Weekly structural research ยท LSE ยท Communication Services

GMR Stage Analysis

Gaming Realms plc

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close GBP 0.306Tenure ExtendedBenchmark ^FTSE
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
Direction -30โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 15/100directional strength
Maturity 100/100lifecycle context
Confidence 70/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance -33.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -19.0%GBP 0.3777 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-090.3060.3152-14.18940035Downward Expansion-3015
2026-10-020.3150.3158-11.831498691Downward Expansion-2613
2026-09-250.30450.3156-17.441465200Downward Expansion-4723
2026-09-180.310.3158-16.702957289Downward Expansion-5032
2026-09-110.3030.316-19.422786916Downward Expansion-5346
2026-09-040.3010.3168-22.23857285Downward Expansion-5647
2026-08-280.2950.319-24.82667346Downward Expansion-6335
2026-08-210.3040.3225-23.60383009Downward Expansion-5326
2026-08-140.3060.3259-23.6225411Downward Expansion-4223
2026-08-070.320.3292-22.33271742Downward Expansion-3416
2026-07-310.3080.3321-26.04335215Downward Expansion-4224
2026-07-240.3040.3351-27.2321632Downward Expansion-4929
2026-07-170.320.3382-23.61453786Downward Expansion-5332
2026-07-100.3080.3406-26.84371570Downward Expansion-5842
2026-07-030.3030.344-30.25659505Downward Expansion-6058
2026-06-260.3040.3479-29.9175974Downward Expansion-6262
2026-06-190.3060.3517-29.42430936Downward Expansion-6154
2026-06-120.300.3554-32.40323778Downward Expansion-6755
2026-06-050.310.3588-30.211445583Downward Expansion-5337
2026-05-290.3390.3628-24.691001613Downward Expansion-3522
2026-05-220.3230.3652-29.301066403Downward Expansion-4323
2026-05-150.320.3687-28.772240926Downward Expansion-4122
2026-05-080.3480.373-23.544096094Downward Expansion-2622
2026-05-010.3460.3763-25.502989832Downward Expansion-3221
2026-04-240.3530.3799-24.612952772Downward Expansion-3821
2026-04-170.340.3838-29.712250962Downward Expansion-4535
2026-04-100.3170.3877-34.422262196Downward Expansion-5948
2026-04-030.3230.3928-32.572656211Downward Expansion-6252
2026-03-270.3040.3988-33.903814525Downward Expansion-7261
2026-03-200.3150.4056-31.462365519Downward Expansion-6774
2026-03-130.3240.4116-32.127215277Downward Expansion-6783
2026-03-060.310.4178-35.484036927Downward Expansion-7488
2026-02-270.3110.4246-39.258330465Downward Expansion-7989
2026-02-200.3150.4322-37.534380401Downward Expansion-8384
2026-02-130.3270.4398-34.018334191Downward Expansion-8271
2026-02-060.3680.4472-25.604917714Downward Expansion-6942
2026-01-300.400.4525-18.348954187Downward Expansion-4428
2026-01-230.4050.4566-16.744261039Downward Expansion-5232
2026-01-160.4050.4601-17.5913519475Downward Expansion-5537
2026-01-090.4060.4636-16.532836744Downward Expansion-5843
2026-01-020.400.4656-16.452333447Downward Expansion-5954
2025-12-260.3960.4673-16.761008029Downward Expansion-6147
2025-12-190.3920.4697-17.934562384Downward Expansion-6644
2025-12-120.4110.4719-11.951564035Downward Expansion-5639
2025-12-050.420.4735-10.171117409Downward Expansion-5540
2025-11-280.4160.4741-11.561384709Downward Expansion-5746
2025-11-210.4180.4743-9.511832611Downward Expansion-6060
2025-11-140.4020.4733-14.431712751Rotation Down-7169
2025-11-070.430.4724-8.551425266Rotation Down-3348
2025-10-310.4120.4701-12.793085356Rotation Down-4553
2025-10-240.4260.4681-9.283309015Rotation Down-4347
2025-10-170.450.4656-1.032770941Rotation Down-2436
2025-10-100.4480.4624-1.904412891Deceleration-2537
2025-10-030.4520.4596-1.543910015Deceleration-620
2025-09-260.4710.45635.015325378Deceleration416
2025-09-190.4570.4532.742203263Deceleration-213
2025-09-120.470.454.9310293389Deceleration1815
2025-09-050.5040.447413.672752874Deceleration3220
2025-08-290.5060.444214.74706928Deceleration3621
2025-08-220.4960.439311.181726164Upward Expansion4128
2025-08-150.510.43516.844945036Upward Expansion4839
2025-08-080.5140.429618.653102151Upward Expansion6253
2025-08-010.5380.424424.882355346Upward Expansion6559
2025-07-250.5440.418726.062964147Upward Expansion7167
2025-07-180.5480.412429.626873526Upward Expansion7881
2025-07-110.5280.406426.412865754Upward Expansion7484
2025-07-040.5240.400527.952679828Upward Expansion7878
2025-06-270.510.395425.612284452Upward Expansion7763
2025-06-200.5080.390726.177474133Upward Expansion8365
2025-06-130.4670.386115.542259989Upward Expansion6968
2025-06-060.450.383411.688883196Upward Expansion6677
2025-05-300.470.381117.737675111Upward Expansion7786
