The latest close is above the activity area established before the last four weeks. 4 of those four closes were above that area. Recent volume balance is mixed; the estimated activity centre is higher.
26 weeks2026-04-17 to 2026-10-09Weekly volume estimate
The relationship beneath price ยท 2026-10-09
Mixed evidence
These diagnostics use fixed windows through the latest completed week. Chart period controls below change the activity study separately.
Four-week price move6.8%19.8% over thirteen weeks
Latest relative volume1.10ร1.26ร recent four-week median
Closing pressure7.2%Volume-weighted position within weekly ranges
Up-week volume share78.4%21.6% in declining weeks ยท last 13 weeks
13-week range breakout
Price and pressure through time
Compare four-week returns with four-week closing pressure. Opposite signs reveal disagreement; agreement alone is not predictive.
View weekly evidence values
Week
4-week return
Pressure
Relative volume
2025-10-10
1.3%
33.1%
0.69ร
2025-10-17
3.5%
48.3%
1.61ร
2025-10-24
3.5%
30.3%
1.13ร
2025-10-31
3.1%
-0.7%
1.35ร
2025-11-07
2.5%
-2.2%
1.13ร
2025-11-14
-1.3%
-36.8%
1.06ร
2025-11-21
-3.3%
-57.2%
0.77ร
2025-11-28
-1.0%
-26.2%
0.92ร
2025-12-05
-3.2%
-50.6%
0.57ร
2025-12-12
-1.4%
-38.5%
0.83ร
2025-12-19
-0.1%
-22.1%
0.74ร
2025-12-26
-2.3%
-33.8%
0.63ร
2026-01-02
-4.9%
-43.7%
0.64ร
2026-01-09
-2.8%
-15.2%
0.83ร
2026-01-16
-2.7%
-7.8%
1.10ร
2026-01-23
-1.5%
-24.6%
1.24ร
2026-01-30
0.1%
3.8%
1.47ร
2026-02-06
-0.1%
11.3%
1.08ร
2026-02-13
-0.8%
-0.7%
0.64ร
2026-08-28
-2.7%
-25.8%
0.16ร
2026-09-04
5.3%
-54.6%
0.21ร
2026-09-11
6.1%
8.8%
1.48ร
2026-09-18
3.3%
-27.1%
1.82ร
2026-09-25
5.7%
4.0%
1.24ร
2026-10-02
5.5%
9.1%
1.28ร
2026-10-09
6.8%
7.2%
1.10ร
Does support survive a longer view?
Advancing-week volume share against price return and closing pressure.
A high advancing-volume share alongside weak closing pressure can mean price rose between closes but finished low within its weekly ranges. The two measures answer different questions.
Effort and result
74% price efficiency
Four-week net price movement as a share of the total close-to-close path. Lower readings indicate more back-and-forth movement, regardless of volume.
Latest close: 71% of the way from the weekly low to high.
Volume-weighted return tilt
0.22 percentage points
The volume-weighted average weekly return minus the ordinary average over thirteen weeks. Positive means more volume coincided with stronger returns; negative means volume leaned toward weaker returns.
An association within this listing, not measured capital flow.
Constructive confirmation
64.4 / 100
Price direction30.0 / 30
Closing pressure2.2 / 30
Up-week volume19.6 / 25
Volume confirmation12.6 / 15
Fixed weights favour supported advances. A low score can still contain useful bearish or reversal research.
Test the volume contribution
Did heavier trading change what followed?
Compare high-volume and ordinary-volume weeks with the same price direction.
High volume is at least 1.5ร its preceding 26-week median; ordinary volume is 0.75โ1.25ร. Returns start at that weekโs close. Each group uses non-overlapping completed outcomes.
Starting observation
After
High-volume examples
Median return
Ordinary examples
Median return
Difference
Advancing weeks
4 weeks
10
-4.0%
14
-0.1%
-3.8 points
Advancing weeks
13 weeks
5
โ
6
โ
Limited sample
Declining weeks
4 weeks
9
-3.7%
16
-1.3%
-2.4 points
Declining weeks
13 weeks
4
โ
7
โ
Limited sample
At least eight completed examples in both groups are required. Groups may overlap each other, and differ in volatility, trend and market conditions; their difference is not a causal volume effect or a statistical claim of edge. Up to six years of available history; price returns exclude dividends, costs and execution. Fixed definitions have not been validated out of sample.
