The latest close is inside the activity area established before the last four weeks. 4 of those four closes were inside that area. Recent volume balance is positive; the estimated activity centre is higher.
52 weeks2025-10-10 to 2026-10-02Weekly volume estimate
The relationship beneath price · 2026-10-02
Mixed evidence
These diagnostics use fixed windows through the latest completed week. Chart period controls below change the activity study separately.
Four-week price move0.4%0.3% over thirteen weeks
Latest relative volume2.62×3.08× recent four-week median
Closing pressure35.2%Volume-weighted position within weekly ranges
Up-week volume share96.8%3.2% in declining weeks · last 13 weeks
At least twice normal volume
Price and pressure through time
Compare four-week returns with four-week closing pressure. Opposite signs reveal disagreement; agreement alone is not predictive.
View weekly evidence values
Week
4-week return
Pressure
Relative volume
2025-10-10
0.7%
92.8%
1.25×
2025-10-17
0.5%
82.6%
1.26×
2025-10-24
0.4%
29.7%
2.01×
2025-10-31
0.5%
21.5%
2.04×
2025-11-07
0.4%
15.2%
3.08×
2025-11-14
0.4%
13.6%
1.63×
2025-11-21
0.6%
48.2%
1.16×
2025-11-28
0.2%
40.7%
0.99×
2025-12-05
0.2%
2.5%
4.46×
2025-12-12
0.4%
8.5%
1.04×
2025-12-19
0.4%
36.0%
3.50×
2025-12-26
0.5%
38.9%
0.57×
2026-01-02
0.5%
93.2%
0.55×
2026-01-09
0.5%
97.4%
0.77×
2026-01-16
0.5%
87.1%
0.41×
2026-01-23
0.6%
83.6%
0.92×
2026-01-30
0.7%
90.8%
1.16×
2026-02-06
0.7%
94.1%
2.78×
2026-02-13
0.7%
87.1%
1.05×
2026-02-20
0.5%
90.9%
1.73×
2026-02-27
0.2%
62.8%
0.83×
2026-03-06
0.1%
28.3%
1.07×
2026-03-13
0.0%
17.6%
2.48×
2026-03-20
-0.1%
-17.0%
1.34×
2026-03-27
0.1%
14.3%
2.87×
2026-04-03
0.1%
9.1%
2.88×
2026-04-10
0.3%
39.7%
3.52×
2026-04-17
0.5%
55.9%
1.27×
2026-04-24
0.6%
68.7%
1.55×
2026-05-01
0.1%
95.3%
1.70×
2026-05-08
-0.1%
38.6%
2.23×
2026-05-15
-0.1%
42.7%
1.60×
2026-05-22
-0.2%
12.0%
1.38×
2026-05-29
0.4%
13.1%
1.17×
2026-06-05
0.5%
55.5%
0.19×
2026-06-12
0.4%
35.5%
0.11×
2026-06-19
0.6%
100.0%
0.32×
2026-06-26
0.6%
100.0%
0.32×
2026-07-03
0.1%
100.0%
0.36×
2026-07-10
0.1%
100.0%
0.27×
2026-07-17
0.0%
100.0%
0.20×
2026-07-24
0.0%
100.0%
0.43×
2026-07-31
0.0%
82.8%
0.25×
2026-08-07
0.0%
47.9%
0.32×
2026-08-14
0.0%
1.2%
0.43×
2026-08-21
-0.1%
-14.5%
0.29×
2026-08-28
-0.2%
-47.8%
0.65×
2026-09-04
-0.2%
10.0%
16.51×
2026-09-11
-0.1%
23.5%
3.05×
2026-09-18
-0.2%
12.7%
3.57×
2026-09-25
0.5%
22.7%
2.83×
2026-10-02
0.4%
35.2%
2.62×
Does support survive a longer view?
Advancing-week volume share against price return and closing pressure.
A high advancing-volume share alongside weak closing pressure can mean price rose between closes but finished low within its weekly ranges. The two measures answer different questions.
