Weekly structural research ยท CPH ยท Financial Services

DAB Stage Analysis

Danske Andelskassers Bank A/S

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close DKK 14.20Tenure EstablishedBenchmark ^OMXC25
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction -85โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 92/100directional strength
Maturity 48/100lifecycle context
Confidence 82/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -100.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +3.5%DKK 13.73 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0214.2016.29-16.4858309Downward Expansion-8592
2026-09-2514.2516.43-17.14181296Downward Expansion-9086
2026-09-1814.9016.56-15.1350486Downward Expansion-8368
2026-09-1115.4016.68-12.2063591Downward Expansion-7152
2026-09-0415.6516.79-13.0734824Downward Expansion-6458
2026-08-2815.6016.89-13.9713228Downward Expansion-6876
2026-08-2115.9017.01-11.673572Downward Expansion-6474
2026-08-1415.6517.11-12.7415701Downward Expansion-6778
2026-08-0715.3017.24-12.353599Downward Expansion-8077
2026-07-3115.9517.38-8.469863Downward Expansion-6456
2026-07-2415.9017.48-8.2731319Downward Expansion-6651
2026-07-1716.4017.56-8.827174Downward Expansion-5431
2026-07-1016.7017.60-5.604778Downward Expansion-3620
2026-07-0316.4517.60-8.06663Downward Expansion-4522
2026-06-2616.8517.58-0.726370Downward Expansion-3720
2026-06-1917.1017.524.3311929Downward Expansion-3924
2026-06-1216.9017.501.867891Downward Expansion-5131
2026-06-0516.2517.50-0.9040389Downward Expansion-5834
2026-05-2916.2517.50-2.2472705Downward Expansion-6243
2026-05-2216.9517.492.1186869Deceleration-2623
2026-05-1517.1517.424.6677296Deceleration-2725
2026-05-0815.8517.34-1.7285041Deceleration-4634
2026-05-0116.9517.294.8357180Deceleration-2018
2026-04-2417.0017.226.7091325Rotation Down-1822
2026-04-1717.4617.146.5990318Rotation Down-1938
2026-04-1017.1217.056.5885997Deceleration-1936
2026-04-0317.0716.979.3068126Deceleration122
2026-03-2715.6916.895.23117391Deceleration-1825
2026-03-2017.9516.8521.7578688Deceleration2919
2026-03-1318.0516.7419.9197945Deceleration3220
2026-03-0618.1916.6319.8458530Deceleration3623
2026-02-2718.2416.5118.3068341Deceleration4029
2026-02-2018.4416.3814.7498738Deceleration4436
2026-02-1318.6416.2517.1379124Upward Expansion4841
2026-02-0618.8816.1216.8987844Upward Expansion6153
2026-01-3019.0815.9615.43105217Upward Expansion6461
2026-01-2318.7815.7813.49217048Upward Expansion6674
2026-01-1619.6215.6217.77197089Upward Expansion7787
2026-01-0919.4215.4419.39252461Upward Expansion8188
2026-01-0219.1315.2723.19120559Upward Expansion8486
2025-12-2618.1515.1118.1169407Upward Expansion8273
2025-12-1917.6614.9916.72135086Upward Expansion8051
2025-12-1216.6714.8810.3563422Upward Expansion7044
2025-12-0515.9914.818.7471473Upward Expansion5944
2025-11-2815.0114.744.00157620Upward Expansion6064
2025-11-2116.6314.7019.2256347Upward Expansion7587
2025-11-1416.8714.6020.2769531Upward Expansion8788
2025-11-0716.1814.4918.8582398Upward Expansion8379
2025-10-3116.0414.4018.33358766Upward Expansion8161
2025-10-2414.6114.307.4737506Upward Expansion4724
2025-10-1714.7114.289.0583854Upward Expansion4926
2025-10-1014.6114.268.7867168Upward Expansion4726
2025-10-0314.8614.2411.6945972Upward Expansion5832
2025-09-2614.5714.2214.4159316Upward Expansion4927
2025-09-1914.7114.1913.6751617Upward Expansion5533
2025-09-1214.6114.1514.3738047Upward Expansion5332
2025-09-0514.6114.0814.7646169Upward Expansion5435
2025-08-2914.7114.0316.33104893Upward Expansion6146
2025-08-2214.6113.9813.20113731Upward Expansion5850
2025-08-1514.6113.9218.2237062Upward Expansion5858
2025-08-0814.6113.8917.9575120Upward Expansion5756
2025-08-0114.4213.8919.6898176Upward Expansion4847
2025-07-2514.6113.8711.7141321Upward Expansion5739
2025-07-1814.6113.8315.9748220Upward Expansion4319
2025-07-1114.0313.7812.1677037Upward Expansion2517
2025-07-0413.8313.7511.7338319Upward Expansion2614
2025-06-2713.7813.6912.2151055Upward Expansion3217
2025-06-2014.2213.6315.0821600Upward Expansion5130
2025-06-1314.3213.5611.9143034Upward Expansion5646
2025-06-0614.4713.4914.0969903Upward Expansion5856
2025-05-3014.4213.4217.6649428Upward Expansion5755
2025-05-2314.4713.3519.4158463Balance5644
2025-05-1614.5213.2820.62131179Balance5735
2025-05-0914.0313.2122.0456383Balance4621
2025-05-0213.6413.1517.7856930Balance2912
