Ticker Options Intelligence

VZ options intelligence

Verizon Communications Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 33 Market data through 18 Aug 2026 Checked 18 Aug 2026 20:30 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

VZ currently carries bullish options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 1.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 1.8%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.03

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.56

Call-side skew

Trend fit 33

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +3.0%

RS -1.4

Expected move 1.8%
Put-call volume 0.56
Volume / OI 0.03
Reference IV 0.25
Max pain 45.00
Underlying 48.48
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 604

Research Brief

VZ has a bullish chain read with 33/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 47.60–49.36; The largest call open-interest concentration is 50.00; the largest put concentration is 43.00. The most active strike by current volume is 50.00.

Priced range47.60–49.36
Call concentration50.00
Put concentration43.00
Max pain reference45.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 47.60 to 49.36. Max pain at 45.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
47.6048.48 ± 0.8849.36
Confirmation level

A close beyond 49.36 or below 47.60 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 33/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 31/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure31 × 42%
+13.1

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+8.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement33 × 26%
+8.5

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility25 × 10%
+2.5

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score33.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 50.00; the largest put concentration is 43.00. The most active strike by current volume is 50.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
7515
30.00-38.1%
17
5455
38.00-21.6%
16
4380
39.00-19.6%
66
4165
40.00-17.5%
216
6865
42.00-13.4%
2011
14198
43.00-11.3%
2884
6697
44.00-9.2%
4839
2146
45.00-7.2%
9395
766
46.00-5.1%
15405
5004
46.50-4.1%
718
1728
47.00-3.1%
4651
1462
47.50-2.0%
1454
3273
48.00-1.0%
11508
1007
48.500.0%
2319
325
49.001.1%
8727
375
50.003.1%
16449
90
51.005.2%
4297
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Model-estimated Greeks · 100% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$64.1MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak50.00+$20.7M
Negative peak40.00-$2.1M
Nearest balance47.51Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
42.50-12.3%
-$10,092
43.00-11.3%
-$594,822
43.50-10.3%
-$10,589
44.00-9.2%
-$602,974
44.50-8.2%
-$16,344
45.00-7.2%
+$3.2M
45.50-6.1%
-$41,121
46.00-5.1%
+$2.5M
46.50-4.1%
-$739,683
47.00-3.1%
+$8.1M
47.50-2.0%
-$258,425
48.00-1.0%
+$10.6M
48.500.0%
+$749,295
49.001.1%
+$11.2M
49.502.1%
+$288,183
50.003.1%
+$20.7M
51.005.2%
+$1.1M
52.007.3%
+$136,094
52.508.3%
+$7.3M
53.009.3%
+$28,999
54.0011.4%
+$483
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.98× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.25 21 Aug 3d
0.23 28 Aug 10d
0.24 4 Sep 17d
0.23 11 Sep 24d
0.23 18 Sep 31d
0.26 25 Sep 38d
0.25 2 Oct 45d
0.24 16 Oct 59d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

39
40
41
41
42
43
44
44
45
46
46
47
48
49
49
50
51
53
53
55
56
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

12 matured · 5 directional

Across 5 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 80% of the time.

Directional follow-through80%
Moves contained by pricing58%
Average expiry move1.8%
14 Aug Bullish · 32 3.0% through expiry 3.2% priced · v2.0
13 Aug Mixed · 29 3.0% through expiry 1.9% priced · v2.0
12 Aug Bullish · 32 3.0% through expiry 1.5% priced · v2.0
11 Aug Mixed · 34 3.0% through expiry 1.9% priced · v2.0
10 Aug Mixed · 29 3.0% through expiry 2.1% priced · v2.0
7 Aug Mixed · 28 3.0% through expiry 2.7% priced · v2.0
6 Aug Bullish · 32 0.5% through expiry 1.5% priced · v2.0
5 Aug Mixed · 40 0.5% through expiry 2.9% priced · v2.0
4 Aug Mixed · 38 0.5% through expiry 2.9% priced · v2.0
3 Aug Mixed · 30 0.5% through expiry 2.8% priced · v2.0
31 Jul Bullish · 32 0.5% through expiry 2.8% priced · v2.0
30 Jul Bearish · 45 0.9% through expiry 1.3% priced · v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A99/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes99%
Open interest99%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
18 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
604 / 604
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Short-dated OTM call concentration

