Weekly structural research · GER · Communication Services

UEN Stage Analysis

Ubisoft Entertainment SA

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close EUR 5.36Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^GDAXI

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction 19−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 11/100directional strength

Maturity 39/100lifecycle context

Confidence 71/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance +0.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -57.9%EUR 12.73 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	5.36	4.97	-7.25	10851	Deceleration	19	11
2026-09-18	5.26	4.93	-10.08	39375	Deceleration	14	11
2026-09-11	5.19	4.89	-13.39	11714	Deceleration	14	12
2026-09-04	4.92	4.88	-20.55	20547	Deceleration	6	9
2026-08-28	5.30	4.85	-17.43	21001	Deceleration	32	16
2026-08-21	5.26	4.82	-17.89	4253	Deceleration	36	24
2026-08-14	5.34	4.78	-18.73	4155	Deceleration	35	19
2026-08-07	5.36	4.83	-19.18	8808	Upward Expansion	47	25
2026-07-31	5.80	4.86	-11.35	3781	Upward Expansion	63	39
2026-07-24	4.86	4.87	-24.98	27492	Upward Expansion	48	36
2026-07-17	5.45	4.92	-16.15	25498	Rotation Up	57	58
2026-07-10	5.87	4.95	-11.78	7623	Rotation Up	43	49
2026-07-03	5.61	4.97	-18.94	13473	Rotation Up	38	26
2026-06-26	5.10	4.99	-23.78	12504	Rotation Up	14	13
2026-06-19	5.38	5.06	-21.75	22158	Rotation Up	35	27
2026-06-12	4.90	5.13	-28.62	15875	Rotation Up	19	23
2026-06-05	5.01	5.20	-28.26	9851	Rotation Up	23	37
2026-05-29	5.61	5.24	-21.83	297521	Rotation Up	38	47
2026-05-22	5.30	5.31	-26.61	1090512	Balance	10	25
2026-05-15	5.15	5.40	-26.77	243855	Balance	7	26
2026-05-08	4.90	5.50	-32.30	124551	Downward Expansion	-4	24
2026-05-01	4.91	5.65	-33.17	144669	Downward Expansion	-24	28
2026-04-24	4.81	5.82	-35.18	174537	Downward Expansion	-37	26
2026-04-17	5.02	5.98	-35.08	279826	Downward Expansion	-44	33
2026-04-10	4.03	6.12	-46.63	274594	Downward Expansion	-62	52
2026-04-03	3.87	6.28	-48.15	113795	Downward Expansion	-64	57
2026-03-27	3.82	6.45	-47.82	204422	Downward Expansion	-69	61
2026-03-20	3.84	6.63	-48.91	275767	Downward Expansion	-70	64
2026-03-13	3.99	6.81	-50.36	200200	Downward Expansion	-69	65
2026-03-06	3.94	6.99	-52.41	208037	Downward Expansion	-73	68
2026-02-27	4.16	7.16	-54.19	178983	Downward Expansion	-70	82
2026-02-20	4.11	7.31	-55.61	228124	Downward Expansion	-71	86
2026-02-13	4.72	7.49	-49.27	312279	Downward Expansion	-66	87
2026-02-06	3.99	7.65	-57.40	212538	Downward Expansion	-82	89
2026-01-30	4.40	7.84	-53.43	831834	Downward Expansion	-81	71
2026-01-23	4.05	7.99	-58.46	595829	Downward Expansion	-88	62
2026-01-16	7.00	8.17	-30.69	107715	Downward Expansion	-60	46
2026-01-09	6.09	8.24	-40.41	49749	Downward Expansion	-68	63
2026-01-02	6.35	8.35	-37.07	28207	Downward Expansion	-63	58
2025-12-26	6.14	8.47	-39.74	13560	Downward Expansion	-70	70
2025-12-19	6.37	8.61	-38.44	109699	Downward Expansion	-68	57
2025-12-12	6.39	8.71	-38.92	78426	Downward Expansion	-71	56
2025-12-05	6.33	8.82	-40.10	126436	Downward Expansion	-76	60
2025-11-28	7.18	8.98	-32.69	213938	Downward Expansion	-64	72
2025-11-21	7.46	9.10	-28.80	72803	Downward Expansion	-67	82
2025-11-14	7.01	9.20	-36.22	238146	Downward Expansion	-72	86
