- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
ARCON
MEX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Latest close
146.7 MXN
2.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 61.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.9%, after a 1.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
54
out of 100
Latest Close
146.7 MXN
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-2.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
44.2%
23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.0%.
Indicator stack
24/29
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 27.78%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 61.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.9%, after a 1.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4112-week average 0.71
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.41Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.0% over four weeks, -2.8% over 12 weeks, and 7.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.03Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-32.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.26Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change115.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.3%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-7.3%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+2.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains7
Flat weeks7
Modest losses7
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split15/12Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank42 / 97
Group average-0.1%
Trend breadth28.9%
Trend28.9%active weekly trend signals
MD59.8%positive activity pressure
RS32.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Restaurants
4-week rank3 / 10
Group average1.1%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape51/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 51/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis47/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 7/12.
Activity pressure 0.41; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 27.78%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 27.78% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 146.7 MXN | 2.9% | 147.1 MXN | 160.3 MXN | -1.03 | 2.26 | 13.1K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 142.5 MXN | -0.3% | 146.8 MXN | 160.3 MXN | -1.09 | -0.80 | 16 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 143.0 MXN | 0.0% | 146.7 MXN | 160.3 MXN | -0.98 | 0.13 | 0 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 143.0 MXN | -1.5% | 146.5 MXN | 160.4 MXN | -0.84 | -0.46 | 13.6K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 145.2 MXN | 0.0% | 146.4 MXN | 160.4 MXN | -0.78 | 1.05 | 0 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 145.2 MXN | -3.7% | 146.2 MXN | 160.4 MXN | -0.69 | -0.07 | 0 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 150.8 MXN | 0.8% | 145.8 MXN | 160.4 MXN | -0.75 | 3.20 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 149.6 MXN | 0.0% | 145.1 MXN | 160.4 MXN | -0.67 | 1.37 | 0 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 149.6 MXN | 4.9% | 144.5 MXN | 160.4 MXN | -0.33 | 0.66 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 142.6 MXN | -5.0% | 143.9 MXN | 160.3 MXN | -0.21 | -1.67 | 0 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 150.1 MXN | -3.1% | 143.5 MXN | 160.4 MXN | 0.16 | -0.49 | 16.0K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 154.9 MXN | 2.6% | 142.5 MXN | 160.3 MXN | 0.52 | 2.78 | 25.8K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 150.9 MXN | 0.0% | 141.3 MXN | 160.3 MXN | 0.64 | 0.45 | 0 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 150.9 MXN | -3.8% | 140.2 MXN | 160.3 MXN | 0.80 | -2.49 | 5.2K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.