2025-04-2513.6413.0926.5834766Upward Expansion2916
2025-04-1813.6113.0628.8829072Upward Expansion3215
2025-04-1113.4812.9933.77102211Upward Expansion3517
2025-04-0412.9512.9329.3984320Upward Expansion4124
2025-03-2814.1512.8927.0845535Upward Expansion6157
2025-03-2114.1512.8024.7075788Upward Expansion6054
2025-03-1413.9612.7122.8242011Upward Expansion5642
2025-03-0714.1012.6322.04175462Deceleration5832
2025-02-2813.7712.5417.54415094Deceleration4321
2025-02-2113.4312.4616.8688615Deceleration3419
2025-02-1412.7212.4013.8868016Deceleration2722
2025-02-0713.1012.3617.7875185Upward Expansion3721
2025-01-3113.0012.3018.8164368Upward Expansion5538
2025-01-2412.8612.2518.58101870Upward Expansion6150
2025-01-1713.7212.2029.22224728Upward Expansion6782
2025-01-1014.7212.1436.86142880Upward Expansion8994
2025-01-0313.6712.0226.36105482Upward Expansion7785
2024-12-2713.4311.9525.6961227Upward Expansion7475
2024-12-2013.2911.8929.30146400Upward Expansion7151
2024-12-1313.1011.8321.78384765Deceleration7136
2024-12-0611.8511.789.5434144Deceleration2617
2024-11-2912.0511.7711.8232646Upward Expansion3924
2024-11-2212.1911.7614.0459342Upward Expansion4431
2024-11-1512.1911.7615.9737955Upward Expansion5739
2024-11-0812.4311.7416.0828530Upward Expansion6649
2024-11-0112.3811.6812.7341419Upward Expansion6749
2024-10-2512.1411.6210.3226782Upward Expansion6150
2024-10-1812.4311.5712.0866386Upward Expansion7581
2024-10-1112.2411.5010.1425766Upward Expansion7178
2024-10-0412.0911.4410.6388848Upward Expansion6674
2024-09-2712.7211.3813.95235322Upward Expansion9184
2024-09-2011.4711.291.7823209Upward Expansion4830
2024-09-1311.6211.240.4612467Upward Expansion5232
2024-09-0611.7611.206.1933553Deceleration6233
2024-08-3011.4711.142.0654193Deceleration3219
2024-08-2311.4711.093.0749069Deceleration2316
2024-08-1611.3811.032.2914789Deceleration2316
2024-08-0911.5710.985.7462000Deceleration4024
2024-08-0211.4210.924.5424441Deceleration2417
2024-07-2611.4210.863.7640915Deceleration3521
2024-07-1911.4710.815.7738667Deceleration3520
2024-07-1211.4210.752.5521065Deceleration3724
2024-07-0511.4710.694.1733726Deceleration3723
2024-06-2811.3810.644.8448878Deceleration4127
2024-06-2111.8110.588.0581736Deceleration5336
2024-06-1411.1910.512.8542016Deceleration4334
2024-06-0711.5710.464.0938579Upward Expansion5746
2024-05-3111.6210.406.4879609Upward Expansion6051
2024-05-2411.7110.348.1569198Upward Expansion6658
2024-05-1711.5710.266.54109943Upward Expansion6664
2024-05-1011.5710.199.7244689Upward Expansion6779
2024-05-0311.7110.1214.0543320Upward Expansion7687
2024-04-2612.0910.0517.31135733Upward Expansion9594
2024-04-1911.519.9613.185064779Upward Expansion9593
2024-04-1210.739.894.7279310Upward Expansion7875
2024-04-0510.599.852.7280377Upward Expansion7474
2024-03-2910.599.801.7014464Upward Expansion8077
2024-03-2210.359.76-0.8696005Upward Expansion6864
2024-03-1510.499.731.7469497Upward Expansion8469
2024-03-0810.219.70-2.65158985Upward Expansion7264
2024-03-0110.179.67-1.28128764Upward Expansion7472
2024-02-239.989.65-1.64113388Upward Expansion6368
2024-02-1610.179.63-0.3550103Upward Expansion8479
2024-02-099.989.60-1.2197362Upward Expansion7366
2024-02-029.949.58-0.12194677Upward Expansion7056
2024-01-269.849.56-0.0182579Upward Expansion6243
2024-01-199.809.540.7542149Upward Expansion5836
2024-01-129.809.52-2.3597470Upward Expansion5937
2024-01-059.809.51-0.94119670Upward Expansion6238
2023-12-299.709.49-0.4757141Upward Expansion5535
2023-12-229.759.480.9558356Upward Expansion5941
2023-12-159.759.473.3166836Upward Expansion6148
2023-12-089.759.454.96152870Upward Expansion6356
2023-12-019.759.445.4853160Upward Expansion6463
2023-11-249.669.425.78122313Upward Expansion5961
2023-11-179.759.417.08107286Upward Expansion6863
2023-11-109.709.4010.94173250Upward Expansion6758
2023-11-039.669.3811.2078636Upward Expansion6650
2023-10-279.479.3611.8840691Upward Expansion5136
2023-10-209.569.3611.8878340Upward Expansion6144
2023-10-139.479.345.0856876Upward Expansion5034
Price vs TrendBelow-12.9%
Trend directionFalling-6.8%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+3.5%
Fair Value directionMoving away-21.0%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-16.5%
Relative strength directionWeakening-8.4%
Price momentumNegative-16.8%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.17ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-85 / ยฑ100

