MEX Equity Snapshot

ARCON Weekly Equity Report

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

Latest Close 150.8 MXN 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 4.9% latest completed week
4W Return -0.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 36.5% 19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. operates as a franchisee of McDonald's restaurants. It has the exclusive right to own, operate, and grant franchises of McDonald's restaurants in 21 countries and territories in Latin America and the Caribbean, including Argentina, Aruba, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Curacao, Ecuador, French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Mexico, Panama, Peru, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, Uruguay, the U.S. Virgin Islands of St. Croix and St. Thomas, and Venezuela. Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. was founded in 2007 and is based in Montevideo, Uruguay.

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

ARCON closed the latest completed week at 150.8 MXN. The 4-week return is -0.1% and the 12-week return is 1.3%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.20. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 58/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 4.3%
Volume 1.5x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 65 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 51 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 36 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 70 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 62 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 67 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
144.6 MXN
Vs Trend Line
4.3%
Fair Value
160.4 MXN
Vs Fair Value
-6.0%
52W High
163.3 MXN
52W Low
119.9 MXN
Drawdown
-7.7%
Range Position
71.1%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 4.9%
4W -0.1%
12W 1.3%
26W 8.5%
52W 3.7%

Trend read

Active Streak
19 weeks
52W Active Weeks
19
52W Active Breadth
36.5%
Sector Scope
MX Consumer Cyclical
Sector Rank
16 of 97
Sector Percentile
84.4%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.20
4W MD Change
-130.9%
Relative Strength
1.45
4W RS Change
190.8%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
27.15%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
19.7K
13W Average
13.3K
52W Average
4.6K
Vs 13W
1.5x
Vs 52W
4.3x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
4.0%
52W Volatility
3.7%
Upside Weeks
14
Downside Weeks
12
Downside Breadth
23.1%
Avg Gain / Loss
4.0% / -4.0%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
MEX
Country
MX
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Restaurants
Currency
MXN
Market Cap
31.6B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 19-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.

Risk signals

  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 150.8 MXN 4.9% 144.6 MXN 160.4 MXN -0.20 1.45 19.7K On
5 Jun 2026 143.8 MXN -4.3% 144.0 MXN 160.3 MXN -0.18 -0.88 8.0K On
29 May 2026 150.2 MXN -3.1% 143.5 MXN 160.4 MXN 0.17 -0.45 16.0K On
22 May 2026 155.0 MXN 2.6% 142.5 MXN 160.3 MXN 0.53 2.82 25.8K On
15 May 2026 151.0 MXN 0.0% 141.3 MXN 160.3 MXN 0.65 0.50 0 On
8 May 2026 151.0 MXN -3.8% 140.3 MXN 160.3 MXN 0.80 -2.45 5.2K On
1 May 2026 157.0 MXN -3.9% 139.2 MXN 160.2 MXN 0.93 3.99 33.5K On
24 Apr 2026 163.3 MXN 10.4% 138.1 MXN 160.2 MXN 0.79 5.72 0 On
17 Apr 2026 148.0 MXN 0.0% 136.8 MXN 160.0 MXN 0.69 -5.21 0 On
10 Apr 2026 148.0 MXN 0.1% 136.4 MXN 160.0 MXN 0.82 -5.99 43.2K On
3 Apr 2026 147.9 MXN 2.4% 136.1 MXN 160.0 MXN 0.84 -6.27 6 On
27 Mar 2026 144.4 MXN -3.0% 135.7 MXN 160.0 MXN 0.83 -5.12 21.1K On
20 Mar 2026 148.9 MXN 0.0% 135.4 MXN 160.0 MXN 0.92 0.93 0 On
13 Mar 2026 148.9 MXN 0.0% 135.0 MXN 160.0 MXN 0.98 -2.12 0 On