Effort and result
100% price efficiency
Four-week net price movement as a share of the total close-to-close path. Lower readings indicate more back-and-forth movement, regardless of volume.
Latest close: 74% of the way from the weekly low to high.
Volume-weighted return tilt
0.07 percentage points
The volume-weighted average weekly return minus the ordinary average over thirteen weeks. Positive means more volume coincided with stronger returns; negative means volume leaned toward weaker returns.
An association within this listing, not measured capital flow.
Constructive confirmation
79.7 / 100
Price direction30.0 / 30
Closing pressure10.6 / 30
Up-week volume24.2 / 25
Volume confirmation15.0 / 15
Fixed weights favour supported advances. A low score can still contain useful bearish or reversal research.
Test the volume contribution
Did heavier trading change what followed?
Compare high-volume and ordinary-volume weeks with the same price direction.
High volume is at least 1.5× its preceding 26-week median; ordinary volume is 0.75–1.25×. Returns start at that week’s close. Each group uses non-overlapping completed outcomes.
Starting observation
After
High-volume examples
Median return
Ordinary examples
Median return
Difference
Advancing weeks
4 weeks
7
—
5
—
Limited sample
Advancing weeks
13 weeks
3
—
3
—
Limited sample
Declining weeks
4 weeks
2
—
1
—
Limited sample
Declining weeks
13 weeks
1
—
1
—
Limited sample
At least eight completed examples in both groups are required. Groups may overlap each other, and differ in volatility, trend and market conditions; their difference is not a causal volume effect or a statistical claim of edge. Up to six years of available history; price returns exclude dividends, costs and execution. Fixed definitions have not been validated out of sample.
Inspect the dated observations
Advancing weeks · 4 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2025-09-26
2025-10-24
0.4%
High volume
2025-10-24
2025-11-21
0.6%
High volume
2025-12-05
2026-01-02
0.5%
High volume
2026-02-06
2026-03-06
0.1%
High volume
2026-03-27
2026-04-24
0.6%
High volume
2026-04-24
2026-05-22
-0.2%
High volume
2026-09-04
2026-10-02
0.4%
Ordinary volume
2025-09-12
2025-10-10
0.7%
Ordinary volume
2025-11-21
2025-12-19
0.4%
Ordinary volume
2026-01-09
2026-02-06
0.7%
Ordinary volume
2026-02-13
2026-03-13
0.0%
Ordinary volume
2026-05-29
2026-06-26
0.6%
Advancing weeks · 13 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2025-09-26
2025-12-26
1.4%
High volume
2026-02-06
2026-05-08
0.3%
High volume
2026-05-08
2026-08-07
0.7%
Ordinary volume
2025-09-12
2025-12-12
1.5%
Ordinary volume
2025-12-12
2026-03-13
1.3%
Ordinary volume
2026-05-29
2026-08-28
-0.1%
Declining weeks · 4 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2026-03-13
2026-04-10
0.3%
High volume
2026-05-01
2026-05-29
0.4%
Ordinary volume
2026-02-27
2026-03-27
0.1%
Declining weeks · 13 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2026-03-13
2026-06-12
0.9%
Ordinary volume
2026-02-27
2026-05-29
0.6%
Price, activity and volume balance
Where volume is concentrated
2026-10-02Close 50.11
Weekly priceEstimated volume at priceMost active priceEarlier activity areaEstimated volume balance
Move over the chart, tap a week, or use the arrow keys to inspect it. The profile estimates where volume sits within weekly price ranges. The lower chart accumulates volume weighted by where each week closed in its range; its starting point changes with the selected period. This is not trade-based CVD.
