Ticker Options Intelligence

ZION options intelligence

Zions Bancorporation options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 38 Market data through 10 Aug 2026 Checked 11 Aug 2026 14:28 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

ZION currently carries bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 3.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 3.4%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.20

Call-side skew

Trend fit 28

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +0.9%

RS 4.4

Expected move 3.4%
Put-call volume 0.20
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.26
Max pain 70.00
Underlying 70.32
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 444

Research Brief

ZION has a bullish chain read with 38/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 67.92–72.72; The largest call open-interest concentration is 67.50; the largest put concentration is 67.50. The most active strike by current volume is 70.00.

Priced range67.92–72.72
Call concentration67.50
Put concentration67.50
Max pain reference70.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 67.92 to 72.72. Max pain at 70.00 sits inside that range, 0.5% below spot.

Spot Max pain
67.9270.32 ± 2.4072.72
Confirmation level

A close beyond 72.72 or below 67.92 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 38/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 64/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure64 × 42%
+27.1

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation2 × 22%
+0.3

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement28 × 26%
+7.3

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility32 × 10%
+3.2

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score37.8Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 67.50; the largest put concentration is 67.50. The most active strike by current volume is 70.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
1
45.00-36.0%
0
6
47.50-32.5%
0
4
50.00-28.9%
0
229
55.00-21.8%
1
145
57.50-18.2%
5
726
60.00-14.7%
3
65
62.50-11.1%
2
521
65.00-7.6%
36
775
67.50-4.0%
361
653
70.00-0.5%
309
17
72.503.1%
156
9
75.006.7%
85
0
77.5010.2%
346
0
80.0013.8%
19
0
82.5017.3%
7
0
85.0020.9%
0
0
90.0028.0%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks · 90% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$709,356Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak75.00+$713,185
Negative peak67.50-$260,329
Nearest balance68.99Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
42.50-39.6%
-$1,240
45.00-36.0%
-$7,583
47.50-32.5%
-$38,742
50.00-28.9%
-$10,253
52.50-25.3%
-$195,135
55.00-21.8%
-$55,864
57.50-18.2%
-$19,379
60.00-14.7%
+$23,101
62.50-11.1%
-$41,770
65.00-7.6%
-$98,691
67.50-4.0%
-$260,329
70.00-0.5%
+$177,242
72.503.1%
+$353,851
75.006.7%
+$713,185
77.5010.2%
+$58,543
80.0013.8%
+$80,041
82.5017.3%
+$24,247
85.0020.9%
+$15,704
90.0028.0%
+$2,076
95.0035.1%
+$476
100.0042.2%
+$3,228
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.81× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.26 21 Aug 11d
0.26 18 Sep 39d
0.26 16 Oct 67d
0.29 20 Nov 102d
0.29 15 Jan 158d
0.29 19 Feb 193d
0.30 21 May 284d
0.31 21 Jan 529d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

58
60
63
65
68
70
73
75
78
80
83
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
10 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
444 / 444
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Call activity against legacy put OI

63/100
Primary intent Call activity against legacy put OI

Call activity is dominant while put open interest remains large but current put volume is not leading.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow before price confirmation

Call-side pressure is building before a meaningful weekly price response.

Why this matters

Call activity against legacy put OI matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $21,644 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · atm, and a bullish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+64
1W price+0.9%
Call premium90%
Put premium10%
Notional split C 90% / P 10% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 28/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Do not infer a hedge unwind without next-session open-interest changes and opening/closing data.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ATM
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 55 contracts traded, $6,875 estimated gross traded notional, and 32% of visible notional.
$6,875
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 20 contracts traded, $6,250 estimated gross traded notional, and 29% of visible notional.
$6,250
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $2,750 estimated gross traded notional, and 13% of visible notional.
$2,750
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 2 contracts traded, $1,230 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$1,230
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 3 contracts traded, $835 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$835

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

9 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 9 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close70.32
1W+0.9%
RS4.4
Fair value+44.8%
Options pressure64
Speculation2
Volatility32
Trend fit28

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 3.4% history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
IV 0.26 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.20 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:29 Bearish
Pressure -38
Move 5.7%
30 Jul 10:24 Bullish
Pressure 58
Move 5.5%
30 Jul 22:54 Mixed
Pressure 2
Move 5.2%
31 Jul 08:00 Bullish
Pressure 28
Move 5.2%
31 Jul 19:33 Mixed
Pressure 1
Move 4.9%
1 Aug 08:58 Mixed
Pressure -3
Move 4.9%
3 Aug 11:07 Mixed
Pressure -3
Move 4.9%
4 Aug 13:34 Bullish
Pressure 68
Move 4.6%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike47.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 6
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 229
Strike57.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 145
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 1 · OI 726
Strike62.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 2 · OI 65
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 36
Puts · V 0 · OI 521

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts38
Avg IV0.26
Put-call0.13
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts50
Avg IV0.26
Put-call0.25
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts50
Avg IV0.26
Put-call0.60
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts52
Avg IV0.29
Put-call3.00
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts56
Avg IV0.29
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.20
Put IV0.33
Skew0.13
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.30
Skew0.08
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.31
Skew0.09
20 Nov 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.25
Put IV0.34
Skew0.09
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.24
Put IV0.35
Skew0.11

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractZION260821C00070000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike70.00
Volume55
OI309
IV0.18
ContractZION260821C00067500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike67.50
Volume20
OI361
IV0.01
ContractZION260821C00075000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike75.00
Volume7
OI85
IV0.22
ContractZION260821P00070000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike70.00
Volume6
OI653
IV0.30
ContractZION260918C00075000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike75.00
Volume4
OI501
IV0.22
ContractZION260918C00070000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike70.00
Volume3
OI160
IV0.22
ContractZION260821C00072500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike72.50
Volume3
OI156
IV0.20
ContractZION260821P00067500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike67.50
Volume2
OI775
IV0.33

Evidence context