Weekly structural research ยท ASX ยท Industrials

GNP Stage Analysis

GenusPlus Group Ltd

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close AUD 9.21Tenure NewBenchmark ^AXJO
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Balance ยท Balance after decline

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

  • The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
Direction 6โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 18/100directional strength
Maturity 31/100lifecycle context
Confidence 42/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Mixedstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance +16.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +108.4%AUD 4.42 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-099.219.1114.512698896Balance618
2026-10-029.449.0618.762829058Balance1014
2026-09-259.249.0017.584735374Rotation Down-89
2026-09-189.428.9519.8514956395Rotation Down-1722
2026-09-118.378.897.172760151Rotation Down-3153
2026-09-048.418.845.35685435Deceleration-3349
2026-08-288.428.785.28778178Deceleration-1431
2026-08-218.918.7512.702051731Deceleration115
2026-08-149.158.7116.25253675Deceleration918
2026-08-079.248.6416.73495792Deceleration921
2026-07-318.758.5515.33649225Deceleration923
2026-07-249.118.4624.16382067Deceleration3226
2026-07-179.078.3624.84440338Upward Expansion4229
2026-07-109.398.2630.78417028Upward Expansion5944
2026-07-0310.068.1741.41781996Upward Expansion6355
2026-06-2610.838.0456.06460280Upward Expansion8069
2026-06-1910.007.8945.84688988Upward Expansion6557
2026-06-1210.267.7652.75944130Upward Expansion7462
2026-06-0510.087.6456.252826895Upward Expansion7461
2026-05-299.507.5248.393389870Upward Expansion6567
2026-05-229.607.4454.043416405Upward Expansion6981
2026-05-159.747.3359.822060945Upward Expansion7787
2026-05-089.457.2056.232184784Upward Expansion7585
2026-05-019.507.0960.531716396Upward Expansion8081
2026-04-249.206.9757.741677940Upward Expansion8067
2026-04-178.026.8737.882149786Upward Expansion5936
2026-04-108.196.8142.991390220Upward Expansion6538
2026-04-037.536.7139.741778945Upward Expansion5332
2026-03-277.376.6340.071234373Upward Expansion5739
2026-03-207.786.5651.791379211Upward Expansion6255
2026-03-137.776.4550.941515183Upward Expansion6355
2026-03-067.716.3548.582267346Upward Expansion6544
2026-02-277.786.2446.781818835Upward Expansion6943
2026-02-207.436.1344.371152662Upward Expansion6441
2026-02-136.836.0337.381610558Upward Expansion5850
2026-02-066.805.9442.192164171Upward Expansion6066
2026-01-307.455.8655.43852217Upward Expansion7176
2026-01-237.745.7564.731787087Upward Expansion8169
2026-01-167.055.6252.381114461Deceleration6939
2026-01-096.375.5043.20987640Deceleration3819
2026-01-026.185.4040.97532209Deceleration3620
2025-12-266.175.3042.38349653Deceleration3824
2025-12-196.035.2143.59949227Deceleration4229
2025-12-126.535.1256.531255380Deceleration5035
2025-12-056.285.0154.47704090Upward Expansion4738
2025-11-286.504.9063.151106664Upward Expansion6451
2025-11-216.104.7859.781342040Upward Expansion6256
2025-11-146.534.6669.661003138Upward Expansion6563
2025-11-076.544.5370.561812297Upward Expansion6965
2025-10-316.934.4081.971897065Upward Expansion8772
2025-10-246.374.2568.491046699Upward Expansion7868
2025-10-175.784.1456.401029843Upward Expansion6766
2025-10-106.134.0469.131319946Upward Expansion7485
2025-10-035.933.9266.04870600Upward Expansion7186
2025-09-266.253.8281.921295789Upward Expansion8892
2025-09-196.163.7083.402454437Upward Expansion9380
2025-09-125.223.5957.421024221Upward Expansion7669
2025-09-055.143.5157.161796899Upward Expansion7970
2025-08-295.213.4360.311676480Upward Expansion8974
2025-08-224.533.3541.601379420Upward Expansion6766
2025-08-154.783.2951.681943644Upward Expansion8675
2025-08-084.513.2247.291108005Upward Expansion7875
2025-08-014.493.1550.941417876Upward Expansion8391
2025-07-254.263.0945.121473509Upward Expansion7490
2025-07-184.223.0344.121370790Upward Expansion7791
2025-07-114.242.9849.641405759Upward Expansion8795
2025-07-044.182.9249.151955668Upward Expansion9294
2025-06-273.822.8639.491207830Upward Expansion8687
2025-06-203.562.8131.74715043Upward Expansion8085
2025-06-133.302.7822.97605779Upward Expansion6577
2025-06-063.412.7628.68349079Upward Expansion7682
2025-05-303.342.7328.591032701Upward Expansion7579
2025-05-233.282.7028.66867418Upward Expansion7272
2025-05-163.172.6625.921646031Balance6761