2025-11-07	6.16	9.27	-44.16	263757	Downward Expansion	-91	92
2025-10-31	7.80	9.36	-31.72	94880	Downward Expansion	-74	76
2025-10-24	8.03	9.43	-31.66	74243	Balance	-69	53
2025-10-17	8.13	9.58	-30.60	89710	Balance	-63	25
2025-10-10	9.26	9.71	-23.33	27318	Balance	-16	15
2025-10-03	10.24	9.84	-16.65	87737	Balance	5	9
2025-09-26	9.60	9.97	-20.66	184094	Downward Expansion	-30	20
2025-09-19	9.06	10.06	-25.21	71565	Downward Expansion	-50	32
2025-09-12	8.87	10.14	-27.82	2041	Downward Expansion	-60	36
2025-09-05	8.92	10.22	-27.79	6993	Downward Expansion	-59	32
2025-08-29	9.39	10.28	-26.07	47109	Downward Expansion	-49	30
2025-08-22	9.23	10.34	-30.10	10934	Downward Expansion	-53	41
2025-08-15	9.41	10.43	-30.02	2151	Downward Expansion	-54	38
2025-08-08	8.85	10.50	-34.89	10293	Downward Expansion	-61	40
2025-08-01	8.81	10.60	-34.47	9944	Downward Expansion	-65	39
2025-07-25	9.57	10.73	-32.53	19804	Downward Expansion	-44	32
2025-07-18	9.52	10.84	-34.43	77029	Downward Expansion	-57	43
2025-07-11	9.49	10.93	-35.90	5324	Downward Expansion	-61	58
2025-07-04	9.05	11.04	-39.22	807	Downward Expansion	-67	68
2025-06-27	9.42	11.19	-38.68	5459	Downward Expansion	-59	54
2025-06-20	9.16	11.28	-39.96	1414	Downward Expansion	-64	49
2025-06-13	9.19	11.40	-41.50	3873	Downward Expansion	-65	49
2025-06-06	9.95	11.54	-40.08	1974	Downward Expansion	-54	35
2025-05-30	10.34	11.67	-38.45	7142	Downward Expansion	-50	30
2025-05-23	9.45	11.80	-44.02	12567	Downward Expansion	-62	34
2025-05-16	9.75	11.94	-43.80	32363	Downward Expansion	-51	28
2025-05-09	11.04	12.05	-36.85	6912	Downward Expansion	-53	35
2025-05-02	10.98	12.12	-37.21	9344	Downward Expansion	-59	67
2025-04-25	10.32	12.22	-39.92	15744	Downward Expansion	-63	75
2025-04-18	9.27	12.23	-44.41	16754	Downward Expansion	-72	78
2025-04-11	8.89	12.35	-45.51	39676	Balance	-78	69
2025-04-04	9.63	12.45	-42.77	44000	Balance	-67	33
2025-03-28	12.70	12.62	-31.62	28220	Balance	12	21
2025-03-21	12.13	12.78	-36.59	7550	Balance	-8	22
2025-03-14	13.14	12.94	-32.38	16498	Rotation Up	-9	23
2025-03-07	14.04	13.07	-28.65	19047	Rotation Up	-0	12
2025-02-28	12.13	13.16	-37.75	3137	Downward Expansion	-55	38
2025-02-21	11.60	13.34	-40.63	12524	Downward Expansion	-61	49
2025-02-14	11.26	13.59	-43.92	10647	Downward Expansion	-63	55
2025-02-07	10.77	13.85	-45.63	4082	Downward Expansion	-76	71
2025-01-31	11.18	14.24	-44.41	11891	Downward Expansion	-72	65
2025-01-24	11.83	14.53	-41.08	11802	Downward Expansion	-63	57
2025-01-17	11.46	14.82	-42.43	9514	Downward Expansion	-74	63
2025-01-10	11.99	15.14	-38.50	4125	Downward Expansion	-68	58
2025-01-03	12.69	15.45	-34.84	4441	Downward Expansion	-57	50
2024-12-27	12.88	15.81	-35.03	1259	Downward Expansion	-56	40
2024-12-20	12.06	16.12	-39.72	11887	Downward Expansion	-66	45
2024-12-13	12.82	16.45	-38.45	5653	Downward Expansion	-56	41
2024-12-06	13.50	16.73	-36.09	46112	Downward Expansion	-53	39
2024-11-29	12.29	17.03	-40.46	10824	Downward Expansion	-63	44
2024-11-22	12.72	17.35	-38.49	4938	Downward Expansion	-50	35
2024-11-15	13.46	17.66	-35.92	13451	Downward Expansion	-41	31
2024-11-08	13.72	17.92	-36.01	16072	Downward Expansion	-42	34
2024-11-01	14.18	18.16	-35.32	7615	Downward Expansion	-45	40
