Ticker Options Intelligence

MAS options intelligence

Masco Corporation options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 50 Market data through 12 Aug 2026 Checked 13 Aug 2026 11:43 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

MAS currently carries bearish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 7.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 7.5%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 11.44

Put-side skew

Trend fit 17

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +8.4%

RS 0.3

Expected move 7.5%
Put-call volume 11.44
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.30
Max pain 85.00
Underlying 77.51
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 134

Research Brief

MAS has a bearish chain read with 50/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 71.66–83.36; The largest call open-interest concentration is 85.00; the largest put concentration is 75.00. The most active strike by current volume is 75.00.

Priced range71.66–83.36
Call concentration85.00
Put concentration75.00
Max pain reference85.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 71.66 to 83.36. Max pain at 85.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
71.6677.51 ± 5.8583.36
Confirmation level

A close beyond 83.36 or below 71.66 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 50/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 91/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure91 × 42%
+38.4

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation8 × 22%
+1.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement17 × 26%
+4.3

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility51 × 10%
+5.1

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score49.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 85.00; the largest put concentration is 75.00. The most active strike by current volume is 75.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
40.00-48.4%
0
0
45.00-41.9%
0
8
50.00-35.5%
0
324
55.00-29.0%
0
1
60.00-22.6%
11
441
65.00-16.1%
5
363
70.00-9.7%
62
2392
75.00-3.2%
58
678
80.003.2%
215
2000
85.009.7%
345
0
90.0016.1%
7
0
95.0022.6%
0
0
100.0029.0%
1
0
105.0035.5%
0
0
110.0041.9%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Negative gamma proxy

Reported Greeks · 92% coverage

Put-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the call-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile-$1.1MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak80.00+$540,462
Negative peak75.00-$1.2M
Nearest balance78.44Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
35.00-54.8%
-$24
40.00-48.4%
-$9
45.00-41.9%
-$315
50.00-35.5%
-$906
55.00-29.0%
-$3,647
60.00-22.6%
+$6,369
65.00-16.1%
-$17,237
70.00-9.7%
-$495,190
75.00-3.2%
-$1.2M
80.003.2%
+$540,462
85.009.7%
+$78,711
90.0016.1%
+$19,027
95.0022.6%
+$7,593
100.0029.0%
+$5,040
105.0035.5%
+$114
110.0041.9%
-$61
115.0048.4%
+$6
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.89× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.30 21 Aug 9d
0.31 18 Sep 37d
0.31 16 Oct 65d
0.33 15 Jan 156d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

65
70
75
80
85
90
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
12 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
134 / 134
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Put-heavy activity

86/100
Primary intent Put-heavy activity

Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow against rising price

Put-side pressure is building while price is rising, a cautionary divergence.

Why this matters

Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $44,770 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a bearish flow against rising price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-91
1W price+8.4%
Call premium55%
Put premium45%
Notional split C 55% / P 45% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 17/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 6 contracts traded, $23,940 estimated gross traded notional, and 53% of visible notional.
$23,940
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 100 contracts traded, $19,750 estimated gross traded notional, and 44% of visible notional.
$19,750
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 2 contracts traded, $535 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$535
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $425 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$425
Puts · 22-45 days · OTM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $80 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$80

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Quiet tape

6

Activity is muted versus this ticker's stored history.

Baseline: 11 completed sessions

Volume rank9th
Volume/OI rank9th
IV rank0th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close77.51
1W+8.4%
RS0.3
Fair value+14.3%
Options pressure-91
Speculation8
Volatility51
Trend fit17

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 7.5% near normal
30d avg 8.9% · 11 sessions 36th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
IV 0.30 muted
30d avg 0.41 · 11 sessions 0th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
Put-call 11.44 elevated
30d avg 4.60 · 11 sessions 91th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 muted
30d avg 0.17 · 11 sessions 9th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:23 Volatility
Pressure -85
Move 9.7%
30 Jul 10:19 Bearish
Pressure -62
Move 10.8%
30 Jul 21:17 Volatility
Pressure -46
Move 11.8%
31 Jul 17:04 Volatility
Pressure -54
Move 11.9%
2 Aug 11:13 Bearish
Pressure -22
Move 5.5%
3 Aug 15:11 Bearish
Pressure -61
Move 7.8%
3 Aug 22:02 Bearish
Pressure -55
Move 8.3%
5 Aug 10:07 Mixed
Pressure -10
Move 11.2%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 8
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 324
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 11
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 441
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 62
Puts · V 0 · OI 363
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 58
Puts · V 100 · OI 2392

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts30
Avg IV0.30
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts36
Avg IV0.31
Put-call0.67
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts34
Avg IV0.31
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts34
Avg IV0.33
Put-call0.17

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.19
Put IV0.41
Skew0.22
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.26
Put IV0.31
Skew0.05
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.32
Skew0.02
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.33
Put IV0.33
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractMAS260821P00075000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike75.00
Volume100
OI2392
IV0.40
ContractMAS270115C00035000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike35.00
Volume6
OI23
IV0.01
ContractMAS260918P00065000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike65.00
Volume2
OI250
IV0.36
ContractMAS260918C00075000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike75.00
Volume2
OI154
IV0.29
ContractMAS260918C00085000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike85.00
Volume1
OI219
IV0.32
ContractMAS270115P00070000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike70.00
Volume1
OI1
IV0.36
ContractMAS261016P00070000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI2160
IV0.32
ContractMAS261016C00080000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike80.00
Volume-
OI2141
IV0.32

Evidence context