- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
TPC
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
TPC Consolidated Limited · Utilities · Utilities - Diversified
Latest close
3.20 AUD
4.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -21.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a -7.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.
Setup score
28
out of 100
Latest Close
3.20 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-13.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 35.18% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move -7.2%.
Indicator stack
0/79
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 35.18%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
52/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -21.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a -7.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0212-week average 0.06
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -7.2% over four weeks, -13.5% over 12 weeks, and -58.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change327.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-39.79Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-9.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 82%
Model confidence 42%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength3/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Value16/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Quality5/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Momentum2/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Growth13/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 126.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 13.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -7.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 14.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -0.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -1.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -2.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 20.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -94.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 6.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 6.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
1 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-58.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher8 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+26.5%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-35.1%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains2
Flat weeks9
Modest losses3
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -8.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Utilities
4-week rank18 / 23
Group average7.4%
Trend breadth34.8%
Trend34.8%active weekly trend signals
MD47.8%positive activity pressure
RS30.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Utilities - Diversified
4-week rank3 / 3
Group average5.4%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape28/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis28/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 35.18%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 35.18% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors5/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Tiny Titans rank 80; Buyback Yield rank 62; Small Cap Core rank 21 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
TPC Consolidated (ASX:TPC) Navigates Energy Retailing Challenges as CovaU Operations Drive Long-Term Investor Focus Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3.20 AUD | 4.9% | 4.05 AUD | 7.28 AUD | 0.16 | -39.79 | 2.8K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.05 AUD | -11.6% | 4.15 AUD | 7.28 AUD | 0.10 | -41.81 | 5.3K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.45 AUD | 0.0% | 4.24 AUD | 7.29 AUD | 0.12 | -33.82 | 6.6K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.45 AUD | 0.0% | 4.32 AUD | 7.29 AUD | -0.03 | -35.25 | 0 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.45 AUD | -1.4% | 4.40 AUD | 7.29 AUD | 0.04 | -36.51 | 965 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3.50 AUD | 0.0% | 4.47 AUD | 7.30 AUD | 0.08 | -37.09 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.50 AUD | 2.9% | 4.55 AUD | 7.30 AUD | 0.09 | -37.68 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.40 AUD | 6.2% | 4.62 AUD | 7.30 AUD | 0.08 | -41.01 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.20 AUD | -10.9% | 4.70 AUD | 7.30 AUD | 0.18 | -45.35 | 501 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.59 AUD | 0.0% | 4.81 AUD | 7.31 AUD | 0.16 | -38.60 | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.59 AUD | 0.0% | 4.90 AUD | 7.31 AUD | 0.19 | -40.39 | 0 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.59 AUD | -3.0% | 5.01 AUD | 7.31 AUD | 0.17 | -40.91 | 3.0K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 3.70 AUD | -13.6% | 5.11 AUD | 7.31 AUD | 0.07 | -39.96 | 2.1K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.28 AUD | 2.6% | 5.21 AUD | 7.31 AUD | -0.06 | -32.59 | 239 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.