2024-10-25	13.72	18.35	-39.23	9655	Downward Expansion	-49	45
2024-10-18	13.26	18.52	-43.01	7622	Downward Expansion	-63	60
2024-10-11	12.94	18.72	-44.59	24465	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2024-10-04	14.01	18.91	-40.43	76772	Downward Expansion	-66	80
2024-09-27	10.66	19.10	-56.29	73236	Downward Expansion	-87	94
2024-09-20	12.88	19.46	-46.24	16829	Downward Expansion	-81	90
2024-09-13	11.80	19.77	-51.55	13549	Downward Expansion	-94	94
2024-09-06	14.66	20.18	-39.59	2909	Downward Expansion	-87	86
2024-08-30	17.69	20.45	-30.41	5122	Downward Expansion	-66	80
2024-08-23	16.94	20.53	-33.22	2678	Downward Expansion	-72	85
2024-08-16	16.92	20.67	-33.07	3489	Downward Expansion	-73	84
2024-08-09	16.90	20.77	-31.70	18349	Downward Expansion	-79	80
2024-08-02	17.53	20.94	-29.65	4606	Downward Expansion	-77	68
2024-07-26	18.84	21.10	-28.26	9866	Balance	-69	56
2024-07-19	19.04	21.24	-27.33	4302	Balance	-61	39
2024-07-12	22.48	21.38	-17.65	9754	Balance	8	14
2024-07-05	20.05	21.43	-25.87	5022	Balance	-52	37
2024-06-28	20.47	21.58	-23.79	1061	Balance	-15	13
2024-06-21	21.05	21.76	-21.81	2859	Rotation Up	2	8
2024-06-14	21.30	22.04	-20.61	443	Rotation Up	13	18
2024-06-07	23.40	22.32	-15.88	3134	Balance	38	37
2024-05-31	22.43	22.52	-19.48	4708	Balance	7	17
2024-05-24	21.95	22.71	-22.54	12816	Balance	-1	15
2024-05-17	21.24	22.92	-25.47	33774	Balance	-6	19
2024-05-10	22.36	23.10	-22.19	989	Downward Expansion	4	23
2024-05-03	22.01	23.34	-20.58	2784	Downward Expansion	-19	24
2024-04-26	21.88	23.56	-22.17	2451	Downward Expansion	-33	24
2024-04-19	21.18	23.86	-23.31	2043	Downward Expansion	-44	33
2024-04-12	21.03	24.13	-25.05	10151	Downward Expansion	-60	48
2024-04-05	19.82	24.40	-30.58	2409	Downward Expansion	-65	74
2024-03-29	19.00	24.67	-34.92	7564	Downward Expansion	-69	82
2024-03-22	19.06	25.00	-34.14	15925	Downward Expansion	-72	83
2024-03-15	18.86	25.34	-34.23	16311	Downward Expansion	-79	74
2024-03-08	19.42	25.61	-32.23	10506	Downward Expansion	-78	49
2024-03-01	21.50	25.88	-24.98	1465	Downward Expansion	-49	30
2024-02-23	22.15	26.12	-21.47	3191	Downward Expansion	-44	32
2024-02-16	24.25	26.39	-12.57	6626	Downward Expansion	-49	40
2024-02-09	22.71	26.54	-17.11	5127	Downward Expansion	-66	59
2024-02-02	20.22	26.65	-26.16	2075	Downward Expansion	-76	88
2024-01-26	21.15	26.78	-23.15	5508	Downward Expansion	-70	86
2024-01-19	19.94	26.94	-25.76	8589	Downward Expansion	-86	91
2024-01-12	21.93	27.11	-19.18	705	Downward Expansion	-76	86
2024-01-05	22.38	27.27	-17.03	1243	Downward Expansion	-75	84
2023-12-29	23.09	27.39	-15.62	659	Downward Expansion	-71	82
2023-12-22	23.10	27.54	-15.88	2974	Balance	-74	79
2023-12-15	24.12	27.61	-12.93	8926	Balance	-42	58
2023-12-08	24.30	27.62	-12.78	2737	Balance	-31	37
2023-12-01	25.95	27.68	-5.31	1669	Balance	1	2
2023-11-24	29.59	27.71	10.07	2667	Upward Expansion	50	32
2023-11-17	29.73	27.61	11.37	2955	Upward Expansion	52	25
2023-11-10	29.16	27.46	14.23	701	Upward Expansion	33	18
2023-11-03	28.37	27.27	11.66	2212	Upward Expansion	28	16
2023-10-27	28.24	27.11	14.68	6820	Upward Expansion	30	17
2023-10-20	26.59	26.99	7.13	2654	Upward Expansion	24	15
2023-10-13	29.60	26.86	15.81	7866	Upward Expansion	56	37
2023-10-06	28.54	26.66	11.11	1736	Upward Expansion	56	39