Most active price49.95
Earlier activity area49.46 – 50.17
Recent volume balance35.2%
Recent weekly volume3.05×
View chart values
Completed weekly observations
Week ending
Close
Volume
2025-10-10
48.56
80631
2025-10-17
48.56
81026
2025-10-24
48.56
130313
2025-10-31
48.73
138485
2025-11-07
48.76
224857
2025-11-14
48.77
127112
2025-11-21
48.84
93820
2025-11-28
48.84
81329
2025-12-05
48.87
367674
2025-12-12
48.96
91727
2025-12-19
49.04
325059
2025-12-26
49.08
54999
2026-01-02
49.13
51401
2026-01-09
49.20
67217
2026-01-16
49.27
35431
2026-01-23
49.38
79234
2026-01-30
49.48
94247
2026-02-06
49.55
225962
2026-02-13
49.59
90857
2026-02-20
49.63
158181
2026-02-27
49.59
76720
2026-03-06
49.60
99452
2026-03-13
49.58
230412
2026-03-20
49.57
126003
2026-03-27
49.62
277697
2026-04-03
49.64
278656
2026-04-10
49.74
340989
2026-04-17
49.83
143373
2026-04-24
49.90
196183
2026-05-01
49.69
214852
2026-05-08
49.70
282830
2026-05-15
49.79
202194
2026-05-22
49.79
185984
2026-05-29
49.89
176920
2026-06-05
49.94
32428
2026-06-12
50.01
16909
2026-06-19
50.08
47825
2026-06-26
50.17
42694
2026-07-03
49.97
47844
2026-07-10
50.04
36669
2026-07-17
50.09
26937
2026-07-24
50.16
57948
2026-07-31
49.98
33379
2026-08-07
50.03
43075
2026-08-14
50.07
48070
2026-08-21
50.12
32879
2026-08-28
49.86
56978
2026-09-04
49.92
1299457
2026-09-11
50.00
280570
2026-09-18
50.02
328502
2026-09-25
50.09
285297
2026-10-02
50.11
264209
Earlier and recent activity
What has changed?
The recent comparison uses the last four completed weeks.
Activity centre
Higher
The recent centre moved +1.07% against the earlier part of this period.
Price and volume
No clear disagreement
Price changed +0.37% over four weeks. Volume balance is +35.2% on a scale from −100% to +100%.
Volume and price movement
More volume, clear price movement
Recent median weekly volume is 3.05× the earlier median. This describes price response, not the identity of buyers or sellers.
Recent closes
4 of 4 closes inside
Price was inside the earlier area before these four weeks. The earlier boundaries stay fixed for this comparison.
Activity over time
Darker cells show more estimated volume at that price. Use the chart to see where activity has moved. For longer periods, a column combines several weeks.
Volume and price movement
Each dot is a week. Compare weekly volume with the move from open to close.
What to check next
Holding outside the area
Watch which boundary price moves beyond and whether later closes remain outside it.
Returning inside
Price is currently inside the earlier area. Repeated closes here would show that activity remains in the same price range.
Price and volume disagreeing
There is no clear disagreement at present. Check whether volume balance continues to support any further price move.
Same stock · Earlier observations
Previous examples
Descriptive history, not a forecast.
Comparisons use the same period length, position relative to the earlier activity area and direction of recent volume balance. Outcomes do not overlap for each following period. At least five examples are needed to show a matched median. The median is the middle result; the all-period median includes earlier periods regardless of their volume reading.
Subsequent price changes
After
Examples
Median change
Sample
4 weeks
5
0.37
Available
13 weeks
1
—
Too few examples
Returns are close-to-close price changes. Interim lows show the lowest price reached during the period. Dividends, fees and trade execution are not included. The available history contains up to six years of weekly observations.
Compare with other studies
These studies describe different parts of the same market. Check each observation date.
The selected period sets the profile and volume balance starting point. “Start from a date” uses the first available week on or after that date. At least 13 consecutive weeks are required.
Compare earlier activity
The earlier activity area contains most of the estimated volume before the last four weeks. The activity centre is the average estimated price, weighted by volume. Compare subsequent closes with its boundaries, then read the volume balance alongside the price move.
Check the data
Volume is reported for the whole week. The distribution within the range and the direction of pressure are estimates. They cannot identify individual trades, investor holdings or institutional buying.
Reports use saved weekly data and refresh when those records change. Missing or invalid weeks restrict the available periods.
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