Weekly structural research ยท SHH ยท Utilities

600674 Stage Analysis

Sichuan Chuantou Energy Co.Ltd

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close CNY 17.04Tenure NewBenchmark 000001.SS
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Upward Expansion ยท Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction 85โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 86/100directional strength
Maturity 17/100lifecycle context
Confidence 82/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance +100.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +9.5%CNY 15.56 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0917.0415.2619.0180514176Upward Expansion8586
2026-10-0216.6215.2215.6893815120Upward Expansion8180
2026-09-2516.2715.1712.2490799651Upward Expansion7774
2026-09-1815.7615.118.31133100598Upward Expansion6262
2026-09-1115.9515.0510.44108599602Balance6856
2026-09-0415.7614.988.0717380760Balance6538
2026-08-2815.3914.925.0215463920Balance5325
2026-08-2115.2514.885.2315863347Balance5138
2026-08-1415.0314.843.0125974743Balance5135
2026-08-0714.9714.802.0331333613Balance5138
2026-07-3115.8114.7710.4638531527Balance6441
2026-07-2415.5914.719.2639050544Balance4521
2026-07-1715.3114.678.4970901218Rotation Down223
2026-07-1014.2214.64-5.2637837618Rotation Down-2042
2026-07-0314.1314.66-7.4228544442Balance-2039
2026-06-2613.5614.67-11.2923156147Balance-3328
2026-06-1914.3114.70-8.42181710859Upward Expansion1510
2026-06-1215.6014.710.6850264494Upward Expansion6039
2026-06-0515.1514.69-2.5543651512Upward Expansion4725
2026-05-2915.5014.68-1.86203772658Upward Expansion5830
2026-05-2214.8614.66-7.48178916026Upward Expansion4424
2026-05-1514.9914.66-7.78194029458Upward Expansion4728
2026-05-0815.2614.65-7.7675646918Upward Expansion4323
2026-05-0115.3114.61-6.57118411707Upward Expansion4122
2026-04-2414.9314.58-8.72191783767Upward Expansion3020
2026-04-1714.5214.56-11.16104979701Upward Expansion3117
2026-04-1014.6514.56-9.5491344622Upward Expansion5638
2026-04-0315.0714.57-4.94160009714Upward Expansion6373
2026-03-2715.4114.56-3.99168571062Rotation Up6479
2026-03-2015.6014.57-4.12151617144Rotation Up4967
2026-03-1315.7214.56-6.83278809669Rotation Up4548
2026-03-0615.3314.55-9.99281311459Rotation Up819
2026-02-2714.4414.56-16.26116294370Downward Expansion-3424
2026-02-1313.8514.60-18.4766775323Downward Expansion-6545
2026-02-0614.0314.67-17.51110268651Downward Expansion-5943
2026-01-3013.9214.73-19.63150150202Downward Expansion-6551
2026-01-2314.0314.79-19.86127157762Downward Expansion-6365
2026-01-1613.9614.84-20.05109340547Downward Expansion-7072
2026-01-0914.0514.90-20.3782381612Downward Expansion-6768
2026-01-0213.9014.96-18.7663361784Downward Expansion-7870
2025-12-2614.2415.03-17.2262823000Downward Expansion-6752
2025-12-1914.3415.11-15.5873932397Downward Expansion-6447
2025-12-1214.4515.19-15.3883099870Downward Expansion-6044
2025-12-0514.6115.26-15.1556942241Downward Expansion-5338
2025-11-2814.5815.33-15.4391583597Downward Expansion-5334
2025-11-2114.3515.40-16.0077142708Downward Expansion-6536
2025-11-1414.6515.47-18.02103943012Downward Expansion-4021
2025-11-0715.0915.52-16.14109154964Downward Expansion-3524
2025-10-3114.7215.57-17.69127132010Downward Expansion-4128
2025-10-2414.8415.62-17.41104622040Downward Expansion-4737
2025-10-1714.8415.65-15.47148889006Downward Expansion-6251
2025-10-1014.7215.66-17.8764793094Downward Expansion-6673
2025-10-0314.2815.66-20.6031585690Downward Expansion-7589
2025-09-2614.3415.68-19.74104152153Downward Expansion-7689
2025-09-1914.3415.68-20.19168940059Downward Expansion-8391
2025-09-1214.5315.71-20.96159401645Rotation Down-8487
2025-09-0514.8815.73-18.63161984170Rotation Down-5070
2025-08-2914.8915.74-20.27172035118Rotation Down-5364
2025-08-2215.5115.76-16.9397700235Rotation Down-3045
2025-08-1515.3215.75-15.77101029338Deceleration-3237
2025-08-0815.5315.75-13.8666243434Deceleration-2221
2025-08-0115.5415.75-12.66163974429Rotation Down-2319
2025-07-2515.8115.77-12.66171031684Rotation Down511
2025-07-1815.8515.80-11.6789583556Rotation Down-1728
2025-07-1115.7215.83-12.4398290748Deceleration-1928
2025-07-0415.8515.85-11.3892106605Deceleration-1526
2025-06-2715.6115.88-12.0694884798Upward Expansion-1125
2025-06-2015.6215.89-10.8180779382Upward Expansion1120
2025-06-1315.9015.91-10.0773986127Upward Expansion3320
2025-06-0616.0115.92-10.0192923524Upward Expansion4530
2025-05-3016.4315.95-6.9968811518Rotation Up6247
2025-05-2316.8015.96-5.1577520404Rotation Up4248
2025-05-1616.6315.95-6.8174266777Rotation Up3951
2025-05-0916.8015.96-5.1674134921Rotation Up3960
2025-05-0216.5715.99-4.6852692759Rotation Up3561