Price vs TrendAbove+7.8%

Trend directionRising+1.1%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-57.9%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+7.2%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-7.3%

Relative strength directionImproving+16.5%

Price momentumPositive+40.3%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.19×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

19 / ±100

-12.6 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

11 /100

-5.3 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

UEN Directional State ↗ UEN Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance62

Rotation Up26

Upward Expansion42

Deceleration82

Rotation Down26

Downward Expansion29

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 15%Rotation Up 8%Upward Expansion 7%Deceleration 5%Downward Expansion 66%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-08-14	2026-09-25	Developing	+0.3%
Upward Expansion	2026-07-24	2026-08-07	New	+10.4%
Rotation Up	2026-05-29	2026-07-17	Developing	-2.9%
Balance	2026-05-15	2026-05-22	New	+2.9%
Downward Expansion	2025-10-31	2026-05-08	Extended	-37.2%
Balance	2025-10-03	2025-10-24	New	-21.6%
Downward Expansion	2025-04-18	2025-09-26	Established	+3.6%
Balance	2025-03-21	2025-04-11	New	-26.7%
Rotation Up	2025-03-07	2025-03-14	New	-6.3%
Downward Expansion	2024-08-02	2025-02-28	Extended	-30.8%
Balance	2024-06-28	2024-07-26	Developing	-7.9%
Rotation Up	2024-06-14	2024-06-21	New	-1.2%
Balance	2024-05-17	2024-06-07	New	+10.2%
Downward Expansion	2023-12-29	2024-05-10	Established	-3.2%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing74

Stage 2 · Advancing44

Stage 3 · Distribution29

Stage 4 · Declining35

Legacy result: Stage 1 · Stage 1B · Basing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^GDAXI

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 28/100
Current Relative Strength: -7.25
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +40.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +26.3%
Communication Services regime cohort: 50th percentile8 in cohort

Test UEN trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.11×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.19×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore UEN Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity EUR 5.24falling

Slow Activity EUR 5.21rising

Trend Reference EUR 4.97+7.8% close margin

Current Fair Value EUR 12.73-57.9% close margin

Structural low EUR 3.72shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +9.3%

Annualized volatility +55.7%

From structural high -47.7%

From structural low +44.0%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^GDAXI	Regime survived	Read
Near term	2	+7.9%-2.8% to +18.5%	+50.0%	+50.0%	+8.4%	+50.0%	Too little matched history
Intermediate	1	+17.8%+17.8% to +17.8%	+100.0%	+100.0%	+20.2%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Extended	1	-7.6%-7.6% to -7.6%	+0.0%	+0.0%	-14.0%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	1	-17.3%-17.3% to -17.3%	+0.0%	+0.0%	-35.7%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

UEN Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map