MEX Equity Snapshot
ARCON Weekly Equity Report
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
What the company does
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. operates as a franchisee of McDonald's restaurants. It has the exclusive right to own, operate, and grant franchises of McDonald's restaurants in 21 countries and territories in Latin America and the Caribbean, including Argentina, Aruba, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Curacao, Ecuador, French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Mexico, Panama, Peru, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, Uruguay, the U.S. Virgin Islands of St. Croix and St. Thomas, and Venezuela. Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. was founded in 2007 and is based in Montevideo, Uruguay.
What the weekly tape is saying
ARCON closed the latest completed week at 150.8 MXN. The 4-week return is -0.1% and the 12-week return is 1.3%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.20. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 58/100 composite read.
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
16-week signal tape
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price map
- Trend Line
- 144.6 MXN
- Vs Trend Line
- 4.3%
- Fair Value
- 160.4 MXN
- Vs Fair Value
- -6.0%
- 52W High
- 163.3 MXN
- 52W Low
- 119.9 MXN
- Drawdown
- -7.7%
- Range Position
- 71.1%
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 19 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 19
- 52W Active Breadth
- 36.5%
- Sector Scope
- MX Consumer Cyclical
- Sector Rank
- 16 of 97
- Sector Percentile
- 84.4%
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
MX Consumer Cyclical
- Tracked Peers
- 97
- 4W Rank
- 56 of 97
- Avg 1W
- 0.2%
- Avg 4W
- 2.0%
- Trend Breadth
- 18.6%
- Positive MD
- 41.2%
MX Restaurants
- Tracked Peers
- 10
- 4W Rank
- 5 of 10
- Avg 1W
- 2.3%
- Avg 4W
- -0.3%
- Trend Breadth
- 20.0%
- Positive RS
- 20.0%
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- -0.20
- 4W MD Change
- -130.9%
- Relative Strength
- 1.45
- 4W RS Change
- 190.8%
- Expectation
- Negative
- Probability
- 27.15%
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 19.7K
- 13W Average
- 13.3K
- 52W Average
- 4.6K
- Vs 13W
- 1.5x
- Vs 52W
- 4.3x
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 4.0%
- 52W Volatility
- 3.7%
- Upside Weeks
- 14
- Downside Weeks
- 12
- Downside Breadth
- 23.1%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 4.0% / -4.0%
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- MEX
- Country
- MX
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Currency
- MXN
- Market Cap
- 31.6B
Opportunity signals
- Trend Signal is active with a 19-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
Risk signals
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 150.8 MXN | 4.9% | 144.6 MXN | 160.4 MXN | -0.20 | 1.45 | 19.7K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 143.8 MXN | -4.3% | 144.0 MXN | 160.3 MXN | -0.18 | -0.88 | 8.0K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 150.2 MXN | -3.1% | 143.5 MXN | 160.4 MXN | 0.17 | -0.45 | 16.0K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 155.0 MXN | 2.6% | 142.5 MXN | 160.3 MXN | 0.53 | 2.82 | 25.8K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 151.0 MXN | 0.0% | 141.3 MXN | 160.3 MXN | 0.65 | 0.50 | 0 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 151.0 MXN | -3.8% | 140.3 MXN | 160.3 MXN | 0.80 | -2.45 | 5.2K | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 157.0 MXN | -3.9% | 139.2 MXN | 160.2 MXN | 0.93 | 3.99 | 33.5K | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 163.3 MXN | 10.4% | 138.1 MXN | 160.2 MXN | 0.79 | 5.72 | 0 | On |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 148.0 MXN | 0.0% | 136.8 MXN | 160.0 MXN | 0.69 | -5.21 | 0 | On |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 148.0 MXN | 0.1% | 136.4 MXN | 160.0 MXN | 0.82 | -5.99 | 43.2K | On |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 147.9 MXN | 2.4% | 136.1 MXN | 160.0 MXN | 0.84 | -6.27 | 6 | On |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 144.4 MXN | -3.0% | 135.7 MXN | 160.0 MXN | 0.83 | -5.12 | 21.1K | On |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 148.9 MXN | 0.0% | 135.4 MXN | 160.0 MXN | 0.92 | 0.93 | 0 | On |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 148.9 MXN | 0.0% | 135.0 MXN | 160.0 MXN | 0.98 | -2.12 | 0 | On |