Historical Replay
How matured reads behaved through expiry
35 matured ยท 4 directional
Across 4 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 50% of the time.
All saved readings ยท may overlap50%
Moves contained by pricing49%
Average absolute expiry move8.0%
17 Sep
Mixed ยท 33
0.1% through expiry
4.3% priced ยท v2.0
16 Sep
Mixed ยท 32
0.1% through expiry
4.4% priced ยท v2.0
15 Sep
Mixed ยท 35
0.1% through expiry
6.0% priced ยท v2.0
14 Sep
Mixed ยท 35
0.1% through expiry
7.4% priced ยท v2.0
11 Sep
Mixed ยท 33
0.1% through expiry
6.9% priced ยท v2.0
10 Sep
Mixed ยท 32
8.2% through expiry
3.1% priced ยท v2.0
9 Sep
Mixed ยท 34
8.2% through expiry
4.4% priced ยท v2.0
8 Sep
Mixed ยท 34
8.2% through expiry
5.5% priced ยท v2.0
4 Sep
Mixed ยท 33
8.2% through expiry
6.4% priced ยท v2.0
3 Sep
Mixed ยท 44
14.9% through expiry
13.2% priced ยท v2.0
2 Sep
Bullish ยท 57
14.9% through expiry
7.2% priced ยท v2.0
1 Sep
Mixed ยท 44
14.9% through expiry
12.0% priced ยท v2.0
Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.
Evidence Quality
Usable with limits
C59/100
Retained chain50%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes71%
Open interest100%
- Chain status
- Retained chain subset
- Market date
- 24 Sep 2026
- Calculation
- v3.0
- Contracts
- 2000 / 4020
- The available chain is partial; not all contracts or expiries are represented.
- 50% of returned contracts were retained.
Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.