2025-04-2516.4116.05-6.0780634134Rotation Up3251
2025-04-1816.2716.09-6.45110571790Rotation Up2840
2025-04-1116.4116.10-4.61221293945Downward Expansion1531
2025-04-0416.2916.12-8.38101252052Downward Expansion-418
2025-03-2815.7316.14-11.82126556728Downward Expansion-4130
2025-03-2115.1316.18-15.71110338497Downward Expansion-6258
2025-03-1414.8816.26-18.6087536799Downward Expansion-6568
2025-03-0714.6416.36-19.0278148444Downward Expansion-7376
2025-02-2814.6016.47-18.25139560902Downward Expansion-7657
2025-02-2115.0816.60-17.20141293174Downward Expansion-6651
2025-02-1415.1716.72-16.1193307228Downward Expansion-6765
2025-02-0715.2416.85-14.7657624967Downward Expansion-6773
2025-01-3115.5016.97-12.1827154682Downward Expansion-6375
2025-01-2415.1117.09-14.5187869245Downward Expansion-7578
2025-01-1715.3017.18-13.20100526396Downward Expansion-7468
2025-01-1015.5717.24-9.68105639161Downward Expansion-6843
2025-01-0316.1417.32-7.65125767084Downward Expansion-4523
2024-12-2716.8217.37-9.03139972429Downward Expansion-3618
2024-12-2016.6617.39-9.02175170329Downward Expansion-4126
2024-12-1316.3817.39-11.08153538527Downward Expansion-5435
2024-12-0616.5917.38-10.25367146543Downward Expansion-5643
2024-11-2916.0717.35-10.89106027392Downward Expansion-6560
2024-11-2216.2517.35-8.15128776201Rotation Down-6360
2024-11-1516.2617.34-9.67156296696Rotation Down-3851
2024-11-0816.7617.34-10.03154748735Balance-2740
2024-11-0116.6717.32-5.55162759176Balance-2929
2024-10-2516.4617.29-7.34186492450Balance-2311
2024-10-1817.1417.27-2.31195261131Deceleration1915
2024-10-1117.7017.222.51275556023Deceleration2515
2024-10-0418.3817.153.0367930519Deceleration3516
2024-09-2717.4017.075.74141440587Deceleration-1723
2024-09-2016.7716.9915.4360018343Deceleration-2432
2024-09-1316.7716.9417.5098061331Deceleration-725
2024-09-0617.1716.8718.3574755321Deceleration421
2024-08-3016.7716.8013.1372278124Deceleration520
2024-08-2317.4916.7218.0064457706Deceleration3525
2024-08-1617.8316.6020.0172887710Upward Expansion4432
2024-08-0917.9416.4822.3857545600Upward Expansion6050
2024-08-0218.6116.3625.9870900411Upward Expansion6562
2024-07-2618.7516.2328.5793638376Upward Expansion6676
2024-07-1919.1116.0728.0968193757Upward Expansion8186
2024-07-1218.8515.8927.8677090326Upward Expansion8274
2024-07-0518.8215.7329.5863691904Upward Expansion8883
2024-06-2817.9115.5623.6083139833Upward Expansion7686
2024-06-2117.2215.4118.4786039179Upward Expansion6785
2024-06-1417.7715.2921.5396364295Upward Expansion8091
2024-06-0717.8515.1522.10104148355Upward Expansion8789
2024-05-3117.2115.0317.0990779069Upward Expansion7864
2024-05-2416.7814.9214.7083036076Upward Expansion7448
2024-05-1716.0014.827.6885830539Upward Expansion5535
2024-05-1015.8714.777.1778867545Upward Expansion5541
2024-05-0316.0014.7110.2640831122Upward Expansion5947
2024-04-2615.9114.6510.7461221442Upward Expansion6047
2024-04-1916.3014.6014.9488018538Upward Expansion6953
2024-04-1216.2214.5316.9095802360Upward Expansion7253
2024-04-0515.5514.4611.0248260989Upward Expansion6149
2024-03-2915.9114.4215.2452206315Upward Expansion6967
2024-03-2215.7614.3714.6265310902Upward Expansion6969
2024-03-1515.4614.3112.8368127081Upward Expansion6472
2024-03-0816.0514.2718.1884202981Upward Expansion8682
2024-03-0115.0914.2012.5884082037Upward Expansion6569
2024-02-2315.3214.1615.9085632380Upward Expansion7672
2024-02-0914.7114.1217.43127244062Upward Expansion6150
2024-02-0214.8214.0725.02109914587Balance6844
2024-01-2614.5414.0516.03153210775Balance5232
2024-01-1913.9014.0214.70118119333Balance1518
2024-01-1214.1914.0115.73121847471Balance4337
2024-01-0514.4314.0116.43107014133Balance3230
2023-12-2914.4513.9815.54121109787Balance2322
2023-12-2214.0213.9715.1758372969Balance-3016
2023-12-1513.9413.9614.2352487963Rotation Down-5128
2023-12-0813.9313.9613.7771123756Rotation Down-2941
2023-12-0113.6013.969.3371247856Rotation Down-3352
2023-11-2413.4113.958.0858468033Balance-3549
2023-11-1713.5813.939.4148402268Balance-2630
2023-11-1013.8213.9112.4437977165Balance211
2023-11-0314.0513.8615.2642415968Balance1510
2023-10-2714.0013.8115.8744495545Upward Expansion2513
2023-10-2013.8513.7416.5066471247Upward Expansion2412
2023-10-1314.3513.7017.1035068902Upward Expansion5433
2023-09-2914.1413.6215.0323760496Upward Expansion4929
Price vs TrendAbove+11.7%
Trend directionRising+3.3%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+9.5%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+17.3%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+19.0%
Relative strength directionImproving+24.3%
Price momentumPositive+16.3%
Volume balanceDemand-led3.63ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