2025-05-230.4560.377915.168680533Upward Expansion7685
2025-05-160.460.373716.896186565Upward Expansion8283
2025-05-090.4390.369413.5816314646Upward Expansion7775
2025-05-020.4220.36688.802049819Balance7054
2025-04-250.3880.36512.412619027Balance4120
2025-04-180.37250.36550.082102992Balance-2813
2025-04-110.3620.36651.272936975Balance-4828
2025-04-040.3520.367-2.313599483Balance-5139
2025-03-280.3520.3681-9.091144306Balance-5332
2025-03-210.3550.3697-8.371298269Balance-4023
2025-03-140.3610.3712-6.80827739Balance-2516
2025-03-070.3550.3727-8.981333096Balance-3714
2025-02-280.3720.3745-6.191172973Balance814
2025-02-210.36750.3756-5.901611972Balance517
2025-02-140.39250.3755-0.531321675Balance1421
2025-02-070.4070.37473.393130410Balance27
2025-01-310.3580.3732-8.851941972Balance-4723
2025-01-240.3660.3736-5.2514983980Balance-4421
2025-01-170.3480.3735-10.0512324537Balance-5431
2025-01-100.360.3747-4.351657954Balance-4521
2025-01-030.3670.3759-2.38579364Balance-4425
2024-12-270.3540.3765-5.08366113Balance-4928
2024-12-200.36950.3782-0.211140486Balance-4121
2024-12-130.350.3789-7.901479442Balance-4823
2024-12-060.370.3801-2.931461217Balance-2513
2024-11-290.3690.3813-3.063116300Balance-2516
2024-11-220.3710.3811-2.251924682Balance-2617
2024-11-150.38450.38063.762399738Rotation Down-2813
2024-11-080.38250.37833.301916257Rotation Down-4838
2024-11-010.3750.37560.044690540Rotation Down-2743
2024-10-250.3290.3744-12.953220043Rotation Down-3851
2024-10-180.3310.3755-13.826146951Deceleration-3033
2024-10-110.3610.3762-5.033388333Deceleration36
2024-10-040.370.3757-2.963245753Deceleration1810
2024-09-270.4010.37494.613924220Deceleration3616
2024-09-200.4030.37356.412238413Upward Expansion3817
2024-09-130.3760.3721-1.072567386Upward Expansion2813
2024-09-060.3850.37192.452154942Upward Expansion4928
2024-08-300.400.37143.923560091Upward Expansion5353
2024-08-230.40050.37054.721427860Upward Expansion5457
2024-08-160.4050.36886.171076689Upward Expansion5654
2024-08-090.410.36749.226605750Deceleration5942
2024-08-020.4040.36597.764407161Deceleration5422
2024-07-260.3660.3645-3.601471164Deceleration2115
2024-07-190.3690.364-1.161020403Deceleration2317
2024-07-120.360.3632-4.471008040Deceleration2015
2024-07-050.370.3631-1.071197279Deceleration3216
2024-06-280.3630.3627-2.291963996Upward Expansion3418
2024-06-210.3850.36192.791197887Upward Expansion5433
2024-06-140.39650.36057.261083010Upward Expansion5943
2024-06-070.3850.35813.401570109Upward Expansion5857
2024-05-310.4040.35658.361425663Upward Expansion6969
2024-05-240.390.35414.421593875Upward Expansion6058
2024-05-170.3870.35252.602222216Balance5943
2024-05-100.40650.35067.889355224Balance5834
2024-05-030.3620.348-1.063664105Rotation Down-712
2024-04-260.35550.3475-1.867826225Rotation Down-1735
2024-04-190.3170.3472-9.602319840Rotation Down-3550
2024-04-120.3020.3481-14.787150072Balance-3743
2024-04-050.3390.3496-3.204693855Balance-1612
2024-03-290.360.35032.58741874Balance1612
2024-03-220.3520.34981.081077910Balance1313
2024-03-150.3480.34952.95621658Upward Expansion2114
2024-03-080.3450.35053.37576164Upward Expansion2412
2024-03-010.35850.35037.601136554Upward Expansion4723
2024-02-230.36250.35039.08410405Upward Expansion5133
2024-02-160.36950.348911.712203383Upward Expansion5533
2024-02-090.36850.346714.121743473Upward Expansion5531
2024-02-020.3750.344216.134486660Upward Expansion6138
2024-01-260.350.34168.72702418Upward Expansion4931
2024-01-190.3610.340615.323868680Upward Expansion5238
2024-01-120.36650.33915.401286481Upward Expansion5738
2024-01-050.3620.336313.79643162Deceleration5437
2023-12-290.35050.334610.34243086Deceleration4734
2023-12-220.34550.33349.87967293Deceleration4534
2023-12-150.35650.332315.791884879Deceleration5133
2023-12-080.3580.330717.332229842Deceleration4020
2023-12-010.3380.329511.892630611Deceleration2610
2023-11-240.34250.329114.71976141Deceleration189
2023-11-170.3250.32799.291541555Deceleration86
2023-11-100.3370.326416.071940187Deceleration168
2023-11-030.33150.324414.041096531Deceleration1410
2023-10-270.3420.322520.40669197Deceleration2814
2023-10-200.3320.319715.831985716Deceleration2713
Price vs TrendBelow-2.9%
Trend directionFalling-5.1%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-19.0%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+0.1%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-14.2%
Relative strength directionImproving+12.7%
Price momentumNegative-3.5%
Volume balanceDemand-led2.62ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-30 / ยฑ100

