5.8M
52W Average
3.2M
Vs 13W
0.9x
Vs 52W
1.7x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
4.8%
52W Volatility
3.8%
Upside Weeks
30
Downside Weeks
22
Downside Breadth
42.3%
Avg Gain / Loss
3.0% / -3.2%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
JPX
Country
JP
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Paper & Paper Products
Currency
JPY
Market Cap
145.2B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 16-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 1,218 JPY -0.2% 1,236 JPY 1,107 JPY -0.12 -22.19 5.4M On
5 Jun 2026 1,220 JPY -3.1% 1,232 JPY 1,107 JPY 0.55 -23.26 8.8M On
29 May 2026 1,259 JPY -7.7% 1,226 JPY 1,107 JPY 0.93 -21.10 7.6M On
22 May 2026 1,364 JPY -5.9% 1,223 JPY 1,106 JPY 1.30 -11.11 5.3M On
15 May 2026 1,450 JPY -0.1% 1,217 JPY 1,104 JPY 1.54 -2.98 7.3M On
8 May 2026 1,451 JPY 5.8% 1,206 JPY 1,102 JPY 1.54 -5.14 3.0M On
1 May 2026 1,371 JPY -4.3% 1,196 JPY 1,100 JPY 1.53 -5.90 6.2M On
24 Apr 2026 1,432 JPY 0.1% 1,191 JPY 1,098 JPY 1.48 -2.48 7.5M On
17 Apr 2026 1,431 JPY 8.2% 1,185 JPY 1,095 JPY 1.35 -1.01 5.8M On
10 Apr 2026 1,322 JPY 2.5% 1,178 JPY 1,093 JPY 1.09 -6.51 3.1M On
3 Apr 2026 1,290 JPY 2.1% 1,175 JPY 1,090 JPY 1.15 -2.69 5.0M On
27 Mar 2026 1,263 JPY 5.6% 1,173 JPY 1,089 JPY 1.13 -5.45 6.2M On
20 Mar 2026 1,197 JPY -5.3% 1,171 JPY 1,087 JPY 1.20 -10.67 4.0M On
13 Mar 2026 1,264 JPY 0.2% 1,171 JPY 1,086 JPY 1.32 -6.78 3.9M On