85 / ยฑ100

+17.1 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

86 /100

+29.7 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance1
Rotation Up84
Upward Expansion97
Deceleration39
Rotation Down9
Downward Expansion19

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 15%Rotation Up 7%Upward Expansion 33%Deceleration 8%Rotation Down 9%Downward Expansion 28%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Upward Expansion2026-09-182026-10-09New+8.1%
Balance2026-07-242026-09-11Developing+2.3%
Rotation Down2026-07-102026-07-17New+7.6%
Balance2026-06-262026-07-03New+4.2%
Upward Expansion2026-04-032026-06-19Developing-5.0%
Rotation Up2026-03-062026-03-27New+0.5%
Downward Expansion2025-09-192026-02-27Established+0.7%
Rotation Down2025-08-222025-09-12New-6.3%
Deceleration2025-08-082025-08-15New-1.4%
Rotation Down2025-07-182025-08-01New-2.0%
Deceleration2025-07-042025-07-11New-0.8%
Upward Expansion2025-06-062025-06-27New-2.5%
Rotation Up2025-04-182025-05-30Developing+1.0%
Downward Expansion2024-11-292025-04-11Established+2.1%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing38
Stage 2 ยท Advancing100
Stage 3 ยท Distribution44
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2B ยท Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
99/100
Current Relative Strength
19.01
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+16.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+20.6%
Utilities regime cohort
100th percentile8 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.21ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume3.63ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution5 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 16.53rising
Slow Activity CNY 15.46rising
Trend Reference CNY 15.26+11.7% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 15.56+9.5% close margin
Structural low CNY 13.42shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +3.6%
Annualized volatility +23.8%
From structural high -0.9%
From structural low +27.0%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 000001.SS Regime survived Read
Near term25+0.3%-12.5% to +12.5%+52.0%+52.0%+0.4%+72.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate11+1.0%-11.8% to +13.3%+54.5%+54.5%-1.3%+45.5%Usable descriptive sample
Extended7+9.1%-8.8% to +18.2%+57.1%+57.1%+9.5%+42.9%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4+13.4%-14.1% to +25.8%+75.0%+75.0%+16.9%+75.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context