- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
RY4C
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ryanair Holdings plc · Industrials · Airlines
Latest close
25.30 EUR
4.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 44.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a -4.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
37
out of 100
Latest Close
25.30 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-4.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
12.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
57.7%
30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -4.8%.
Indicator stack
32/51
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
53/100
10 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 44.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a -4.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3412-week average 0.21
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.34Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -4.8% over four weeks, 12.7% over 12 weeks, and -1.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-49.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.84Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1073.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength84/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality86/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Momentum35/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Growth93/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework75/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 12.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 7.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 22.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 15.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 11.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 20.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 11.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 37.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -3.3% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 2.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.
1 positive · 8 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.3%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-9.6%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+4.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Industrials
4-week rank85 / 100
Group average4.0%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD59.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Airlines
4-week rank5 / 9
Group average-4.0%
Trend breadth88.9%
Trend88.9%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis27/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.34; No reversal markers Factors71/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 20; Small Cap Core rank 36 SVQF75/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 96.0 of 375 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.
American Airlines vs. Ryanair: Which Airline Is Better Positioned to Navigate Higher Fuel Costs? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 25.30 EUR | 4.0% | 25.67 EUR | 20.88 EUR | 0.27 | -9.84 | 60.2K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 24.32 EUR | 1.2% | 25.79 EUR | 20.81 EUR | 0.36 | -11.17 | 35.1K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 24.02 EUR | -8.0% | 25.96 EUR | 20.76 EUR | 0.49 | -10.58 | 133.9K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 26.10 EUR | -1.8% | 26.13 EUR | 20.70 EUR | 0.59 | -1.88 | 85.3K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 26.58 EUR | -2.3% | 26.24 EUR | 20.63 EUR | 0.52 | -0.84 | 110.1K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 27.20 EUR | -1.4% | 26.33 EUR | 20.57 EUR | 0.27 | -1.24 | 2.8K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 27.59 EUR | 5.1% | 26.35 EUR | 20.49 EUR | -0.06 | 4.85 | 7.3K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 26.24 EUR | 6.9% | 26.36 EUR | 20.42 EUR | -0.29 | -1.25 | 8.9K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 24.54 EUR | 1.9% | 26.35 EUR | 20.35 EUR | -0.38 | -6.23 | 67.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 24.08 EUR | -4.5% | 26.42 EUR | 20.30 EUR | -0.56 | -8.38 | 7.1K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 25.22 EUR | 1.8% | 26.49 EUR | 20.25 EUR | -0.56 | -5.36 | 123.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 24.77 EUR | 10.3% | 26.52 EUR | 20.19 EUR | -0.81 | -6.22 | 189.6K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 22.45 EUR | -5.3% | 26.54 EUR | 20.13 EUR | -1.07 | -11.66 | 127.5K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 23.71 EUR | 4.5% | 26.63 EUR | 20.09 EUR | -0.89 | -8.13 | 166.3K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.