Ticker Options Intelligence

BNS options intelligence

Bank of Nova Scotia options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 35 Market data through 17 Sep 2026 Checked 18 Sep 2026 06:54 ยท complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

BNS currently carries mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 1.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.07.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 1.5%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.07

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.81

Balanced tape

Trend fit 84

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +0.7%

RS 14.4

Expected move 1.5%
Put-call volume 0.81
Volume / OI 0.07
Reference IV 0.29
Max pain 85.00
Underlying 93.45
Nearest expiry 18 Sep 2026
Contracts 238

Research Brief

BNS has a mixed chain read with 35/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 92.04โ€“94.86; The largest call open-interest concentration is 85.00; the largest put concentration is 87.50. The most active strike by current volume is 85.00.

Priced range92.04โ€“94.86
Call concentration85.00
Put concentration87.50
Max pain reference85.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
  • Participation is above the ticker's stored normal, which makes the read more noteworthy.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction ยท through 18 Sep

Options imply 92.04 to 94.86. Max pain at 85.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
92.0493.45 ยฑ 1.4194.86
Confirmation level

A close beyond 94.86 or below 92.04 at the 18 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 35/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 13/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure13 ร— 42%
+5.3

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation24 ร— 22%
+5.3

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement84 ร— 26%
+21.9

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility26 ร— 10%
+2.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score35.1Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 85.00; the largest put concentration is 87.50. The most active strike by current volume is 85.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
19
60.00-35.8%
0
92
62.50-33.1%
10
53
65.00-30.4%
0
316
67.50-27.8%
0
18
70.00-25.1%
82
19
72.50-22.4%
12
94
75.00-19.7%
52
40
77.50-17.1%
113
153
80.00-14.4%
31
87
82.50-11.7%
69
133
85.00-9.0%
957
400
87.50-6.4%
187
48
90.00-3.7%
529
154
92.50-1.0%
186
27
95.001.7%
94
0
97.504.3%
97
0
100.007.0%
80
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks ยท 91% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$1.6MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak95.00+$1.1M
Negative peak72.50-$120,810
Nearest balance88.13Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
57.50-38.5%
-$123
60.00-35.8%
-$318
62.50-33.1%
-$497
65.00-30.4%
-$418
67.50-27.8%
-$2,573
70.00-25.1%
+$4,775
72.50-22.4%
-$120,810
75.00-19.7%
-$1,406
77.50-17.1%
+$371
80.00-14.4%
-$15,397
82.50-11.7%
-$52,355
85.00-9.0%
-$49,671
87.50-6.4%
-$40,637
90.00-3.7%
+$120,693
92.50-1.0%
+$435,119
95.001.7%
+$1.1M
97.504.3%
+$131,296
100.007.0%
+$54,344
105.0012.4%
+$9,275
110.0017.7%
+$3,318
115.0023.1%
+$660
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.29ร— front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.29 18 Sep 1d
0.19 16 Oct 29d
0.20 20 Nov 64d
0.22 18 Dec 92d
0.22 19 Mar 183d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

75
78
80
83
85
88
90
93
95
98
100
105
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

30 matured ยท 23 directional

Across 23 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 26% of the time.

Directional follow-through26%
Moves contained by pricing80%
Average expiry move2.5%
17 Sep Mixed ยท 35 0.7% through expiry 1.5% priced ยท v2.0
16 Sep Mixed ยท 38 0.7% through expiry 1.7% priced ยท v2.0
15 Sep Bearish ยท 39 0.7% through expiry 2.4% priced ยท v2.0
11 Sep Bearish ยท 45 0.7% through expiry 2.2% priced ยท v2.0
10 Sep Mixed ยท 30 0.3% through expiry 3.5% priced ยท v2.0
8 Sep Bearish ยท 34 0.3% through expiry 2.6% priced ยท v2.0
3 Sep Bearish ยท 42 1.8% through expiry 4.0% priced ยท v2.0
1 Sep Bearish ยท 43 1.8% through expiry 3.6% priced ยท v2.0
28 Aug Mixed ยท 33 1.8% through expiry 3.5% priced ยท v2.0
27 Aug Mixed ยท 40 7.4% through expiry 7.3% priced ยท v2.0
26 Aug Bullish ยท 43 7.4% through expiry 8.3% priced ยท v2.0
25 Aug Bullish ยท 52 7.4% through expiry 7.6% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
17 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
238 / 238
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

