Ticker Options Intelligence

RBRK options intelligence

Rubrik, Inc. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 54 Market data through 17 Sep 2026 Checked 18 Sep 2026 11:04 ยท complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

RBRK currently carries volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 5.2%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.08.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 5.2%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.08

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.20

Call-side skew

Trend fit 21

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +23.2%

RS 38.9

Expected move 5.2%
Put-call volume 0.20
Volume / OI 0.08
Reference IV 0.98
Max pain 90.00
Underlying 86.65
Nearest expiry 18 Sep 2026
Contracts 1164

Research Brief

RBRK has a volatility chain read with 54/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 82.19โ€“91.11; The largest call open-interest concentration is 100.00; the largest put concentration is 90.00. The most active strike by current volume is 105.00.

Priced range82.19โ€“91.11
Call concentration100.00
Put concentration90.00
Max pain reference90.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • Participation is above the ticker's stored normal, which makes the read more noteworthy.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction ยท through 18 Sep

Options imply 82.19 to 91.11. Max pain at 90.00 sits inside that range, 3.9% above spot.

Spot Max pain
82.1986.65 ยฑ 4.4691.11
Confirmation level

A close beyond 91.11 or below 82.19 at the 18 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 54/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 75/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure75 ร— 42%
+31.5

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation42 ร— 22%
+9.2

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement21 ร— 26%
+5.5

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility77 ร— 10%
+7.7

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score53.9Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 100.00; the largest put concentration is 90.00. The most active strike by current volume is 105.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
85
50.00-42.3%
622
534
55.00-36.5%
45
257
70.00-19.2%
690
175
75.00-13.4%
734
191
80.00-7.7%
616
257
85.00-1.9%
832
3773
90.003.9%
9880
155
92.006.2%
534
307
95.009.6%
930
213
96.0010.8%
241
1338
100.0015.4%
11751
529
105.0021.2%
1558
10
107.0023.5%
534
18
110.0026.9%
2838
5
120.0038.5%
1727
0
130.0050.0%
755
0
150.0073.1%
496
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks ยท 96% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$8.9MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak110.00+$2.4M
Negative peak95.00-$35,230
Nearest balance87.17Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
78.00-10.0%
-$230
79.00-8.8%
-$1,157
80.00-7.7%
+$11,632
81.00-6.5%
-$595
82.00-5.4%
-$690
82.50-4.8%
+$18,112
83.00-4.2%
-$83
84.00-3.1%
+$10
85.00-1.9%
+$29,430
86.00-0.8%
+$802
87.000.4%
+$11,489
87.501.0%
-$21,406
88.001.6%
-$2,786
89.002.7%
-$1,617
90.003.9%
+$573,621
91.005.0%
+$2,085
92.006.2%
-$2,606
92.506.8%
+$42,064
93.007.3%
+$5,734
94.008.5%
-$1,675
95.009.6%
-$35,230
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.52ร— front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.98 18 Sep 1d
0.41 25 Sep 8d
0.35 2 Oct 15d
0.52 9 Oct 22d
0.66 16 Oct 29d
0.47 23 Oct 36d
0.67 30 Oct 43d
0.63 20 Nov 64d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

70
74
76
78
78
80
82
83
85
87
88
89
91
93
94
96
98
98
99
101
103
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

28 matured ยท 15 directional

Across 15 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 40% of the time.

Directional follow-through40%
Moves contained by pricing43%
Average expiry move11.6%
17 Sep Volatility ยท 54 23.2% through expiry 5.2% priced ยท v2.0
15 Sep Bullish ยท 45 23.2% through expiry 3.4% priced ยท v2.0
11 Sep Bullish ยท 51 23.2% through expiry 5.8% priced ยท v2.0
10 Sep Bullish ยท 47 -7.5% through expiry 5.7% priced ยท v2.0
9 Sep Bullish ยท 48 -7.5% through expiry 6.4% priced ยท v2.0
8 Sep Bullish ยท 50 -7.5% through expiry 5.0% priced ยท v2.0
4 Sep Bullish ยท 53 -7.5% through expiry 5.8% priced ยท v2.0
3 Sep Bullish ยท 46 0.7% through expiry 3.0% priced ยท v2.0
1 Sep Mixed ยท 44 0.7% through expiry 6.6% priced ยท v2.0
25 Aug Volatility ยท 54 -7.0% through expiry 14.6% priced ยท v2.0
24 Aug Volatility ยท 48 -7.0% through expiry 12.9% priced ยท v2.0
21 Aug Volatility ยท 59 -7.0% through expiry 13.4% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
17 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
1164 / 1164
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Volatility expansion bet

