Primary read
Bullish
Call-side pressure
Ticker Options Intelligence
GOOS options intelligence
Canada Goose Holdings Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.
Conviction
29
Market data through 12 Aug 2026
Checked 13 Aug 2026 13:42 · complete available chain
Call-side pressure
Bullish pressure
GOOS currently carries bullish options pressure with a 29/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.
Expected move
6.0%
Near-term move context
Activity / OI
0.01
Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest
Put-call
0.75
Balanced tape
Trend fit
38
Options are not fully confirming trend
Weekly backdrop
-1.8%
RS -34.0
Expected move
6.0%
Put-call volume
0.75
Volume / OI
0.01
Reference IV
0.73
Max pain
8.50
Underlying
8.77
Nearest expiry
14 Aug 2026
Contracts
306
Research Brief
GOOS has a bullish chain read with 29/100 evidence alignment.
The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 8.24–9.30; The largest call open-interest concentration is 9.50; the largest put concentration is 8.50. The most active strike by current volume is 9.50.
Priced range8.24–9.30
Call concentration9.50
Put concentration8.50
Max pain reference8.50
- Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
- Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
- Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
- Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.
Priced Move
Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional
Options imply 8.24 to 9.30. Max pain at 8.50 sits inside that range, 3.1% below spot.
Spot
Max pain
8.248.77 ± 0.539.30
Confirmation level
A close beyond 9.30 or below 8.24 at the 14 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.
Important limitation
The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.
Score Construction
Why conviction is 29/100
Pressure is 24/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.
Directional pressure24 × 42%
+10.0
How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.
Participation6 × 22%
+1.2
Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.
Trend agreement38 × 26%
+10.0
How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.
Volatility75 × 10%
+7.5
The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.
Positioning by Strike
Where open interest and current activity concentrate
The largest call open-interest concentration is 9.50; the largest put concentration is 8.50. The most active strike by current volume is 9.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.
Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
2
5.00-43.0%
3
2
6.00-31.6%
2
0
6.50-25.9%
2
0
7.00-20.2%
23
13
7.50-14.5%
0
12
8.00-8.8%
3
75
8.50-3.1%
0
1
9.002.6%
21
3
9.508.3%
74
3
10.0014.0%
1
2
10.5019.7%
1
0
11.0025.4%
0
1
11.5031.1%
0
1
12.5042.5%
1
1
13.0048.2%
0
0
13.5053.9%
0
0
14.0059.6%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry
Gamma Profile by Strike
Balanced gamma proxy
Call- and put-side gamma sensitivity is broadly balanced across the retained chain. Individual strike concentrations may still matter more than the chain-wide net.
Net profile+$6,225Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak15.00+$8,261
Negative peak8.50-$13,734
Nearest balance9.31Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
2.00-77.2%
+$4
3.00-65.8%
+$459
4.00-54.4%
+$1
5.00-43.0%
+$136
6.00-31.6%
+$1,212
6.50-25.9%
+$13
7.00-20.2%
+$15
7.50-14.5%
-$1,542
8.00-8.8%
-$1,495
8.50-3.1%
-$13,734
9.002.6%
-$11,007
9.508.3%
+$6,635
10.0014.0%
+$5,445
10.5019.7%
+$12
11.0025.4%
+$2,572
12.0036.8%
+$6,013
12.5042.5%
+$2
13.0048.2%
+$1,973
14.0059.6%
+$61
15.0071.0%
+$8,261
16.0082.4%
+$162
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike
Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.
Volatility Curve
Front-loaded volatility
Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.
0.73
14 Aug
2d
0.48
21 Aug
9d
0.40
28 Aug
16d
0.76
4 Sep
23d
0.91
11 Sep
30d
0.35
18 Sep
37d
0.74
25 Sep
44d
0.41
16 Oct
65d
Volatility by Strike
Upside optionality premium
Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.
8
8
9
9
10
10
11
Put IV Call IV
Historical Replay
How matured reads behaved through expiry
Across 4 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 0% of the time.
Directional follow-through0%
Moves contained by pricing100%
Average expiry move1.6%
6 Aug
Mixed · 36
-1.8% through expiry
5.6% priced · v2.0
5 Aug
Bullish · 50
-1.8% through expiry
3.4% priced · v2.0
4 Aug
Bullish · 35
-1.8% through expiry
4.5% priced · v2.0
3 Aug
Bullish · 43
-1.8% through expiry
3.9% priced · v2.0
31 Jul
Bullish · 40
-1.8% through expiry
5.0% priced · v2.0
30 Jul
Volatility · 59
0.4% through expiry
5.6% priced · v2.0
Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.