+22.5 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

15 /100

-30.9 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance46
Rotation Up28
Upward Expansion18
Deceleration43
Rotation Down32
Downward Expansion57

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 19%Upward Expansion 24%Deceleration 19%Rotation Down 8%Downward Expansion 30%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2025-11-212026-10-09Extended-26.8%
Rotation Down2025-10-172025-11-14Developing-10.7%
Deceleration2025-08-292025-10-10Developing-11.5%
Upward Expansion2025-05-092025-08-22Established+13.0%
Balance2024-11-222025-05-02Established+13.7%
Rotation Down2024-10-252024-11-15New+16.9%
Deceleration2024-09-272024-10-18New-17.5%
Upward Expansion2024-08-162024-09-20Developing-0.5%
Deceleration2024-07-052024-08-09Developing+10.8%
Upward Expansion2024-05-242024-06-28Developing-6.9%
Balance2024-05-102024-05-17New-4.8%
Rotation Down2024-04-192024-05-03New+14.2%
Balance2024-03-222024-04-12New-14.2%
Upward Expansion2024-01-122024-03-15Developing-5.0%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing70
Stage 2 ยท Advancing10
Stage 3 ยท Distribution17
Stage 4 ยท Declining90

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^FTSE

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
70/100
Current Relative Strength
-14.18
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-3.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-3.0%
Communication Services regime cohort
15th percentile13 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.11ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume2.62ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity GBP 0.3084rising
Slow Activity GBP 0.3105falling
Trend Reference GBP 0.3152-2.9% close margin
Current Fair Value GBP 0.3777-19.0% close margin
Structural low GBP 0.29shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +6.7%
Annualized volatility +27.5%
From structural high -35.2%
From structural low +5.5%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^FTSE Regime survived Read
Near term25+1.1%-19.5% to +17.8%+56.0%+44.0%-1.5%+88.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate8-4.1%-24.6% to +10.2%+37.5%+62.5%-8.4%+75.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended4-13.1%-22.7% to +25.3%+25.0%+75.0%-12.4%+50.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle2+7.6%-24.5% to +39.6%+50.0%+50.0%+6.8%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context