83/100
Primary intent Volatility expansion bet

The strongest message is movement risk: expected move and implied volatility are carrying more signal than direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Volatility expansion bet matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $7.5M of estimated gross traded notional, calls ยท 91+ days ยท otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+75
1W price+23.2%
Call premium92%
Put premium8%
Notional split C 92% / P 8% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.08 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 21/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls ยท 91+ days ยท OTM
Calls ยท 91+ days ยท OTM calls cluster with 2329 contracts traded, $3.0M estimated gross traded notional, and 40% of visible notional.
$3.0M
Calls ยท 0-7 days ยท OTM calls cluster with 4490 contracts traded, $1.3M estimated gross traded notional, and 17% of visible notional.
$1.3M
Calls ยท 22-45 days ยท ITM calls cluster with 179 contracts traded, $975,240 estimated gross traded notional, and 13% of visible notional.
$975,240
Calls ยท 22-45 days ยท OTM calls cluster with 799 contracts traded, $450,862 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$450,862
Calls ยท 91+ days ยท ITM calls cluster with 95 contracts traded, $406,735 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$406,735

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

High anomaly

86

Current options activity is unusually hot versus this ticker's stored history.

Baseline: 29 completed sessions

Volume rank90th
Volume/OI rank86th
IV rank83th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close106.71
1W+23.2%
RS38.9
Fair value+66.7%
Options pressure75
Speculation42
Volatility77
Trend fit21

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 5.2% near normal
30d avg 6.9% ยท 14 sessions 36th
90d avg - ยท 29/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 29/60 sessions -
IV 0.98 near normal
30d avg 0.71 ยท 14 sessions 79th
90d avg - ยท 29/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 29/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.20 near normal
30d avg 0.43 ยท 14 sessions 21th
90d avg - ยท 29/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 29/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.08 elevated
30d avg 0.05 ยท 14 sessions 93th
90d avg - ยท 29/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 29/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
6 Aug 10:13 Bullish
Pressure 74
Move 17.2%
7 Aug 11:00 Bullish
Pressure 51
Move 3.1%
10 Aug 10:42 Volatility
Pressure 68
Move 7.2%
10 Aug 16:11 Volatility
Pressure 66
Move 10.7%
12 Aug 10:26 Volatility
Pressure 68
Move 8.9%
12 Aug 21:46 Volatility
Pressure 64
Move 8.2%
13 Aug 21:03 Volatility
Pressure 57
Move 17.1%
14 Aug 15:23 Volatility
Pressure 15
Move 14.4%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike22.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 5
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike25.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 2
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 15
Strike27.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 16
Strike30.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 4
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 121
Strike32.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 1
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 14
Strike35.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 1
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 118
Strike37.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 1
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 29
Strike40.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 61
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 382

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts164
Avg IV0.98
Put-call0.15
Expiry25 Sep 2026
Contracts128
Avg IV0.41
Put-call0.15
Expiry2 Oct 2026
Contracts122
Avg IV0.35
Put-call1.08
Expiry9 Oct 2026
Contracts118
Avg IV0.52
Put-call0.22
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts88
Avg IV0.66
Put-call0.40

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.78
Put IV1.62
Skew0.85
25 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.68
Put IV0.58
Skew-0.10
2 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.59
Put IV1.22
Skew0.63
9 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.60
Put IV0.98
Skew0.38
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.56
Put IV0.65
Skew0.09

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractRBRK270416C00145000
SideCall
Expiry16 Apr 2027
Strike145.00
Volume1677
OI16
IV0.65
ContractRBRK260925C00110000
SideCall
Expiry25 Sep 2026
Strike110.00
Volume1047
OI182
IV0.68
ContractRBRK260918C00105000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike105.00
Volume1042
OI1558
IV0.81
ContractRBRK260918C00110000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike110.00
Volume755
OI2838
IV0.68
ContractRBRK260918C00107000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike107.00
Volume597
OI534
IV0.74
ContractRBRK260925C00115000
SideCall
Expiry25 Sep 2026
Strike115.00
Volume363
OI41
IV0.56
ContractRBRK261016C00120000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike120.00
Volume357
OI804
IV0.56
ContractRBRK261016C00050000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike50.00
Volume150
OI193
IV1.36

Evidence context