Ticker Options Intelligence

RM options intelligence

Regional Management Corp options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 37 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 15:34 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

RM currently carries bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 11.9%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.04.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 11.9%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.04

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.50

Call-side skew

Trend fit 44

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -22.5%

RS -20.3

Expected move 11.9%
Put-call volume 0.50
Volume / OI 0.04
Reference IV 0.50
Max pain 25.00
Underlying 32.27
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 62

Research Brief

RM has a bullish chain read with 37/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 28.42–36.12; The largest call open-interest concentration is 25.00; the largest put concentration is 25.00. The most active strike by current volume is 25.00.

Priced range28.42–36.12
Call concentration25.00
Put concentration25.00
Max pain reference25.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 28.42 to 36.12. Max pain at 25.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
28.4232.27 ± 3.8536.12
Confirmation level

A close beyond 36.12 or below 28.42 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 37/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 40/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure40 × 42%
+17.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation6 × 22%
+1.4

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement44 × 26%
+11.5

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility75 × 10%
+7.5

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score37.4Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 25.00; the largest put concentration is 25.00. The most active strike by current volume is 25.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
1
25.00-22.5%
10
0
30.00-7.0%
0
0
35.008.5%
0
0
40.0024.0%
2
0
45.0039.4%
1
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.21× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.50 21 Aug 21d
0.42 18 Sep 49d
0.30 18 Dec 140d
0.41 19 Mar 231d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

30
35
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
62 / 62
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Put-heavy activity

74/100
Primary intent Put-heavy activity

Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $275 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+40
1W price-22.5%
Call premium27%
Put premium73%
Notional split C 27% / P 73% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.04 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 44/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · OTM
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $200 estimated gross traded notional, and 73% of visible notional.
$200
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $75 estimated gross traded notional, and 27% of visible notional.
$75

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close32.27
1W-22.5%
RS-20.3
Fair value+6.5%
Options pressure40
Speculation6
Volatility75
Trend fit44

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 11.9% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.50 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.50 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.04 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:36 Mixed
Pressure 6
Move 13.3%
29 Jul 19:30 Volatility
Pressure 43
Move 25.2%
31 Jul 09:26 Bullish
Pressure 40
Move 31.2%
1 Aug 14:34 Bullish
Pressure 40
Move 11.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 10
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts10
Avg IV0.50
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.42
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.30
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts16
Avg IV0.41
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.16
Put IV0.16
Skew-
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.47
Put IV0.43
Skew-0.04
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.05
Put IV0.07
Skew0.02
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.10
Put IV0.67
Skew0.57

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractRM260918C00040000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike40.00
Volume2
OI3
IV0.47
ContractRM260918C00050000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike50.00
Volume2
OI3
IV0.45
ContractRM270319P00022500
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike22.50
Volume2
OI-
IV0.20
ContractRM260918C00030000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike30.00
Volume-
OI28
IV0.59
ContractRM261218C00045000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI20
IV0.21
ContractRM260918C00045000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI11
IV0.36
ContractRM261218C00055000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike55.00
Volume-
OI10
IV0.32
ContractRM260821C00025000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike25.00
Volume-
OI10
IV0.01