Inspect the dated observations
Advancing weeks ยท 4 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2021-03-12
2021-04-09
-7.2%
High volume
2021-09-10
2021-10-08
7.2%
High volume
2021-10-22
2021-11-19
-8.0%
High volume
2021-12-17
2022-01-14
-4.4%
High volume
2022-08-19
2022-09-16
-4.7%
High volume
2024-09-27
2024-10-25
-5.4%
High volume
2024-11-01
2024-11-29
-3.6%
High volume
2024-12-06
2025-01-03
-2.7%
High volume
2025-04-11
2025-05-09
2.4%
High volume
2025-10-17
2025-11-14
-1.3%
Ordinary volume
2021-04-16
2021-05-14
-6.5%
Ordinary volume
2021-05-14
2021-06-11
5.5%
Ordinary volume
2021-06-11
2021-07-09
3.5%
Ordinary volume
2021-07-16
2021-08-13
-6.6%
Ordinary volume
2021-09-03
2021-10-01
21.4%
Ordinary volume
2022-08-12
2022-09-09
2.0%
Ordinary volume
2023-08-04
2023-09-01
-0.1%
Ordinary volume
2024-09-06
2024-10-04
7.0%
Ordinary volume
2024-10-04
2024-11-01
-9.3%
Ordinary volume
2025-03-21
2025-04-18
7.5%
Ordinary volume
2025-07-04
2025-08-01
-1.9%
Ordinary volume
2025-08-22
2025-09-19
-7.5%
Ordinary volume
2025-11-07
2025-12-05
-3.2%
Ordinary volume
2026-01-09
2026-02-06
-0.1%
Advancing weeks ยท 13 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2021-03-12
2021-06-11
-6.7%
High volume
2021-09-10
2021-12-10
-4.7%
High volume
2024-09-27
2024-12-27
-3.3%
High volume
2025-04-11
2025-07-11
-4.2%
High volume
2025-10-17
2026-01-16
-5.9%
Ordinary volume
2021-04-16
2021-07-16
3.6%
Ordinary volume
2021-07-16
2021-10-15
1.0%
Ordinary volume
2024-09-06
2024-12-06
-3.4%
Ordinary volume
2025-03-21
2025-06-20
3.3%
Ordinary volume
2025-07-04
2025-10-03
-9.9%
Ordinary volume
2025-11-07
2026-02-06
-7.0%
Declining weeks ยท 4 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2021-03-19
2021-04-16
2.4%
High volume
2021-10-15
2021-11-12
-6.0%
High volume
2021-11-12
2021-12-10
2.9%
High volume
2022-09-02
2022-09-30
-9.7%
High volume
2024-10-11
2024-11-08
-5.3%
High volume
2024-11-15
2024-12-13
0.8%
High volume
2024-12-13
2025-01-10
-4.9%
High volume
2025-07-25
2025-08-22
-1.9%
High volume
2025-08-29
2025-09-26
-3.7%
Ordinary volume
2021-04-09
2021-05-07
-4.9%
Ordinary volume
2021-05-28
2021-06-25
3.6%
Ordinary volume
2021-07-23
2021-08-20
-1.7%
Ordinary volume
2021-11-19
2021-12-17
5.1%
Ordinary volume
2023-08-25
2023-09-22
-0.2%
Ordinary volume
2024-08-23
2024-09-20
-4.1%
Ordinary volume
2024-11-29
2024-12-27
4.7%
Ordinary volume
2025-01-03
2025-01-31
-4.0%
Ordinary volume
2025-02-14
2025-03-14
-1.9%
Ordinary volume
2025-04-18
2025-05-16
2.2%
Ordinary volume
2025-06-06
2025-07-04
-1.0%
Ordinary volume
2025-07-11
2025-08-08
-1.2%
Ordinary volume
2025-08-15
2025-09-12
-5.2%
Ordinary volume
2025-11-14
2025-12-12
-1.4%
Ordinary volume
2025-12-12
2026-01-09
-2.8%
Ordinary volume
2026-01-16
2026-02-13
-0.8%
Declining weeks ยท 13 weeks
Volume group
Observation
Outcome date
Return
High volume
2021-03-19
2021-06-18
-1.5%
High volume
2021-10-15
2022-01-14
-6.2%
High volume
2024-10-11
2025-01-10
-12.0%
High volume
2025-07-25
2025-10-24
-6.1%
Ordinary volume
2021-04-09
2021-07-09
4.0%
Ordinary volume
2021-07-23
2021-10-22
11.8%
Ordinary volume
2024-08-23
2024-11-22
-7.1%
Ordinary volume
2024-11-29
2025-02-28
-9.2%
Ordinary volume
2025-02-28
2025-05-30
12.6%
Ordinary volume
2025-06-06
2025-09-05
-7.1%
Ordinary volume
2025-11-14
2026-02-13
-5.5%
Price, activity and volume balance
Where volume is concentrated
2026-10-09Close 17.04
Weekly priceEstimated volume at priceMost active priceEarlier activity areaEstimated volume balance
Move over the chart, tap a week, or use the arrow keys to inspect it. The profile estimates where volume sits within weekly price ranges. The lower chart accumulates volume weighted by where each week closed in its range; its starting point changes with the selected period. This is not trade-based CVD.