94/100
Primary intent Short-dated OTM call concentration

Call activity is concentrated in upside and shorter-dated contracts; trade direction remains unconfirmed without aggressor data.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Short-dated OTM call concentration matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $5.9M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+31
1W price+3.0%
Call premium67%
Put premium33%
Notional split C 67% / P 33% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.03 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 33/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 1748 contracts traded, $1.6M estimated gross traded notional, and 28% of visible notional.
$1.6M
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 1662 contracts traded, $1.1M estimated gross traded notional, and 19% of visible notional.
$1.1M
Calls · 0-7 days · ITM calls cluster with 1351 contracts traded, $592,400 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$592,400
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 630 contracts traded, $366,001 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$366,001
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 1825 contracts traded, $346,616 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$346,616

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Quiet tape

13

Activity is muted versus this ticker's stored history.

Baseline: 15 completed sessions

Volume rank13th
Volume/OI rank13th
IV rank13th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close48.48
1W+3.0%
RS-1.4
Fair value+25.3%
Options pressure31
Speculation41
Volatility25
Trend fit33

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 1.8% muted
30d avg 2.4% · 15 sessions 20th
90d avg - · 15/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 15/60 sessions -
IV 0.25 muted
30d avg 0.30 · 15 sessions 13th
90d avg - · 15/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 15/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.56 muted
30d avg 1.11 · 15 sessions 7th
90d avg - · 15/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 15/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.03 muted
30d avg 0.05 · 15 sessions 13th
90d avg - · 15/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 15/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
10 Aug 17:25 Mixed
Pressure 0
Move 2.2%
10 Aug 18:50 Mixed
Pressure 6
Move 2.1%
11 Aug 13:50 Mixed
Pressure -11
Move 2.1%
11 Aug 15:30 Mixed
Pressure 11
Move 2.0%
11 Aug 17:00 Mixed
Pressure -1
Move 1.9%
11 Aug 18:30 Mixed
Pressure -3
Move 1.8%
11 Aug 19:50 Mixed
Pressure -9
Move 1.9%
12 Aug 14:40 Mixed
Pressure -3
Move 1.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike30.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 17
Puts · V 1 · OI 7515
Strike32.00
Calls · V 4 · OI 16
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike33.00
Calls · V 10 · OI 12
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike34.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 11
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike35.00
Calls · V 6 · OI 20
Puts · V 1 · OI 2957
Strike36.00
Calls · V 17 · OI 6
Puts · V 21 · OI 23
Strike37.00
Calls · V 24 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 237
Strike38.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 16
Puts · V 11 · OI 5455

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts77
Avg IV0.25
Put-call0.24
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts62
Avg IV0.23
Put-call0.61
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts40
Avg IV0.24
Put-call0.55
Expiry11 Sep 2026
Contracts29
Avg IV0.23
Put-call0.38
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts53
Avg IV0.23
Put-call0.70

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.25
Put IV0.32
Skew0.07
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.24
Skew0.01
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.24
Put IV0.23
Skew-0.01
11 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.27
Skew0.04
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.23
Skew0.00

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractVZ260828C00036000
SideCall
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Strike36.00
Volume-
OI-
IV1.34
ContractVZ260904C00036000
SideCall
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Strike36.00
Volume-
OI-
IV0.86
ContractVZ260904C00038000
SideCall
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Strike38.00
Volume-
OI-
IV0.86
ContractVZ260918P00034000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike34.00
Volume-
OI489
IV0.52
ContractVZ260821P00037000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike37.00
Volume-
OI237
IV0.97
ContractVZ261002P00049000
SidePut
Expiry2 Oct 2026
Strike49.00
Volume-
OI40
IV0.22
ContractVZ260828P00045500
SidePut
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Strike45.50
Volume-
OI30
IV0.28
ContractVZ281215P00055000
SidePut
Expiry15 Dec 2028
Strike55.00
Volume-
OI29
IV0.29

Evidence context