Evidence Quality
High
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
- Chain status
- Complete available chain
- Market date
- 12 Aug 2026
- Calculation
- v2.0
- Contracts
- 306 / 306
- No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.
Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.
Options Intent Radar
Put-heavy activity
Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.
Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.
Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $8,364 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 0-7 days · itm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.
Options pressure+24
1W price-1.8%
Call premium39%
Put premium61%
Notional split
C 39% / P 61%
Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness
0.01
Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit
38/100
Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Puts · 0-7 days · ITM
puts cluster with 9 contracts traded, $3,488 estimated gross traded notional, and 42% of visible notional.
$3,488
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM
calls cluster with 3 contracts traded, $1,380 estimated gross traded notional, and 16% of visible notional.
$1,380
Calls · 91+ days · ITM
calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $1,030 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$1,030
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM
puts cluster with 5 contracts traded, $762 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$762
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM
puts cluster with 5 contracts traded, $688 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$688
Setup Classification
Opportunity and risk frame
The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.
Activity Anomaly
Quiet tape
Activity is muted versus this ticker's stored history.
Baseline: 10 completed sessions
Volume rank0th
Volume/OI rank0th
IV rank40th
Market Context
Underlying confirmation
Close8.77
1W-1.8%
RS-34.0
Fair value-24.2%
Options pressure24
Speculation6
Volatility75
Trend fit38
Today Versus Normal
Stored-options context
30d avg 6.0% · 10 sessions
70th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions
-
30d avg 0.90 · 10 sessions
40th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions
-
30d avg 0.29 · 10 sessions
90th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions
-
30d avg 0.08 · 10 sessions
0th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions
-
Pressure Trail
Recent pressure and volatility
29 Jul 11:14
Bullish
Pressure 69
Move 10.1%
30 Jul 11:27
Volatility
Pressure 95
Move 9.8%
30 Jul 15:23
Bullish
Pressure 75
Move 5.1%
30 Jul 19:48
Bullish
Pressure 75
Move 5.6%
31 Jul 12:37
Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 5.6%
31 Jul 17:31
Volatility
Pressure 75
Move 5.1%
1 Aug 08:11
Bullish
Pressure 56
Move 5.1%
3 Aug 07:18
Bullish
Pressure 56
Move 5.0%
Strike Map
Where activity is clustering
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike6.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike6.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike7.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 23
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 13
Strike8.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 12
Strike8.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 75
Strike9.00
Calls · V 11 · OI 21
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Term Structure
Expiration activity
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts46
Avg IV0.73
Put-call0.26
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts56
Avg IV0.48
Put-call2.67
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts44
Avg IV0.40
Put-call-
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts10
Avg IV0.76
Put-call-
Expiry11 Sep 2026
Contracts10
Avg IV0.91
Put-call-
Skew
Call/put IV balance
14 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.14
Put IV0.21
Skew-0.93
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.73
Put IV0.35
Skew-0.38
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.54
Put IV0.51
Skew-0.03
4 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.68
Skew0.36
11 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.28
Put IV0.29
Skew0.01
Contract Tape
Most active contracts
ContractGOOS260814C00009500
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike9.50
Volume25
OI74
IV0.77
ContractGOOS260925P00007500
SidePut
Expiry25 Sep 2026
Strike7.50
Volume12
OI-
IV0.24
ContractGOOS260814C00009000
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike9.00
Volume11
OI21
IV1.14
ContractGOOS260821P00010000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike10.00
Volume5
OI70
IV0.63
ContractGOOS261016P00010000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike10.00
Volume5
OI26
IV0.44
ContractGOOS280121C00008000
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike8.00
Volume4
OI177
IV0.52
ContractGOOS260814C00007000
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike7.00
Volume3
OI23
IV3.01
ContractGOOS260821C00004000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike4.00
Volume3
OI10
IV0.01
Research Graph
Related research and context
Sharemaestro research
Related News
No recent ticker-specific news yet.
Market Watch
No recent market-watch posts yet.
Earnings
No upcoming matched earnings event.
Plain English Guide
Options context
What usually looks constructive
What usually looks cautious
Options can move quickly and can lose value fast. Treat this as research context, not a buy or sell instruction.