- The trend backdrop is active with a 10-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
KPO
ASX
Week ended 25 Sep 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Kalina Power Limited · Utilities · Utilities - Diversified
Latest close
0.02 AUD
-4.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 24.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 58.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.8%, after a -20.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
51
out of 100
Latest Close
0.02 AUD
25 Sep 2026
1W Return
-4.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-20.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
53.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
51.9%
27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 35.28% based on similar historical setup states.
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -20.0%.
Indicator stack
63/70
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 35.28%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 24.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 58.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.8%, after a -20.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9212-week average 0.62
12-week confirmation
Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.92Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -20.0% over four weeks, 53.8% over 12 weeks, and 66.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 10 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak10 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.21Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-24.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership26.55Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-55.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 18 Sep 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2024
Field coverage 58%
Model confidence 17%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength38/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Value43/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Quality42/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Momentum43/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Growth44/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -5.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -33.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 1/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -4.5% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -4.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
2 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
24 Jul
21 Aug
25 Sep
Weeks higher9 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+30.4%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-16.0%Week of 18 Sep.
Latest week-4.8%Week of 25 Sep.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains0
Flat weeks9
Modest losses0
Sharp losses8
Recent vol12.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol13.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew14.9% / -9.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Utilities
4-week rank22 / 23
Group average4.3%
Trend breadth43.5%
Trend43.5%active weekly trend signals
MD69.6%positive activity pressure
RS43.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Utilities - Diversified
4-week rank3 / 3
Group average-6.3%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape53/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis78/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.92; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 35.28%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 35.28% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors40/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 75; Small Cap Core rank 59 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
Kalina Power Details Governance Framework in 2026 Annual Report Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | 0.02 AUD | -4.8% | 0.0161 AUD | 0.009985 AUD | 1.21 | 26.55 | 7.8M | On |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 0.021 AUD | -16.0% | 0.016 AUD | 0.009905 AUD | 1.57 | 33.19 | 8.6M | On |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 0.025 AUD | 0.0% | 0.0158 AUD | 0.009819 AUD | 1.80 | 60.34 | 19.8M | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 0.025 AUD | 0.0% | 0.0154 AUD | 0.009702 AUD | 1.73 | 58.20 | 8.3M | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 0.025 AUD | 0.0% | 0.015 AUD | 0.009596 AUD | 1.60 | 59.18 | 16.5M | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 0.025 AUD | 19.0% | 0.0146 AUD | 0.009497 AUD | 1.45 | 62.32 | 9.7M | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.021 AUD | 16.7% | 0.0143 AUD | 0.009385 AUD | 1.35 | 37.72 | 4.3M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.018 AUD | 0.0% | 0.014 AUD | 0.009293 AUD | 1.23 | 17.45 | 1.5M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.018 AUD | -14.3% | 0.014 AUD | 0.009227 AUD | 1.15 | 22.19 | 3.9M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.021 AUD | 23.5% | 0.0138 AUD | 0.00916 AUD | 0.84 | 47.15 | 3.1M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.017 AUD | 13.3% | 0.0136 AUD | 0.00908 AUD | 0.72 | 20.22 | 390.6K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.015 AUD | 15.4% | 0.0134 AUD | 0.009026 AUD | 0.49 | 6.54 | 2.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.013 AUD | -7.1% | 0.0134 AUD | 0.008985 AUD | 0.15 | -7.34 | 1.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.014 AUD | 7.7% | 0.0135 AUD | 0.008956 AUD | 0.13 | 1.65 | 7.3M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.