65/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $485,970 of estimated gross traded notional, puts ยท 46-90 days ยท itm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+13
1W price+0.7%
Call premium49%
Put premium51%
Notional split C 49% / P 51% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.07 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 84/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Puts ยท 46-90 days ยท ITM
Puts ยท 46-90 days ยท ITM puts cluster with 466 contracts traded, $230,670 estimated gross traded notional, and 47% of visible notional.
$230,670
Calls ยท 0-7 days ยท ITM calls cluster with 126 contracts traded, $113,220 estimated gross traded notional, and 23% of visible notional.
$113,220
Calls ยท 46-90 days ยท OTM calls cluster with 495 contracts traded, $80,438 estimated gross traded notional, and 17% of visible notional.
$80,438
Calls ยท 22-45 days ยท ITM calls cluster with 21 contracts traded, $18,970 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$18,970
Puts ยท 46-90 days ยท ATM puts cluster with 62 contracts traded, $14,880 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$14,880

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Activity Anomaly

High anomaly

86

Current options activity is unusually hot versus this ticker's stored history.

Baseline: 31 completed sessions

Volume rank90th
Volume/OI rank77th
IV rank90th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close94.07
1W+0.7%
RS14.4
Fair value+67.6%
Options pressure13
Speculation24
Volatility26
Trend fit84

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 1.5% muted
30d avg 4.4% ยท 16 sessions 0th
90d avg 3.9% ยท 31 sessions 0th
180d avg - ยท 31/60 sessions -
IV 0.29 elevated
30d avg 0.22 ยท 16 sessions 94th
90d avg 0.22 ยท 31 sessions 90th
180d avg - ยท 31/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.81 near normal
30d avg 1.03 ยท 16 sessions 38th
90d avg 0.90 ยท 31 sessions 58th
180d avg - ยท 31/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.07 near normal
30d avg 0.05 ยท 16 sessions 69th
90d avg 0.04 ยท 31 sessions 77th
180d avg - ยท 31/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
4 Aug 10:03 Bullish
Pressure 73
Move 3.9%
4 Aug 15:50 Bullish
Pressure 37
Move 4.0%
5 Aug 18:13 Bullish
Pressure 27
Move 3.6%
7 Aug 10:20 Bullish
Pressure 53
Move 2.7%
10 Aug 10:20 Mixed
Pressure 4
Move 3.2%
11 Aug 10:22 Bullish
Pressure 46
Move 3.0%
12 Aug 10:22 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 2.7%
13 Aug 10:02 Bullish
Pressure 69
Move 2.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike45.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike47.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 1
Strike50.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 18
Strike55.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 4
Strike60.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 19
Strike62.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 10
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 92
Strike65.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 53
Strike67.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 316

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts44
Avg IV0.29
Put-call0.15
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts50
Avg IV0.19
Put-call0.06
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts66
Avg IV0.20
Put-call1.03
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts40
Avg IV0.22
Put-call5.25
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts38
Avg IV0.22
Put-call0.33

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.10
Put IV0.17
Skew0.07
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.15
Put IV0.22
Skew0.07
20 Nov 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.17
Put IV0.25
Skew0.08
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.16
Put IV0.23
Skew0.07
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.26
Skew0.05

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractBNS261120C00097500
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike97.50
Volume495
OI532
IV0.17
ContractBNS261120P00097500
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike97.50
Volume466
OI501
IV0.21
ContractBNS260918C00085000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike85.00
Volume123
OI957
IV0.01
ContractBNS261120P00092500
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike92.50
Volume62
OI22
IV0.22
ContractBNS261016C00095000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike95.00
Volume28
OI790
IV0.13
ContractBNS260918P00085000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike85.00
Volume20
OI133
IV0.81
ContractBNS261016C00085000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike85.00
Volume20
OI14
IV0.01
ContractBNS261218P00087500
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike87.50
Volume18
OI338
IV0.23

Evidence context