DELL ยท saved analysis through 24 Sep 2026

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Ticker Options Intelligence

DELL options intelligence

Dell Technologies Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 55 Market data through 24 Sep 2026 Checked 25 Sep 2026 10:19 ยท partial chain

The reading ยท 2026-09-24

Call activity leads

Use with limits

Options balance and the saved weekly stock trend agree. Stock context: 2026-09-18.

What changed?

Compare with the previous saved completed session.

Compared with 23 Sep 2026.
Options balance
+0.6 pointsBullish โ†’ Bullish
Stock reference
-2.5%Between the two saved price references
Priced move
-1.2 ppSame expiry; time remaining has also changed

Price references

ยฑ2.7% through 2026-09-25

USD 521.37 โ€“ 550.67

Near-money call and put quotes support this range.

This describes the size of a priced move, not its direction or a guaranteed trading range.
Call concentration
600.00
Put concentration
350.00
Concentrations are reference levels, not proven support or resistance.

What to watch

Supports this reading

  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.

Would weaken it

  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
Completed-session reading ยท 2026-09-24
  • Partial chain: some contracts or expiries are not represented.
  • Activity totals cannot identify buyers, sellers or newly opened positions.
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 2.7%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.30

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.47

Call-side skew

Trend fit 99

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +0.1%

RS 115.3

Expected move 2.7%
Put-call volume 0.47
Volume / OI 0.30
Reference IV 0.67
Max pain 560.00
Underlying 536.02
Nearest expiry 25 Sep 2026
Contracts 2000

The outcome record

What followed the dated readings?

Stock-price direction through expiry, using the first available weekly close on or just after expiry. These are not option-trade returns.

Recorded in advance

New readings are saved before their outcomes. A calculation change starts a separate record.

0 / 0

Non-overlapping directional readings followed through.

0 waiting for an outcome ยท 1 excluded by data or timing checks.

Too few independent outcomes to establish an edge.

Earlier saved readings

1 / 2

Non-overlapping directional readings followed through. 2 overlapping readings left out.

Always-up baseline: 50% ยท Always-down: 50%.

95% interval: 9โ€“91%.

This is a retrospective audit of saved versions, separate from the record collected in advance.

How to read this

The baselines use the same stocks and observation windows. They ask whether a simple up or down call did as well.

Removing overlapping windows reduces repeated counting. It does not make market observations fully independent.

The interval shows sampling uncertainty. Costs, execution and option selection are not tested here.

Priced Move

The priced move through expiry

Size, not direction ยท through 25 Sep

Options imply 521.37 to 550.67. Max pain at 560.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
521.37536.02 ยฑ 14.65550.67
Confirmation level

A close beyond 550.67 or below 521.37 at the 25 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Evidence behind the reading

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 32/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure32 / 100
32

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation47 / 100
47

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement99 / 100
99

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility58 / 100
58

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Evidence alignment55/100A research score, not a probability

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 600.00; the largest put concentration is 350.00. The most active strike by current volume is 550.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
1637
500.00-6.7%
193
1202
520.00-3.0%
320
1233
530.00-1.1%
164
619
535.00-0.2%
148
411
537.500.3%
234
1627
540.000.7%
572
727
545.001.7%
359
1399
550.002.6%
1190
495
555.003.5%
472
1056
560.004.5%
1415
792
570.006.3%
1302
405
575.007.3%
1767
418
580.008.2%
1075
143
590.0010.1%
2851
408
600.0011.9%
6117
662
605.0012.9%
505
2
650.0021.3%
2177
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Balanced gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks ยท 98% coverage

Call- and put-side gamma sensitivity is broadly balanced across the retained chain. Individual strike concentrations may still matter more than the chain-wide net.

Net profile-$16.9MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak600.00+$8.6M
Negative peak540.00-$7.1M
Nearest balance548.25Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
510.00-4.9%
-$5.1M
512.50-4.4%
-$701,701
515.00-3.9%
-$3.8M
517.50-3.5%
-$2.5M
520.00-3.0%
-$5.4M
522.50-2.5%
-$1.7M
525.00-2.1%
-$4.0M
527.50-1.6%
-$1.4M
530.00-1.1%
-$6.7M
532.50-0.7%
-$1.4M
535.00-0.2%
-$3.5M
537.500.3%
-$1.2M
540.000.7%
-$7.1M
542.501.2%
-$2.2M
545.001.7%
-$2.2M
547.502.1%
-$966,642
550.002.6%
+$2.2M
552.503.1%
+$316,052
555.003.5%
+$147,595
557.504.0%
-$114,375
560.004.5%
+$6.3M
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.01ร— front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.67 25 Sep 1d
0.61 2 Oct 8d
0.60 9 Oct 15d
0.60 16 Oct 22d
0.60 23 Oct 29d
0.61 30 Oct 36d
0.62 6 Nov 43d
0.62 20 Nov 57d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

430
440
450
463
473
483
495
505
515
525
535
548
558
568
580
590
600
610
620
633
643
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

35 matured ยท 4 directional

Across 4 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 50% of the time.

