Ticker Options Intelligence

RM options intelligence

Regional Management Corp options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 38 Market data through 14 Sep 2026 Checked 14 Sep 2026 22:29 · partial chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

RM currently carries bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 12.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.40.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 12.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.40

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.33

Call-side skew

Trend fit 7

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -2.0%

RS -17.0

Expected move 12.0%
Put-call volume 0.33
Volume / OI 0.40
Reference IV 2.25
Max pain 30.00
Underlying 32.99
Nearest expiry 18 Sep 2026
Contracts 28

Research Brief

RM has a bullish chain read with 38/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 29.04–36.94; The largest call open-interest concentration is 30.00; the largest put concentration is 25.00. The most active strike by current volume is 45.00.

Priced range29.04–36.94
Call concentration30.00
Put concentration25.00
Max pain reference30.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • Participation is above the ticker's stored normal, which makes the read more noteworthy.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 18 Sep

Options imply 29.04 to 36.94. Max pain at 30.00 sits inside that range, 9.1% below spot.

Spot Max pain
29.0432.99 ± 3.9536.94
Confirmation level

A close beyond 36.94 or below 29.04 at the 18 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 38/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 53/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure53 × 42%
+22.2

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation18 × 22%
+4.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement7 × 26%
+1.8

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score37.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 30.00; the largest put concentration is 25.00. The most active strike by current volume is 45.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
8
17.50-47.0%
0
2
20.00-39.4%
0
5
22.50-31.8%
0
35
25.00-24.2%
0
11
30.00-9.1%
29
0
35.006.1%
2
0
40.0021.2%
17
0
45.0036.4%
11
0
50.0051.6%
5
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Model-estimated Greeks · 100% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$2,145Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak30.00+$1,243
Negative peak25.00-$826
Nearest balance27.00Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
17.50-47.0%
-$67
20.00-39.4%
-$44
22.50-31.8%
-$207
25.00-24.2%
-$826
30.00-9.1%
+$1,243
35.006.1%
+$400
40.0021.2%
+$1,003
45.0036.4%
+$276
50.0051.6%
+$203
55.0066.7%
+$163
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

3.22× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

2.25 18 Sep 4d
1.15 16 Oct 32d
0.84 18 Dec 95d
0.70 19 Mar 186d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

30
35
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

11 matured · 7 directional

Across 7 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 57% of the time.

Directional follow-through57%
Moves contained by pricing100%
Average expiry move5.7%
19 Aug Volatility · 51 1.8% through expiry 8.4% priced · v2.0
14 Aug Mixed · 23 1.8% through expiry 7.6% priced · v2.0
13 Aug Volatility · 52 4.0% through expiry 19.1% priced · v2.0
11 Aug Bullish · 52 4.0% through expiry 20.4% priced · v2.0
7 Aug Bullish · 50 4.0% through expiry 8.3% priced · v2.0
6 Aug Bearish · 57 5.7% through expiry 8.4% priced · v2.0
5 Aug Mixed · 30 5.7% through expiry 8.8% priced · v2.0
4 Aug Bullish · 49 5.7% through expiry 7.3% priced · v2.0
3 Aug Bearish · 53 5.7% through expiry 10.1% priced · v2.0
31 Jul Bullish · 37 5.7% through expiry 11.9% priced · v2.0
30 Jul Bullish · 44 -18.1% through expiry 31.2% priced · v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Retained chain subset
Market date
14 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
28 / 28
  • 100% of provider contracts were retained for this snapshot.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Short-dated OTM call concentration

71/100
Primary intent Short-dated OTM call concentration

Call activity is concentrated in upside and shorter-dated contracts; trade direction remains unconfirmed without aggressor data.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Short-dated OTM call concentration matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $13,566 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 0-7 days · itm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+53
1W price-2.0%
Call premium93%
Put premium7%
Notional split C 93% / P 7% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.40 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 7/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 0-7 days · ITM
Calls · 0-7 days · ITM calls cluster with 11 contracts traded, $10,375 estimated gross traded notional, and 76% of visible notional.
$10,375
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 16 contracts traded, $2,002 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$2,002
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 10 contracts traded, $845 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$845
Calls · 0-7 days · OTM calls cluster with 25 contracts traded, $194 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$194
Puts · 0-7 days · OTM puts cluster with 7 contracts traded, $150 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$150

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

High anomaly

98

Current options activity is unusually hot versus this ticker's stored history.

Baseline: 19 completed sessions

Volume rank100th
Volume/OI rank95th
IV rank100th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close32.99
1W-2.0%
RS-17.0
Fair value+7.8%
Options pressure53
Speculation18
Volatility96
Trend fit7

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 12.0% history building
30d avg - · 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 19/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 19/60 sessions -
IV 2.25 history building
30d avg - · 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 19/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 19/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.33 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 12/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 12/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.40 history building
30d avg - · 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 19/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 19/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:36 Mixed
Pressure 6
Move 13.3%
29 Jul 19:30 Volatility
Pressure 43
Move 25.2%
31 Jul 09:26 Bullish
Pressure 40
Move 31.2%
2 Aug 02:44 Bullish
Pressure 40
Move 11.9%
4 Aug 10:15 Bearish
Pressure -93
Move 10.1%
5 Aug 10:51 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 7.3%
6 Aug 11:00 Mixed
Pressure 7
Move 8.8%
7 Aug 12:43 Bearish
Pressure -69
Move 8.4%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 8
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike22.50
Calls · V 10 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 5
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 35
Strike30.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 29
Puts · V 5 · OI 11
Strike35.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike40.00
Calls · V 10 · OI 17
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 12 · OI 11
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts11
Avg IV2.25
Put-call0.19
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts1
Avg IV1.15
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts8
Avg IV0.84
Put-call0.50
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts8
Avg IV0.70
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.55
Put IV0.74
Skew0.19
16 Oct 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV1.15
Put IV-
Skew-
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.84
Put IV0.94
Skew0.10
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.60
Put IV0.63
Skew0.03

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractRM260918P00017500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike17.50
Volume-
OI8
IV7.04
ContractRM261016C00040000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike40.00
Volume-
OI8
IV1.15
ContractRM260918P00020000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI2
IV5.94
ContractRM270319P00045000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI2
IV0.99
ContractRM270319C00030000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike30.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.60
ContractRM270319P00025000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike25.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.63
ContractRM270319C00055000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike55.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.59
ContractRM270319C00035000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike35.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.60

Evidence context