-21.6 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

92 /100

+34.1 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance0
Rotation Up9
Upward Expansion22
Deceleration37
Rotation Down86
Downward Expansion100

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 3%Upward Expansion 64%Deceleration 20%Rotation Down 1%Downward Expansion 12%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-05-292026-10-02Established-12.6%
Deceleration2026-05-012026-05-22New+0.0%
Rotation Down2026-04-172026-04-24New-2.6%
Deceleration2026-02-202026-04-10Developing-7.2%
Upward Expansion2025-05-302026-02-13Extended+29.3%
Balance2025-05-022025-05-23New+6.1%
Upward Expansion2025-03-142025-04-25Developing-2.3%
Deceleration2025-02-142025-03-07New+10.9%
Upward Expansion2024-12-202025-02-07Developing-1.4%
Deceleration2024-12-062024-12-13New+10.5%
Upward Expansion2024-09-132024-11-29Developing+3.7%
Deceleration2024-06-142024-09-06Established+5.1%
Upward Expansion2023-08-112024-06-07Extended+23.3%
Deceleration2023-04-072023-08-04Established+3.4%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing36
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution37
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^OMXC25

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
99/100
Current Relative Strength
-16.48
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
-16.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-23.2%
Financial Services regime cohort
100th percentile2 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.66ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.17ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 4

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity DKK 14.61falling
Slow Activity DKK 15.86falling
Trend Reference DKK 16.29-12.9% close margin
Current Fair Value DKK 13.73+3.5% close margin
Structural low DKK 13.70shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +3.9%
Annualized volatility +21.3%
From structural high -30.4%
From structural low +3.6%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^OMXC25 Regime survived Read
Near term8+0.5%-6.3% to +6.2%+50.0%+37.5%-3.3%+87.5%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate2+2.7%-4.0% to +9.3%+50.0%+50.0%-10.5%+50.0%Too little matched history
Extended1+9.1%+9.1% to +9.1%+100.0%+0.0%-12.0%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle1+12.2%+12.2% to +12.2%+100.0%+0.0%-3.0%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context