All saved readings ยท may overlap50%
Moves contained by pricing49%
Average absolute expiry move8.0%
17 Sep Mixed ยท 33 0.1% through expiry 4.3% priced ยท v2.0
16 Sep Mixed ยท 32 0.1% through expiry 4.4% priced ยท v2.0
15 Sep Mixed ยท 35 0.1% through expiry 6.0% priced ยท v2.0
14 Sep Mixed ยท 35 0.1% through expiry 7.4% priced ยท v2.0
11 Sep Mixed ยท 33 0.1% through expiry 6.9% priced ยท v2.0
10 Sep Mixed ยท 32 8.2% through expiry 3.1% priced ยท v2.0
9 Sep Mixed ยท 34 8.2% through expiry 4.4% priced ยท v2.0
8 Sep Mixed ยท 34 8.2% through expiry 5.5% priced ยท v2.0
4 Sep Mixed ยท 33 8.2% through expiry 6.4% priced ยท v2.0
3 Sep Mixed ยท 44 14.9% through expiry 13.2% priced ยท v2.0
2 Sep Bullish ยท 57 14.9% through expiry 7.2% priced ยท v2.0
1 Sep Mixed ยท 44 14.9% through expiry 12.0% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C59/100
Retained chain50%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes71%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Retained chain subset
Market date
24 Sep 2026
Calculation
v3.0
Contracts
2000 / 4020
  • The available chain is partial; not all contracts or expiries are represented.
  • 50% of returned contracts were retained.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

79/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow before price confirmation

Call-side pressure is building before a meaningful weekly price response.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $113.6M of estimated gross traded notional, puts ยท 0-7 days ยท itm, and a bullish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+32
1W price+0.1%
Call premium50%
Put premium50%
Notional split C 50% / P 50% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.30 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 99/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Puts ยท 0-7 days ยท ITM
Puts ยท 0-7 days ยท ITM puts cluster with 5978 contracts traded, $31.8M estimated gross traded notional, and 28% of visible notional.
$31.8M
Calls ยท 0-7 days ยท ATM calls cluster with 11783 contracts traded, $11.0M estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$11.0M
Calls ยท 0-7 days ยท OTM calls cluster with 44900 contracts traded, $9.0M estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$9.0M
Puts ยท 0-7 days ยท ATM puts cluster with 8600 contracts traded, $8.3M estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$8.3M
Calls ยท 8-21 days ยท ATM calls cluster with 2840 contracts traded, $8.1M estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$8.1M

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

62

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Baseline: 41 completed sessions

Volume rank68th
Volume/OI rank73th
IV rank44th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close568.06
1W+0.1%
RS115.3
Fair value+267.6%
Options pressure32
Speculation47
Volatility58
Trend fit99

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 2.7% muted
30d avg 6.7% ยท 21 sessions 0th
90d avg 8.0% ยท 41 sessions 0th
180d avg - ยท 41/60 sessions -
IV 0.67 near normal
30d avg 0.68 ยท 21 sessions 62th
90d avg 0.73 ยท 41 sessions 44th
180d avg - ยท 41/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.47 muted
30d avg 1.06 ยท 21 sessions 5th
90d avg 1.08 ยท 41 sessions 2th
180d avg - ยท 41/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.30 near normal
30d avg 0.39 ยท 21 sessions 48th
90d avg 0.27 ยท 41 sessions 73th
180d avg - ยท 41/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
17 Sep 17:50 Mixed
Pressure -3
Move 4.0%
17 Sep 19:20 Mixed
Pressure -3
Move 4.4%
18 Sep 03:52 Mixed
Pressure -8
Move 4.3%
18 Sep 14:50 Bearish
Pressure -18
Move 3.2%
18 Sep 16:20 Mixed
Pressure -12
Move 2.8%
18 Sep 18:00 Mixed
Pressure -16
Move 2.1%
18 Sep 19:30 Mixed
Pressure -16
Move 1.2%
19 Sep 03:54 Mixed
Pressure -17
Move 0.6%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike220.00
Calls ยท V 10 ยท OI 19
Puts ยท V 11 ยท OI 371
Strike225.00
Calls ยท V 16 ยท OI 19
Puts ยท V 25 ยท OI 281
Strike230.00
Calls ยท V 3 ยท OI 19
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 552
Strike235.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 10
Puts ยท V 3 ยท OI 132
Strike240.00
Calls ยท V 2 ยท OI 15
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 110
Strike245.00
Calls ยท V 4 ยท OI 15
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 150
Strike250.00
Calls ยท V 2 ยท OI 12
Puts ยท V 4 ยท OI 212
Strike255.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 11
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 365

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry25 Sep 2026
Contracts356
Avg IV0.67
Put-call0.39
Expiry2 Oct 2026
Contracts380
Avg IV0.61
Put-call0.68
Expiry9 Oct 2026
Contracts282
Avg IV0.60
Put-call0.30
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts246
Avg IV0.60
Put-call0.66
Expiry23 Oct 2026
Contracts210
Avg IV0.60
Put-call0.70

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
25 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.72
Put IV0.66
Skew-0.06
2 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.62
Put IV0.61
Skew-0.01
9 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.61
Put IV0.59
Skew-0.02
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.61
Put IV0.60
Skew-0.01
23 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.63
Put IV0.59
Skew-0.04

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractDELL260925C00550000
SideCall
Expiry25 Sep 2026
Strike550.00
Volume7536
OI1190
IV0.72
ContractDELL260925C00570000
SideCall
Expiry25 Sep 2026
Strike570.00
Volume5128
OI1302
IV0.78
ContractDELL260925C00580000
SideCall
Expiry25 Sep 2026
Strike580.00
Volume4329
OI1075
IV0.82
ContractDELL260925C00600000
SideCall
Expiry25 Sep 2026
Strike600.00
Volume3134
OI6117
IV0.93
ContractDELL260925C00560000
SideCall
Expiry25 Sep 2026
Strike560.00
Volume2978
OI1415
IV0.75
ContractDELL260925C00540000
SideCall
Expiry25 Sep 2026
Strike540.00
Volume2379
OI572
IV0.70
ContractDELL261002C00575000
SideCall
Expiry2 Oct 2026
Strike575.00
Volume2040
OI270
IV0.62
ContractDELL261002C00600000
SideCall
Expiry2 Oct 2026
Strike600.00
Volume1902
OI1232
IV0.63

Evidence context