2025-05-092.972.6420.761968212Balance5437
2025-05-022.932.6320.081192610Balance4217
2025-04-252.682.6114.071287670Balance1114
2025-04-182.582.6012.61814923Balance710
2025-04-112.552.5914.441575795Upward Expansion178
2025-04-042.632.5818.411178301Upward Expansion2814
2025-03-282.842.5723.78765352Upward Expansion4322
2025-03-212.902.5528.871257078Upward Expansion5127
2025-03-142.522.5314.951637064Upward Expansion3021
2025-03-072.772.5224.79722732Upward Expansion5948
2025-02-282.892.5028.402397971Upward Expansion6861
2025-02-212.882.4827.17793884Upward Expansion7264
2025-02-142.842.4623.05466545Upward Expansion7261
2025-02-072.732.4320.251064938Upward Expansion6250
2025-01-312.662.4118.12529474Upward Expansion5748
2025-01-242.732.3924.201774824Upward Expansion6451
2025-01-172.612.3621.55666476Upward Expansion5340
2025-01-102.642.3424.431633226Upward Expansion5734
2025-01-032.522.3120.74158446Upward Expansion4525
2024-12-272.642.2927.49973355Upward Expansion5929
2024-12-202.482.2624.03980030Upward Expansion3618
2024-12-132.442.2420.05539404Upward Expansion5030
2024-12-062.462.2220.48890461Upward Expansion5539
2024-11-292.502.2023.451504945Upward Expansion5746
2024-11-222.632.1731.881873543Upward Expansion7148
2024-11-152.592.1533.24606805Upward Expansion6941
2024-11-082.512.1330.711453591Upward Expansion6642
2024-11-012.332.1025.59768815Upward Expansion5843
2024-10-252.302.0823.913128096Upward Expansion6354
2024-10-182.592.0639.591262729Upward Expansion7784
2024-10-112.572.0341.481453553Upward Expansion8178
2024-10-042.462.0038.30914465Upward Expansion7756
2024-09-272.381.9634.751217480Upward Expansion7148
2024-09-202.251.9328.552760803Upward Expansion4837
2024-09-132.231.9030.49585182Upward Expansion5844
2024-09-062.221.8732.791085745Upward Expansion6253
2024-08-302.301.8437.631134016Upward Expansion6962
2024-08-232.241.8136.87438703Upward Expansion6663
2024-08-162.311.7843.75824648Upward Expansion7881
2024-08-092.271.7546.62851156Upward Expansion7986
2024-08-022.241.7243.601200765Upward Expansion8492
2024-07-262.121.6938.15553735Upward Expansion7483
2024-07-192.131.6639.462317080Upward Expansion8185
2024-07-122.101.6339.272851610Upward Expansion8370
2024-07-051.901.6029.94325842Upward Expansion6145
2024-06-281.971.5836.78760179Upward Expansion7350
2024-06-211.831.5527.49250134Upward Expansion5744
2024-06-141.841.5330.52606566Upward Expansion5844
2024-06-071.841.5029.66751189Upward Expansion5245
2024-05-311.861.4835.81531308Upward Expansion6649
2024-05-241.791.4531.171010137Upward Expansion6151
2024-05-171.861.4336.56390006Upward Expansion7061
2024-05-101.761.4132.07612993Upward Expansion6765
2024-05-031.861.3943.621072482Upward Expansion7269
2024-04-261.851.3645.44151852Upward Expansion7478
2024-04-191.871.3449.62698286Upward Expansion8593
2024-04-121.871.3147.24498047Upward Expansion9396
2024-04-051.701.2936.37242423Upward Expansion8493
2024-03-291.661.2732.30505884Upward Expansion8694
2024-03-221.641.2534.711041768Upward Expansion9093
2024-03-151.541.2329.191217544Upward Expansion8580
2024-03-081.511.2225.00731860Upward Expansion8877
2024-03-011.391.2117.28263955Upward Expansion6960
2024-02-231.381.2019.131031746Upward Expansion6957
2024-02-161.361.1918.1270946Upward Expansion6856
2024-02-091.351.1818.32301493Upward Expansion6754
2024-02-021.371.1819.61146571Upward Expansion7559
2024-01-261.301.1716.1788974Upward Expansion6470
2024-01-191.321.1621.741222260Upward Expansion6785
2024-01-121.311.1520.48142941Upward Expansion6986
2024-01-051.351.1424.5829573Upward Expansion8489
2023-12-291.371.1325.83295063Upward Expansion9387
2023-12-221.201.1112.10200857Upward Expansion6465
2023-12-151.211.1113.75296312Balance6756
2023-12-081.181.1015.81267748Balance5831
2023-12-011.151.0915.45234402Balance3816
2023-11-241.131.0814.0873825Balance1513
2023-11-171.081.079.44219410Balance413
2023-11-101.081.0610.8823012Balance610
2023-11-031.121.0615.20103490Upward Expansion3621
2023-10-271.101.0516.48606124Upward Expansion4929
2023-10-201.131.0418.63334044Upward Expansion5235
Price vs TrendAbove+1.1%
Trend directionRising+6.6%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+108.4%
Fair Value directionMoving away-41.0%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+14.5%
Relative strength directionWeakening-16.3%
Price momentumPositive+12.5%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.24ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

