Ticker Options Intelligence

VG options intelligence

Venture Global, Inc. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 54 Market data through 14 Sep 2026 Checked 15 Sep 2026 10:38 ยท complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

VG currently carries volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 7.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.04.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 7.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.04

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.21

Call-side skew

Trend fit 34

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +9.6%

RS 28.6

Expected move 7.0%
Put-call volume 0.21
Volume / OI 0.04
Reference IV 0.65
Max pain 15.00
Underlying 15.80
Nearest expiry 18 Sep 2026
Contracts 662

Research Brief

VG has a volatility chain read with 54/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 14.70โ€“16.90; The largest call open-interest concentration is 15.00; the largest put concentration is 15.00. The most active strike by current volume is 15.00.

Priced range14.70โ€“16.90
Call concentration15.00
Put concentration15.00
Max pain reference15.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction ยท through 18 Sep

Options imply 14.70 to 16.90. Max pain at 15.00 sits inside that range, 5.1% below spot.

Spot Max pain
14.7015.80 ยฑ 1.1016.90
Confirmation level

A close beyond 16.90 or below 14.70 at the 18 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 54/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 70/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure70 ร— 42%
+29.2

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 ร— 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement34 ร— 26%
+8.8

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility73 ร— 10%
+7.3

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score54.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 15.00; the largest put concentration is 15.00. The most active strike by current volume is 15.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
25
7.50-52.5%
2
424
10.00-36.7%
118
2
11.50-27.2%
78
7
12.00-24.1%
32
2916
12.50-20.9%
564
188
13.00-17.7%
55
256
13.50-14.6%
17
962
14.00-11.4%
6107
536
14.50-8.2%
509
3405
15.00-5.1%
25305
2043
15.50-1.9%
2222
2001
16.001.3%
2267
4
16.504.4%
2126
2
17.007.6%
509
69
17.5010.8%
4097
0
18.0013.9%
37
0
20.0026.6%
490
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks ยท 94% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$8.1MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak15.00+$2.7M
Negative peak7.50-$108,974
Nearest balance14.50Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
10.50-33.5%
-$118
11.00-30.4%
-$107
11.50-27.2%
+$599
12.00-24.1%
+$406
12.50-20.9%
+$929,327
13.00-17.7%
-$18,235
13.50-14.6%
+$69,455
14.00-11.4%
+$166,508
14.50-8.2%
-$21,310
15.00-5.1%
+$2.7M
15.50-1.9%
+$133,044
16.001.3%
+$1.3M
16.504.4%
+$149,490
17.007.6%
+$44,536
17.5010.8%
+$1.7M
18.0013.9%
+$7,282
18.5017.1%
+$561
19.0020.3%
+$3,237
19.5023.4%
+$49
20.0026.6%
+$622,281
21.0032.9%
+$73
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.03ร— front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.65 18 Sep 4d
0.59 25 Sep 11d
0.59 2 Oct 18d
0.61 9 Oct 25d
0.51 16 Oct 32d
0.59 23 Oct 39d
0.61 30 Oct 46d
0.64 20 Nov 67d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

13
14
14
15
15
16
16
17
17
18
18
19
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

25 matured ยท 13 directional

Across 13 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 69% of the time.

Directional follow-through69%
Moves contained by pricing80%
Average expiry move3.4%
10 Sep Volatility ยท 46 9.6% through expiry 8.0% priced ยท v2.0
8 Sep Bullish ยท 58 9.6% through expiry 5.0% priced ยท v2.0
4 Sep Bullish ยท 48 9.6% through expiry 5.7% priced ยท v2.0
3 Sep Bullish ยท 41 1.7% through expiry 5.4% priced ยท v2.0
1 Sep Volatility ยท 51 1.7% through expiry 8.5% priced ยท v2.0
28 Aug Mixed ยท 41 1.5% through expiry 6.0% priced ยท v2.0
25 Aug Bullish ยท 53 -0.2% through expiry 4.8% priced ยท v2.0
24 Aug Bullish ยท 50 -0.2% through expiry 5.6% priced ยท v2.0
21 Aug Bullish ยท 54 -0.2% through expiry 6.3% priced ยท v2.0
20 Aug Bullish ยท 56 1.6% through expiry 3.8% priced ยท v2.0
19 Aug Bullish ยท 55 1.6% through expiry 3.8% priced ยท v2.0
18 Aug Bullish ยท 53 1.6% through expiry 5.2% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
14 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
662 / 662
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Volatility expansion bet

