Ticker Options Intelligence

CATG options intelligence

Capstone Technologies Group Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 58 Market data through 18 Sep 2026 Checked 19 Sep 2026 17:23 ยท complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

CATG currently carries bullish options pressure with a 58/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 10.1%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.06.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 10.1%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.06

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -2.8%

Sharemaestro weekly context

Expected move 10.1%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.06
Reference IV 0.36
Max pain 10.00
Underlying 10.24
Nearest expiry 16 Oct 2026
Contracts 146

Research Brief

CATG has a bullish chain read with 58/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 9.21โ€“11.27; The largest call open-interest concentration is 9.00; the largest put concentration is 10.00. The most active strike by current volume is 10.00.

Priced range9.21โ€“11.27
Call concentration9.00
Put concentration10.00
Max pain reference10.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction ยท through 16 Oct

Options imply 9.21 to 11.27. Max pain at 10.00 sits inside that range, 2.3% below spot.

Spot Max pain
9.2110.24 ยฑ 1.0311.27
Confirmation level

A close beyond 11.27 or below 9.21 at the 16 Oct expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 58/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 ร— 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation42 ร— 22%
+9.1

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 ร— 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility66 ร— 10%
+6.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score57.7Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 9.00; the largest put concentration is 10.00. The most active strike by current volume is 10.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
1.00-90.2%
0
0
2.00-80.5%
0
0
3.00-70.7%
0
0
4.00-60.9%
0
0
5.00-51.2%
0
0
6.00-41.4%
0
0
7.00-31.6%
2
0
8.00-21.9%
1
0
9.00-12.1%
5
35
10.00-2.3%
2
0
11.007.4%
0
0
12.0017.2%
0
0
13.0027.0%
0
0
14.0036.7%
0
0
15.0046.5%
0
0
16.0056.3%
0
0
17.0066.0%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Negative gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks ยท 96% coverage

Put-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the call-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile-$2,150Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak12.00+$247
Negative peak10.00-$3,004
Nearest balance10.94Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
5.00-51.2%
+$2
6.00-41.4%
+$62
7.00-31.6%
+$7
8.00-21.9%
+$8
9.00-12.1%
+$72
10.00-2.3%
-$3,004
11.007.4%
+$200
12.0017.2%
+$247
13.0027.0%
+$33
14.0036.7%
+$4
15.0046.5%
+$11
16.0056.3%
+$141
17.0066.0%
+$24
18.0075.8%
+$12
20.0095.3%
+$6
22.00114.8%
+$25
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.80ร— front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.36 16 Oct 28d
0.46 20 Nov 63d
0.52 18 Dec 91d
0.46 19 Mar 182d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

9
10
11
12
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

18 matured ยท 6 directional

Across 6 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 0% of the time.

Directional follow-through0%
Moves contained by pricing89%
Average expiry move3.9%
16 Sep Volatility ยท 51 -2.8% through expiry 6.2% priced ยท v2.0
14 Sep Volatility ยท 57 -2.8% through expiry 15.4% priced ยท v2.0
11 Sep Mixed ยท 35 -2.8% through expiry 5.3% priced ยท v2.0
9 Sep Mixed ยท 35 -1.7% through expiry 12.2% priced ยท v2.0
4 Sep Bullish ยท 51 -1.7% through expiry 15.4% priced ยท v2.0
2 Sep Bearish ยท 41 0.7% through expiry 11.3% priced ยท v2.0
31 Aug Volatility ยท 51 0.7% through expiry 18.4% priced ยท v2.0
21 Aug Volatility ยท 56 -7.3% through expiry 19.1% priced ยท v2.0
14 Aug Bullish ยท 44 -7.3% through expiry 5.0% priced ยท v2.0
13 Aug Mixed ยท 32 -4.8% through expiry 4.8% priced ยท v2.0
12 Aug Bullish ยท 49 -4.8% through expiry 5.7% priced ยท v2.0
10 Aug Bullish ยท 48 -4.8% through expiry 6.2% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
18 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
146 / 146
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Directional flow, confirmation needed

43/100
Primary intent Directional flow, confirmation needed

There is useful activity, but aggregate chain data does not isolate participant intent.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Directional flow, confirmation needed matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1,440 of estimated gross traded notional, calls ยท 22-45 days ยท atm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price-2.8%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.06 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls ยท 22-45 days ยท ATM
Calls ยท 22-45 days ยท ATM calls cluster with 18 contracts traded, $1,440 estimated gross traded notional, and 100% of visible notional.
$1,440

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

45

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Baseline: 20 completed sessions

Volume rank55th
Volume/OI rank55th
IV rank25th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close10.24
1W-2.8%
RS-
Fair value-20.0%
Options pressure100
Speculation42
Volatility66
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 10.1% history building
30d avg - ยท 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 20/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 20/60 sessions -
IV 0.36 history building
30d avg - ยท 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 20/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 20/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - ยท 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 18/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 18/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.06 history building
30d avg - ยท 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 20/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 20/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:51 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 19.8%
30 Jul 11:27 Volatility
Pressure 98
Move 19.9%
31 Jul 11:01 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 14.0%
31 Jul 23:10 Volatility
Pressure 98
Move 68.2%
1 Aug 00:06 Volatility
Pressure 98
Move 68.2%
1 Aug 01:59 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 16.1%
2 Aug 18:31 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 16.7%
3 Aug 18:07 Volatility
Pressure 98
Move 81.2%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike1.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike2.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike3.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike4.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike6.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike7.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 2
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike8.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 1
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts38
Avg IV0.36
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts38
Avg IV0.46
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts32
Avg IV0.52
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts38
Avg IV0.46
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
16 Oct 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.15
Put IV0.07
Skew-0.08
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.09
Put IV0.05
Skew-0.04
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.08
Put IV0.89
Skew0.81
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.04
Put IV0.04
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractCATG261016C00010000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike10.00
Volume18
OI2
IV0.01
ContractCATG261218C00016000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike16.00
Volume-
OI70
IV0.39
ContractCATG261016P00010000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI35
IV0.07
ContractCATG270319C00022000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike22.00
Volume-
OI28
IV0.42
ContractCATG261218C00012000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike12.00
Volume-
OI25
IV0.16
ContractCATG261218C00015000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI20
IV0.34
ContractCATG270319C00006000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike6.00
Volume-
OI19
IV0.70
ContractCATG261218C00017000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike17.00
Volume-
OI14
IV0.43

Evidence context