6 / ยฑ100

+37.3 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

18 /100

-35.7 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance55
Rotation Up55
Upward Expansion34
Deceleration44
Rotation Down20
Downward Expansion23

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 8%Upward Expansion 81%Deceleration 8%Rotation Down 2%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Balance2026-10-022026-10-09New-2.4%
Rotation Down2026-09-112026-09-25New+10.5%
Deceleration2026-07-242026-09-04Developing-7.7%
Upward Expansion2026-01-232026-07-17Established+17.2%
Deceleration2025-12-122026-01-16Developing+7.9%
Upward Expansion2025-05-232025-12-05Extended+91.4%
Balance2025-04-182025-05-16Developing+23.1%
Upward Expansion2023-12-222025-04-11Extended+112.0%
Balance2023-11-102023-12-15Developing+11.8%
Upward Expansion2023-06-302023-11-03Established+3.5%
Rotation Up2023-06-092023-06-23New+6.8%
Balance2023-05-262023-06-02New+3.1%
Downward Expansion2023-04-142023-05-19Developing+8.6%
Balance2023-03-242023-04-07New-3.7%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing13
Stage 2 ยท Advancing93
Stage 3 ยท Distribution78
Stage 4 ยท Declining7

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2A ยท Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^AXJO

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
25/100
Current Relative Strength
14.51
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
+12.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+15.2%
Industrials regime cohort
6th percentile17 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.25ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.24ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity AUD 9.25rising
Slow Activity AUD 9.22rising
Trend Reference AUD 9.11+1.1% close margin
Current Fair Value AUD 4.42+108.4% close margin
Structural low AUD 7.67shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +6.9%
Annualized volatility +36.7%
From structural high -16.8%
From structural low +62.6%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^AXJO Regime survived Read
Near term8+6.8%-6.3% to +23.1%+62.5%+62.5%+4.0%+37.5%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate4+24.9%-8.6% to +63.8%+75.0%+75.0%+20.0%+25.0%Too little matched history
Extended3+63.2%+13.7% to +124.4%+100.0%+100.0%+52.1%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle2+127.9%+44.6% to +211.1%+100.0%+100.0%+116.7%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context