85/100
Primary intent Volatility expansion bet

The strongest message is movement risk: expected move and implied volatility are carrying more signal than direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Volatility expansion bet matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $3.8M of estimated gross traded notional, calls ยท 91+ days ยท itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+70
1W price+9.6%
Call premium90%
Put premium10%
Notional split C 90% / P 10% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.04 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 34/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls ยท 91+ days ยท ITM
Calls ยท 91+ days ยท ITM calls cluster with 4062 contracts traded, $2.3M estimated gross traded notional, and 59% of visible notional.
$2.3M
Calls ยท 0-7 days ยท ITM calls cluster with 4228 contracts traded, $323,720 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$323,720
Calls ยท 91+ days ยท OTM calls cluster with 1502 contracts traded, $224,130 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$224,130
Calls ยท 8-21 days ยท ITM calls cluster with 1195 contracts traded, $169,235 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$169,235
Calls ยท 22-45 days ยท ITM calls cluster with 1067 contracts traded, $133,280 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$133,280

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

60

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Baseline: 28 completed sessions

Volume rank75th
Volume/OI rank71th
IV rank32th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close15.80
1W+9.6%
RS28.6
Fair value+30.4%
Options pressure70
Speculation41
Volatility73
Trend fit34

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 7.0% elevated
30d avg 5.7% ยท 14 sessions 86th
90d avg - ยท 28/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 28/60 sessions -
IV 0.65 near normal
30d avg 0.68 ยท 14 sessions 57th
90d avg - ยท 28/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 28/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.21 near normal
30d avg 0.33 ยท 14 sessions 50th
90d avg - ยท 28/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 28/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.04 near normal
30d avg 0.05 ยท 14 sessions 64th
90d avg - ยท 28/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 28/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
31 Jul 22:58 Volatility
Pressure 33
Move 7.9%
2 Aug 15:25 Volatility
Pressure 53
Move 9.0%
2 Aug 18:29 Volatility
Pressure 26
Move 9.0%
4 Aug 10:06 Volatility
Pressure 77
Move 7.1%
5 Aug 10:14 Volatility
Pressure 39
Move 6.9%
5 Aug 21:24 Mixed
Pressure -4
Move 8.3%
7 Aug 10:26 Bullish
Pressure 77
Move 3.7%
9 Aug 08:05 Volatility
Pressure 49
Move 11.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls ยท V 6 ยท OI 5
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 1
Strike5.00
Calls ยท V 9 ยท OI 4
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike6.00
Calls ยท V 3 ยท OI 5
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike7.00
Calls ยท V 8 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls ยท V 8 ยท OI 2
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 25
Strike8.00
Calls ยท V 5 ยท OI 1
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike8.50
Calls ยท V 4 ยท OI 1
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike9.00
Calls ยท V 5 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts72
Avg IV0.65
Put-call0.13
Expiry25 Sep 2026
Contracts68
Avg IV0.59
Put-call0.19
Expiry2 Oct 2026
Contracts68
Avg IV0.59
Put-call0.39
Expiry9 Oct 2026
Contracts64
Avg IV0.61
Put-call2.54
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.51
Put-call0.41

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.68
Put IV0.63
Skew-0.05
25 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.60
Put IV0.63
Skew0.03
2 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.62
Put IV0.63
Skew0.01
9 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.61
Put IV0.61
Skew-
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.60
Put IV0.62
Skew0.02

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractVG260918C00015000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike15.00
Volume3685
OI25305
IV0.63
ContractVG260918C00017500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike17.50
Volume3157
OI4097
IV0.66
ContractVG270115C00010000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike10.00
Volume2092
OI7261
IV0.60
ContractVG260918C00016500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike16.50
Volume1474
OI2126
IV0.73
ContractVG261016C00017500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike17.50
Volume1011
OI37493
IV0.60
ContractVG261016C00015000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike15.00
Volume1006
OI5501
IV0.58
ContractVG261120C00017500
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike17.50
Volume854
OI6273
IV0.65
ContractVG261218C00010000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike10.00
Volume755
OI29130
IV0.81

Evidence context