Most active price15.36
Earlier activity area14.78 โ 15.69
Recent volume balance7.2%
Recent weekly volume1.97ร
View chart values
Completed weekly observations
Week ending
Close
Volume
2026-04-17
14.52
104979701
2026-04-24
14.93
191783767
2026-05-01
15.31
118411707
2026-05-08
15.26
75646918
2026-05-15
14.99
194029458
2026-05-22
14.86
178916026
2026-05-29
15.50
203772658
2026-06-05
15.15
43651512
2026-06-12
15.60
50264494
2026-06-19
14.31
181710859
2026-06-26
13.56
23156147
2026-07-03
14.13
28544442
2026-07-10
14.22
37837618
2026-07-17
15.31
70901218
2026-07-24
15.59
39050544
2026-07-31
15.81
38531527
2026-08-07
14.97
31333613
2026-08-14
15.03
25974743
2026-08-21
15.25
15863347
2026-08-28
15.39
15463920
2026-09-04
15.76
17380760
2026-09-11
15.95
108599602
2026-09-18
15.76
133100598
2026-09-25
16.27
90799651
2026-10-02
16.62
93815120
2026-10-09
17.04
80514176
Earlier and recent activity
What has changed?
The recent comparison uses the last four completed weeks.
Activity centre
Higher
The recent centre moved +7.62% against the earlier part of this period.
Price and volume
No clear disagreement
Price changed +6.83% over four weeks. Volume balance is +7.2% on a scale from โ100% to +100%.
Volume and price movement
More volume, clear price movement
Recent median weekly volume is 1.97ร the earlier median. This describes price response, not the identity of buyers or sellers.
Recent closes
4 of 4 closes above
Price was above the earlier area before these four weeks. The earlier boundaries stay fixed for this comparison.
Activity over time
Darker cells show more estimated volume at that price. Use the chart to see where activity has moved. For longer periods, a column combines several weeks.
Volume and price movement
Each dot is a week. Compare weekly volume with the move from open to close.
What to check next
Holding outside the area
Further closes above the earlier area would show that price is staying outside it. Compare them with the direction of recent volume balance.
Returning inside
A close back inside the earlier area would weaken the move outside it. Check whether the return lasts more than one week.
Price and volume disagreeing
There is no clear disagreement at present. Check whether volume balance continues to support any further price move.
Same stock ยท Earlier observations
Previous examples
Descriptive history, not a forecast.
Comparisons use the same period length, position relative to the earlier activity area and direction of recent volume balance. Outcomes do not overlap for each following period. At least five examples are needed to show a matched median. The median is the middle result; the all-period median includes earlier periods regardless of their volume reading.
Subsequent price changes
After
Examples
Median change
Sample
4 weeks
4
โ
Too few examples
13 weeks
1
โ
Too few examples
Returns are close-to-close price changes. Interim lows show the lowest price reached during the period. Dividends, fees and trade execution are not included. The available history contains up to six years of weekly observations.
Compare with other studies
These studies describe different parts of the same market. Check each observation date.
The selected period sets the profile and volume balance starting point. โStart from a dateโ uses the first available week on or after that date. At least 13 consecutive weeks are required.
Compare earlier activity
The earlier activity area contains most of the estimated volume before the last four weeks. The activity centre is the average estimated price, weighted by volume. Compare subsequent closes with its boundaries, then read the volume balance alongside the price move.
Check the data
Volume is reported for the whole week. The distribution within the range and the direction of pressure are estimates. They cannot identify individual trades, investor holdings or institutional buying.
Reports use saved weekly data and refresh when those records change. Missing or invalid weeks restrict the available periods.
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