- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
ERAA
JKT
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Latest close
464.0 IDR
10.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 19.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.5%, after a 36.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
63
out of 100
Latest Close
464.0 IDR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
10.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
36.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
17.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
5.8%
3 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 37.74% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
10.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 36.5%.
Indicator stack
3/84
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 37.74%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
7 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 19.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.5%, after a 36.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1512-week average 0.10
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 36.5% over four weeks, 17.8% over 12 weeks, and 5.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year3
Trend breadth5.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.97Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change204.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership34.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change415.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
0 positive · 5 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-17.8%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+10.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks2
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol7.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.3% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank6 / 100
Group average8.6%
Trend breadth13.0%
Trend13.0%active weekly trend signals
MD46.0%positive activity pressure
RS65.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Specialty Retail
4-week rank2 / 9
Group average12.3%
Trend breadth11.1%
Trend11.1%active weekly trend signals
MD77.8%positive activity pressure
RS88.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape54/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis32/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 37.74%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 37.74% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA): Company Profile, Stock Price, News, Rankings Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 464.0 IDR | 10.5% | 388.1 IDR | 406.7 IDR | 0.97 | 34.07 | 674.4M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 420.0 IDR | 5.5% | 386.1 IDR | 406.6 IDR | 0.48 | 25.36 | 396.7M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 398.0 IDR | 8.2% | 385.8 IDR | 406.7 IDR | -0.13 | 19.89 | 531.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 368.0 IDR | 8.2% | 386.1 IDR | 407.0 IDR | -0.68 | 11.07 | 150.7M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 340.0 IDR | -0.3% | 387.4 IDR | 407.5 IDR | -0.93 | 6.61 | 238.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 341.0 IDR | 2.2% | 389.7 IDR | 408.0 IDR | -1.19 | 7.07 | 39.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 333.5 IDR | -4.3% | 392.7 IDR | 408.5 IDR | -1.29 | 3.69 | 26.0M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 348.5 IDR | 2.7% | 395.4 IDR | 409.1 IDR | -1.20 | 2.79 | 11.2M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 339.1 IDR | 10.3% | 397.3 IDR | 409.8 IDR | -1.13 | 2.17 | 16.0M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 307.5 IDR | -17.8% | 400.0 IDR | 410.4 IDR | -0.84 | -1.00 | 60.4M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 374.0 IDR | 0.5% | 404.1 IDR | 411.3 IDR | -0.41 | 9.22 | 58.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 372.0 IDR | -5.6% | 405.7 IDR | 411.8 IDR | -0.14 | 7.53 | 154.0M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 394.0 IDR | -3.0% | 407.5 IDR | 412.2 IDR | 0.03 | 3.82 | 111.8M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 406.0 IDR | -1.0% | 407.9 IDR | 412.3 IDR | 0.04 | 2.90 | 162.4M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.